Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27332

Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin 12 Points Atop Republican Matt Gunderson in CA-49 Re-Election Bid; Harris Leads Trump by 13 in District: SurveyUSA's latest exclusive polling for KGTV-TV 10 News and the San Diego Union-Tribune shows Democrats Kamala Harris and Mike Levin easily winning their respective upcoming elections, with Harris running more than twice as strongly as Joe Biden had been when SurveyUSA last polled the district in early June, two weeks before the Trump-Biden debate. Harris defeats Trump by a 13-point margin in an election held in the 49th District today, 54% to 41%, with 2% saying they will vote for some other candidate and another 2% of likely voters reporting that they are undecided. Four months ago, Biden led Trump by just 5 points, less than half the 11-point margin by which he defeated the Republican in 2020. Trump leads by a 74-point margin among the 1 in 5 voters who say immigration is the most important issue facing the district. The largest group of likely voters, 41%, say the cost of living is the most important issue, and those voters prefer Harris by a 19-point margin, 57% to 38%. Harris also leads by 49 points among the 1-in-10 voters who say homelessness is the top issue, by 19 points among the 6% who say crime is most important, and by a 100-point margin, 100% to 0%, among the 10% who say climate change is most important. Mike Levin wins his 4th term in Congress by a similar margin as Harris today, 53% to 41%, up slightly from 10 points in June. 1% of likely voters say they'll skip voting in this contest; 5% are undecided, half as many as in the June poll. Both candidates' voters are fairly sure of their choice: 85% of Levin voters and 84% of Gunderson voters say their minds are made up. Gunderson leads by 79 points among Republicans, by 69 points among very conservative voters, and by 60 points among somewhat conservative voters. He leads by 87 points among those voting for Trump this year, and by 86 points among those who say they voted for Trump in 2020. Additionally Gunderson, like Trump, leads by 74 points among voters most-focused on immigration. Levin leads elsewhere, including by 92 points among both liberals and Democrats, by 89 points among both Biden 2020 and Harris 2024 voters, and on the same issues and by similar margins as does Harris, although Levin's lead among crime-focused voters is smaller, 11 points versus the former California Attorney General's 19 point margin. Levin's favorability rating is much stronger than Gunderson's: 44% say they have a favorable opinion of Levin, 22% a negative opinion; subtracting unfavorable from favorable produces a candidate's Net Favorability Rating, +22 for Levin. Another 22% say their opinion of Levin is neutral, while 12% say they have no opinion of him. Gunderson, in comparison, is at +1, with 29% having favorable and 28% unfavorable opinions. 26% are neutral on the Republican; 17% have no opinion. Just over half of voters, 53%, say they have seen ads in this contest. Among those who have seen the ads, Levin appears to be the beneficiary: 30% say campaign ads have made them feel more favorable to the Democratic incumbent, 19% less favorable – an 11-point improvement. The plurality, 49%, say the ads have had no impact. 25% have said the ads they've seen have made them feel more favorably towards Gunderson, 33% less favorable – an 8-point negative impact. The largest number of voters, 38% in Gunderson's case, still say the ads have had no impact on their opinion of him. Abortion rights is an important issue to the majority of voters in the district: 54% say a candidate's position on abortion rights is very important in your vote for US House; another 23% say they are somewhat important. 11% say abortion rights aren't very important; 9% say they're not important to them at all. 77% of Levin voters say abortion rights will be a very important issue to them this year, compared to 25% of Gunderson voters; 41% of Gunderson voters say they're not very (22%) or not at all (19%) important, compared to 5% of Levin's (3% not very, 2% not at all). Fully crosstabbed results follow ...

About the Research / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 adults from California's 49th Congressional District 10/02/24 through 10/06/24. Of the adults, 645 were identified as being registered to vote; of the registered voters, 617 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. 49% of respondents were shown the survey questions on the display of their smartphone, laptop or tablet, using nonprobability sample of online adult panelists chosen randomly by Cint/Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. The other 51% of respondents were interviewed by telephone, using probability-based telephone sample of registered voters purchased from Aristotle in Washington DC: 21% of respondents were texted on their cell phones by live operators who secured the cooperation of each respondent before linking them to an online survey; 30% of respondents were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. The combined pool of survey respondents was weighted to targets for gender, age, race, home ownership, and recalled 2020 vote.

