Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #22490 |
Labor Day Look at the 2016 General Election For President: Every Democrat Trails Trump, Though Narrowly:
In an election for President of the United States, today, Labor Day, business provocateur Donald Trump narrowly defeats Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders and Al Gore, in head-to-head matchups, according to nationwide polling conducted by SurveyUSA. Today it's:
* Trump 45%, Clinton 40%. (There is a 20-point Gender Gap; Trump leads by 18 points among seniors.)
* Trump 54%, Clinton 36%.
* 57% of Clinton voters say they are voting enthusiastically.
* 44% say Clinton will be the Democratic Party nominee.
* 30% say Trump will be the Republican party nominee. Cell-phone and home-phone respondents are included in this survey. SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 USA adults 09/02/15 and 09/03/15. Of the adults, 900 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 58% (522) pay "a lot" of attention to politics. This survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed-mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (62% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home (landline) telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (38% of registered voters) were shown a question on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Cell respondents, as is typically the case, vote more Democratic than do landline respondents. Among just the universe of cell-phone respondents, Clinton defeats Trump by 16 points; Sanders defeats Trump by 12 points; Biden defeats Trump by 17 points; and Gore defeats Trump by 17 points. The more cell-phone respondents a pollster includes in its "mix" of voters, the more Democratic the poll results will be. |
1 | In 2016, America will elect a President. If the election for President of the United States were today, and the only two names on the ballot were Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote for? |
900 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention To Politics | Income | Education | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | None | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Cell Pho | Landline | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Clinton (D) | 40% | 35% | 44% | 50% | 35% | 35% | 37% | 43% | 36% | 34% | 59% | 50% | 39% | 8% | 12% | 6% | 30% | 75% | 78% | 70% | 15% | 15% | 38% | 73% | 68% | 36% | 43% | ** | 33% | 43% | 41% | 44% | 36% | 40% | 46% | 36% | 44% | 31% | 41% | 43% |
Trump (R) | 45% | 50% | 39% | 31% | 47% | 50% | 55% | 38% | 52% | 51% | 25% | 31% | 41% | 86% | 74% | 79% | 43% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 75% | 72% | 42% | 12% | 18% | 54% | 34% | ** | 47% | 43% | 45% | 35% | 49% | 48% | 30% | 53% | 40% | 49% | 47% | 41% |
Undecided | 16% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 8% | 19% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 6% | 14% | 15% | 27% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 13% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 23% | ** | 20% | 14% | 14% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 24% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 12% | 17% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 26% | 27% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 67% | 12% | 14% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 22% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 21% | 38% | 17% | 11% | 58% | 37% | 4% | 24% | 36% | 40% | 28% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 62% | 17% | 20% | 36% | 27% |
2 | OK, what if the election for President were today, and the only two names on the ballot were Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump; who would you vote for? |
900 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention To Politics | Income | Education | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | None | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Cell Pho | Landline | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Sanders (D) | 40% | 40% | 40% | 47% | 36% | 37% | 41% | 42% | 38% | 36% | 59% | 48% | 31% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 31% | 62% | 71% | 77% | 17% | 19% | 35% | 69% | 76% | 39% | 40% | ** | 33% | 40% | 44% | 39% | 38% | 42% | 42% | 39% | 48% | 36% | 38% | 42% |
Trump (R) | 44% | 48% | 39% | 32% | 46% | 48% | 54% | 39% | 50% | 50% | 26% | 29% | 44% | 82% | 69% | 77% | 41% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 74% | 70% | 41% | 14% | 17% | 53% | 33% | ** | 47% | 43% | 43% | 38% | 46% | 46% | 30% | 52% | 40% | 49% | 45% | 40% |
Undecided | 16% | 12% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 20% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 23% | 26% | 7% | 17% | 10% | 28% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 24% | 17% | 7% | 8% | 26% | ** | 20% | 17% | 13% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 28% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 17% | 19% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 26% | 27% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 67% | 12% | 14% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 22% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 21% | 38% | 17% | 11% | 58% | 37% | 4% | 24% | 36% | 40% | 28% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 62% | 17% | 20% | 36% | 27% |
3 | What if the election were today, and the only two names on the ballot were Joe Biden and Donald Trump? |
900 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention To Politics | Income | Education | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | None | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Cell Pho | Landline | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Biden (D) | 42% | 39% | 45% | 47% | 38% | 39% | 44% | 43% | 41% | 37% | 63% | 54% | 36% | 6% | 16% | 11% | 30% | 76% | 82% | 76% | 13% | 19% | 43% | 69% | 74% | 37% | 50% | ** | 44% | 42% | 41% | 51% | 38% | 39% | 47% | 39% | 54% | 32% | 41% | 44% |
Trump (R) | 44% | 49% | 39% | 32% | 47% | 49% | 51% | 39% | 50% | 51% | 23% | 28% | 43% | 88% | 71% | 77% | 41% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 77% | 69% | 39% | 15% | 17% | 53% | 32% | ** | 46% | 41% | 45% | 34% | 47% | 49% | 30% | 52% | 37% | 51% | 46% | 40% |
Undecided | 14% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 18% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 6% | 13% | 13% | 29% | 13% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 9% | 9% | 18% | ** | 10% | 17% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 23% | 9% | 8% | 17% | 13% | 17% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 26% | 27% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 67% | 12% | 14% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 22% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 21% | 38% | 17% | 11% | 58% | 37% | 4% | 24% | 36% | 40% | 28% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 62% | 17% | 20% | 36% | 27% |
4 | What if the election were today, and the only two names on the ballot were Al Gore and Donald Trump? |
900 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention To Politics | Income | Education | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | None | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Cell Pho | Landline | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Gore (D) | 41% | 37% | 45% | 52% | 37% | 35% | 37% | 45% | 35% | 36% | 55% | 52% | 40% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 31% | 69% | 77% | 73% | 15% | 16% | 35% | 81% | 71% | 36% | 42% | ** | 41% | 40% | 41% | 44% | 37% | 40% | 48% | 37% | 45% | 37% | 38% | 45% |
Trump (R) | 44% | 49% | 40% | 30% | 46% | 51% | 56% | 37% | 53% | 52% | 21% | 30% | 42% | 84% | 71% | 81% | 41% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 76% | 72% | 43% | 10% | 17% | 54% | 36% | ** | 46% | 44% | 45% | 33% | 50% | 49% | 31% | 53% | 43% | 51% | 44% | 40% |
Undecided | 15% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 7% | 18% | 11% | 12% | 24% | 18% | 18% | 5% | 16% | 9% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 22% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 22% | ** | 14% | 16% | 14% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 21% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 18% | 14% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 26% | 27% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 67% | 12% | 14% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 22% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 21% | 38% | 17% | 11% | 58% | 37% | 4% | 24% | 36% | 40% | 28% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 62% | 17% | 20% | 36% | 27% |
5 | If Hillary Clinton were on the ballot, would you cast your vote for her ... enthusiastically? With reservations? Or would you be holding your nose in voting for her? |
358 Clinton Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention To Politics | Income | Education | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | None | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Cell Pho | Landline | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Enthusiastically | 57% | 54% | 59% | 49% | 65% | 55% | 65% | 55% | 59% | 53% | 64% | 62% | 52% | ** | ** | ** | 56% | 35% | 55% | 76% | 82% | 60% | 52% | 56% | 62% | 60% | 59% | ** | 59% | 50% | 64% | 45% | 68% | 57% | 55% | 58% | 61% | 56% | 58% | 53% |
With Reservations | 34% | 41% | 29% | 36% | 32% | 35% | 31% | 35% | 33% | 40% | 22% | 35% | 15% | ** | ** | ** | 37% | 46% | 38% | 19% | 18% | 38% | 34% | 34% | 34% | 37% | 32% | ** | 37% | 36% | 31% | 43% | 28% | 32% | 32% | 36% | 33% | 41% | 29% | 38% |
Holding Your Nose | 8% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 14% | 4% | 30% | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 17% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 6% | ** | 4% | 12% | 3% | 10% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 10% |
Not Sure | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ** | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 0% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Clinton Voters | 100% | 45% | 55% | 37% | 23% | 24% | 16% | 60% | 40% | 58% | 18% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 17% | 23% | 29% | 23% | 5% | 8% | 37% | 32% | 19% | 53% | 40% | 5% | 20% | 38% | 41% | 31% | 33% | 36% | 43% | 57% | 19% | 15% | 37% | 29% |
6 | If Bernie Sanders were on the ballot, would you cast your vote for him ... enthusiastically? With reservations? Or would you be holding your nose in voting for him? |