1	Are you registered to vote in the state of California?

700 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent < 18		Likely Voter?		2024 House Vote		2024 President		Top Issue					Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 2.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Certain	Probable	Gunderso	Levin	Trump	Harris	Homeless	Cost Of	Crime	Climate	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Online	SMS-to-W	Telephon
Yes	93%	93%	93%	86%	90%	93%	100%	88%	97%	95%	80%	92%	90%	94%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	95%	99%	88%	94%	91%	93%	98%	97%	92%	93%	98%	96%	99%	88%	87%	97%	81%	91%	96%	97%	84%	91%	93%	85%	100%	100%
No	7%	6%	7%	12%	10%	6%	0%	11%	3%	4%	19%	7%	10%	6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4%	1%	11%	5%	9%	6%	2%	3%	7%	6%	2%	4%	1%	12%	11%	3%	17%	7%	4%	3%	14%	8%	6%	13%	0%	0%
Not Sure	1%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	2%	2%	0%	0%	2%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Adults	100%	48%	52%	23%	22%	25%	29%	45%	55%	79%	14%	6%	24%	75%	83%	13%	41%	53%	41%	54%	11%	41%	6%	10%	22%	33%	38%	24%	12%	21%	33%	18%	11%	33%	33%	28%	38%	47%	12%	33%	55%	16%	27%	57%	63%	37%	21%	77%	49%	21%	30%

2	California will elect a President of the United States and members of Congress in November. Are you not interested in politics and will not vote? Not sure whether you will or won't have time to vote? Almost certain you'll find time to vote? Or absolutely 100% certain you will vote?

645 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent < 18		Likely Voter?		2024 House Vote		2024 President		Top Issue					Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 3.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Certain	Probable	Gunderso	Levin	Trump	Harris	Homeless	Cost Of	Crime	Climate	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Online	SMS-to-W	Telephon
Not Interested / Will Not Vote	1%	1%	1%	0%	2%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	5%	0%	1%	5%	0%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	0%	1%
Not Sure	3%	3%	3%	6%	7%	0%	1%	6%	1%	3%	5%	6%	3%	3%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3%	1%	6%	2%	4%	5%	1%	2%	3%	5%	1%	3%	2%	8%	2%	3%	6%	6%	1%	2%	6%	4%	3%	6%	0%	1%
Almost Certain	13%	13%	13%	27%	14%	6%	8%	20%	7%	13%	12%	15%	12%	13%	0%	100%	13%	12%	14%	12%	22%	13%	28%	11%	7%	12%	13%	12%	8%	13%	18%	8%	9%	11%	18%	9%	11%	10%	25%	15%	10%	20%	12%	11%	9%	19%	18%	11%	18%	2%	13%
100% Certain	83%	83%	83%	68%	77%	94%	88%	72%	91%	84%	80%	78%	83%	83%	100%	0%	87%	88%	86%	88%	78%	87%	72%	89%	93%	84%	84%	81%	88%	83%	76%	91%	87%	85%	76%	89%	85%	88%	62%	83%	87%	69%	82%	87%	88%	73%	77%	85%	74%	98%	85%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	48%	52%	21%	21%	26%	32%	43%	57%	81%	12%	6%	24%	76%	83%	13%	41%	53%	41%	54%	11%	41%	6%	10%	22%	35%	41%	23%	13%	20%	33%	19%	11%	33%	33%	30%	40%	50%	11%	31%	58%	14%	27%	59%	66%	34%	21%	78%	45%	23%	33%

If the November election for President were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (Candidate names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Or Democrat Kamala Harris?