362 Sanders Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention To Politics | Income | Education | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | None | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Cell Pho | Landline | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Enthusiastically | 53% | 53% | 54% | 64% | 45% | 51% | 49% | 56% | 50% | 54% | 52% | 55% | 41% | ** | ** | ** | 38% | 57% | 49% | 68% | 81% | 19% | 41% | 66% | 69% | 60% | 50% | 10% | 43% | 52% | 61% | 44% | 61% | 55% | 53% | 54% | 43% | 53% | 58% | 56% |
With Reservations | 35% | 34% | 36% | 26% | 37% | 44% | 40% | 31% | 42% | 35% | 42% | 34% | 21% | ** | ** | ** | 48% | 29% | 41% | 25% | 15% | 50% | 46% | 26% | 30% | 32% | 34% | 81% | 42% | 36% | 31% | 46% | 27% | 35% | 38% | 34% | 45% | 39% | 31% | 32% |
Holding Your Nose | 8% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 11% | 10% | ** | ** | ** | 10% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 2% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% |
Not Sure | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 29% | ** | ** | ** | 4% | 3% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 15% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 4% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Sanders Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 34% | 23% | 25% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 60% | 17% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 17% | 19% | 27% | 26% | 6% | 10% | 34% | 30% | 21% | 56% | 38% | 5% | 20% | 36% | 44% | 27% | 35% | 39% | 39% | 61% | 21% | 18% | 34% | 28% |
7 | If Joe Biden were on the ballot, would you cast your vote for him ... enthusiastically? With reservations? Or would you be holding your nose in voting for him? |
379 Biden Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention To Politics | Income | Education | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | None | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Cell Pho | Landline | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Enthusiastically | 49% | 54% | 44% | 32% | 54% | 58% | 61% | 41% | 59% | 40% | 75% | 54% | 49% | ** | ** | ** | 41% | 44% | 46% | 65% | ** | 35% | 53% | 40% | 54% | 58% | 39% | ** | 38% | 49% | 55% | 41% | 49% | 56% | 37% | 58% | 44% | 41% | 54% | 52% |
With Reservations | 38% | 37% | 40% | 48% | 35% | 33% | 32% | 43% | 33% | 48% | 23% | 27% | 26% | ** | ** | ** | 44% | 49% | 38% | 20% | ** | 44% | 38% | 40% | 38% | 31% | 43% | ** | 43% | 40% | 34% | 46% | 36% | 34% | 47% | 33% | 41% | 48% | 36% | 35% |
Holding Your Nose | 9% | 6% | 12% | 18% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 0% | 19% | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 11% | 2% | 11% | 13% | ** | 10% | 4% | 19% | 5% | 10% | 10% | ** | 13% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 13% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 14% |
Not Sure | 4% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 23% | ** | ** | ** | 4% | 5% | 5% | 2% | ** | 11% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 8% | ** | 6% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 0% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Biden Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 33% | 24% | 25% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 58% | 18% | 18% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 29% | 24% | 4% | 9% | 39% | 28% | 19% | 51% | 44% | 5% | 26% | 35% | 39% | 33% | 33% | 34% | 42% | 58% | 22% | 15% | 35% | 28% |
8 | If Al Gore were on the ballot, would you cast your vote for him ... enthusiastically? With reservations? Or would you be holding your nose in voting for him? |
367 Gore Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention To Politics | Income | Education | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | None | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Cell Pho | Landline | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Enthusiastically | 45% | 53% | 38% | 36% | 55% | 48% | 45% | 43% | 47% | 39% | 54% | 52% | 50% | ** | ** | ** | 40% | 39% | 47% | 51% | 41% | 49% | 40% | 45% | 54% | 49% | 46% | 32% | 30% | 45% | 56% | 35% | 51% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 53% | 32% | 45% | 46% |
With Reservations | 37% | 35% | 39% | 35% | 34% | 42% | 41% | 34% | 42% | 43% | 33% | 31% | 14% | ** | ** | ** | 41% | 44% | 38% | 27% | 49% | 22% | 52% | 29% | 30% | 42% | 28% | 59% | 47% | 34% | 33% | 40% | 34% | 37% | 27% | 45% | 29% | 52% | 44% | 27% |
Holding Your Nose | 12% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 17% | 5% | ** | ** | ** | 13% | 5% | 12% | 15% | 11% | 26% | 5% | 19% | 6% | 8% | 20% | 3% | 19% | 9% | 10% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 19% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 18% |
Not Sure | 6% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 31% | ** | ** | ** | 5% | 13% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 9% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Gore Voters | 100% | 45% | 55% | 38% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 61% | 39% | 59% | 16% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 20% | 29% | 24% | 5% | 8% | 33% | 35% | 19% | 52% | 38% | 8% | 24% | 35% | 41% | 30% | 34% | 36% | 44% | 56% | 19% | 18% | 34% | 30% |