617 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent < 18		Likely Voter?		2024 House Vote		2024 President		Top Issue					Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Certain	Probable	Gunderso	Levin	Trump	Harris	Homeless	Cost Of	Crime	Climate	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Online	SMS-to-W	Telephon
Donald Trump (R)	41%	46%	37%	51%	43%	41%	34%	47%	37%	40%	47%	43%	39%	42%	41%	44%	92%	3%	100%	0%	23%	38%	35%	0%	86%	85%	4%	41%	87%	78%	34%	7%	0%	82%	34%	5%	93%	3%	51%	46%	37%	40%	50%	37%	40%	42%	46%	40%	43%	39%	40%
Kamala Harris (D)	54%	49%	59%	41%	54%	54%	63%	48%	59%	55%	50%	50%	57%	54%	55%	48%	4%	94%	0%	100%	72%	57%	54%	100%	12%	9%	96%	48%	13%	14%	59%	92%	100%	14%	59%	95%	3%	95%	40%	50%	59%	51%	47%	59%	57%	50%	48%	56%	49%	58%	59%
Other	2%	2%	2%	4%	0%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	3%	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	2%	3%	0%	5%	0%	3%	3%	1%	0%	2%	3%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	7%	1%	2%	1%	4%	4%	2%	4%	0%	0%
Will Not Vote	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Undecided	2%	2%	2%	4%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	2%	5%	1%	1%	0%	0%	4%	2%	11%	0%	0%	2%	0%	6%	0%	4%	3%	0%	0%	3%	3%	0%	2%	1%	6%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	21%	20%	27%	32%	41%	59%	82%	12%	6%	23%	76%	87%	13%	41%	53%	41%	54%	11%	41%	6%	10%	22%	35%	42%	23%	13%	21%	33%	19%	11%	33%	33%	31%	40%	51%	10%	32%	58%	13%	27%	61%	68%	32%	21%	78%	43%	24%	33%

If the election for US House of Representatives in California's 49th Congressional District were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (Candidate names rotated) Republican Matt Gunderson? Or Democrat Mike Levin?

617 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent < 18		Likely Voter?		2024 House Vote		2024 President		Top Issue					Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Certain	Probable	Gunderso	Levin	Trump	Harris	Homeless	Cost Of	Crime	Climate	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Online	SMS-to-W	Telephon
Matt Gunderson (R)	41%	44%	37%	44%	41%	45%	34%	42%	39%	40%	40%	47%	37%	41%	41%	38%	100%	0%	91%	3%	23%	37%	38%	0%	85%	87%	2%	40%	83%	76%	37%	5%	0%	79%	37%	3%	91%	3%	42%	44%	38%	36%	43%	40%	41%	37%	43%	39%	41%	39%	42%
Mike Levin (D)	53%	50%	57%	50%	50%	48%	62%	50%	56%	54%	50%	47%	56%	53%	54%	49%	0%	100%	4%	92%	73%	56%	49%	95%	11%	8%	94%	48%	14%	16%	54%	94%	97%	15%	54%	95%	5%	92%	51%	46%	58%	57%	49%	55%	53%	56%	50%	55%	50%	55%	57%
Will Not Cast a Ballot	1%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	4%	1%	2%	1%	0%	5%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	2%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%
Undecided	5%	5%	5%	6%	7%	5%	3%	7%	4%	5%	6%	5%	4%	6%	5%	8%	0%	0%	5%	3%	4%	6%	12%	5%	3%	5%	1%	12%	3%	8%	6%	1%	3%	6%	6%	2%	4%	4%	7%	8%	3%	7%	8%	4%	5%	7%	7%	5%	7%	7%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	21%	20%	27%	32%	41%	59%	82%	12%	6%	23%	76%	87%	13%	41%	53%	41%	54%	11%	41%	6%	10%	22%	35%	42%	23%	13%	21%	33%	19%	11%	33%	33%	31%	40%	51%	10%	32%	58%	13%	27%	61%	68%	32%	21%	78%	43%	24%	33%

Will you definitely vote for that candidate? Or is there a chance you might change your mind?