9 | Setting aside everything we have just asked you ... and regardless of whether you will vote Republican or Democratic in the presidential election, we now want to ask who you THINK will be the Democratic nominee for President. We are not asking you here who you will vote for, but rather, who you think the Democratic nominee will be. Hillary Clinton? Bernie Sanders? Joe Biden? Al Gore? Or someone else? |
900 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention To Politics | Income | Education | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | None | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Cell Pho | Landline | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Clinton | 44% | 44% | 45% | 52% | 44% | 39% | 39% | 48% | 39% | 40% | 48% | 55% | 59% | 33% | 38% | 28% | 41% | 59% | 59% | 51% | 36% | 28% | 44% | 61% | 58% | 43% | 45% | ** | 33% | 42% | 53% | 40% | 42% | 49% | 53% | 39% | 55% | 43% | 38% | 47% |
Sanders | 14% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 7% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 24% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 17% | 27% | 16% | 13% | ** | 15% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 5% | 19% | 14% | 16% |
Biden | 22% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 19% | 26% | 33% | 15% | 29% | 23% | 32% | 8% | 13% | 29% | 29% | 35% | 18% | 20% | 16% | 8% | 33% | 28% | 24% | 10% | 5% | 24% | 16% | ** | 27% | 23% | 17% | 27% | 18% | 21% | 12% | 27% | 21% | 19% | 27% | 16% |
Gore | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | ** | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 1% |
Someone Else | 9% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 13% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 7% | ** | 10% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 9% |
Not Sure | 9% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 16% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 15% | ** | 12% | 9% | 6% | 14% | 10% | 4% | 15% | 5% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 26% | 27% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 67% | 12% | 14% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 22% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 21% | 38% | 17% | 11% | 58% | 37% | 4% | 24% | 36% | 40% | 28% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 62% | 17% | 20% | 36% | 27% |
10 | Now, regardless of whether you are a Democrat or a Republican, and regardless of who you may vote for, who do you think will be the Republican nominee for President in 2016? Donald Trump? Ben Carson? Jeb Bush? Ted Cruz? Marco Rubio? Carly Fiorina? Scott Walker? John Kasich? Or someone else? |
900 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention To Politics | Income | Education | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | None | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Cell Pho | Landline | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Trump | 30% | 34% | 25% | 34% | 29% | 28% | 27% | 32% | 28% | 32% | 33% | 27% | 8% | 41% | 36% | 35% | 34% | 15% | 27% | 15% | 33% | 37% | 28% | 28% | 20% | 31% | 29% | ** | 37% | 28% | 26% | 35% | 33% | 23% | 29% | 30% | 25% | 27% | 39% | 23% |
Carson | 14% | 13% | 15% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 9% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 12% | 17% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 12% | ** | 11% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 16% | 18% | 9% | 18% | 10% | 15% | 15% | 15% |
Bush | 20% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 23% | 21% | 24% | 19% | 22% | 20% | 20% | 28% | 6% | 7% | 17% | 11% | 18% | 29% | 31% | 28% | 15% | 15% | 22% | 27% | 20% | 18% | 25% | ** | 21% | 19% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 22% | 21% | 20% | 26% | 18% | 16% | 23% |
Cruz | 6% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 20% | 17% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 8% | 4% | ** | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 8% |
Rubio | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | ** | 1% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% |
Fiorina | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 1% | ** | 2% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
Walker | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | ** | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
Kasich | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ** | 4% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 4% |
Someone Else | 4% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ** | 4% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 5% |
Not Sure | 13% | 12% | 13% | 19% | 12% | 11% | 6% | 16% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 8% | 20% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 21% | 22% | 10% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 6% | 18% | ** | 14% | 13% | 12% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 21% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 13% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 26% | 27% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 67% | 12% | 14% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 22% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 21% | 38% | 17% | 11% | 58% | 37% | 4% | 24% | 36% | 40% | 28% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 62% | 17% | 20% | 36% | 27% |