580 Voting For a Candidate For US House	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent < 18		Likely Voter?		2024 House Vote		2024 President		Top Issue					Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 3.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Certain	Probable	Gunderso	Levin	Trump	Harris	Homeless	Cost Of	Crime	Climate	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Online	SMS-to-W	Telephon
Definitely Vote For That Candidate	84%	85%	84%	70%	78%	91%	92%	73%	92%	85%	82%	80%	80%	86%	87%	68%	84%	85%	84%	88%	86%	80%	82%	90%	89%	87%	90%	70%	87%	80%	81%	86%	94%	83%	81%	89%	83%	89%	78%	83%	86%	68%	87%	86%	88%	75%	82%	84%	73%	93%	92%
May Change My Mind	12%	11%	13%	25%	16%	6%	6%	21%	6%	12%	11%	14%	15%	11%	9%	27%	13%	11%	13%	9%	10%	15%	18%	8%	7%	9%	8%	23%	11%	14%	13%	14%	4%	12%	13%	10%	13%	8%	21%	12%	11%	22%	11%	11%	9%	18%	11%	12%	22%	3%	6%
Not Sure	4%	4%	4%	6%	6%	3%	2%	6%	2%	3%	7%	6%	5%	4%	4%	5%	4%	4%	3%	3%	4%	5%	0%	3%	4%	4%	2%	7%	3%	6%	6%	0%	2%	5%	6%	1%	3%	3%	1%	6%	3%	10%	2%	4%	3%	7%	7%	3%	5%	4%	2%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Voting For a Candidate For US House	100%	48%	52%	21%	20%	27%	33%	40%	60%	82%	12%	6%	23%	76%	88%	12%	43%	57%	41%	55%	11%	41%	5%	10%	23%	35%	43%	21%	13%	20%	32%	20%	12%	33%	32%	32%	41%	52%	10%	31%	59%	13%	26%	61%	68%	32%	20%	78%	42%	23%	35%

6	Is your opinion of Mike Levin ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Mike Levin?

617 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent < 18		Likely Voter?		2024 House Vote		2024 President		Top Issue					Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Certain	Probable	Gunderso	Levin	Trump	Harris	Homeless	Cost Of	Crime	Climate	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Online	SMS-to-W	Telephon
Favorable	44%	43%	45%	38%	38%	38%	56%	38%	48%	46%	37%	31%	44%	44%	46%	31%	8%	76%	10%	72%	56%	41%	42%	81%	20%	12%	75%	35%	15%	16%	42%	83%	71%	15%	42%	78%	11%	73%	36%	36%	49%	38%	42%	45%	46%	38%	38%	45%	39%	44%	50%
Unfavorable	22%	28%	17%	19%	23%	28%	18%	21%	23%	22%	21%	23%	21%	22%	23%	19%	51%	2%	49%	2%	14%	23%	12%	2%	41%	45%	3%	22%	51%	37%	20%	3%	2%	43%	20%	3%	46%	3%	18%	22%	23%	16%	20%	23%	23%	19%	19%	23%	22%	23%	21%
Neutral	22%	18%	26%	31%	23%	22%	16%	27%	19%	21%	23%	33%	25%	22%	20%	35%	22%	18%	21%	20%	20%	24%	32%	11%	24%	23%	18%	29%	19%	25%	29%	11%	22%	23%	29%	15%	23%	20%	26%	27%	19%	29%	19%	22%	20%	28%	29%	21%	25%	19%	20%
No Opinion	12%	11%	13%	12%	16%	12%	10%	14%	11%	11%	19%	13%	10%	13%	12%	14%	19%	4%	20%	6%	9%	13%	13%	6%	15%	20%	5%	13%	15%	22%	9%	2%	5%	20%	9%	3%	21%	4%	20%	15%	9%	17%	18%	9%	11%	15%	14%	11%	14%	13%	9%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	21%	20%	27%	32%	41%	59%	82%	12%	6%	23%	76%	87%	13%	41%	53%	41%	54%	11%	41%	6%	10%	22%	35%	42%	23%	13%	21%	33%	19%	11%	33%	33%	31%	40%	51%	10%	32%	58%	13%	27%	61%	68%	32%	21%	78%	43%	24%	33%

7	What is your opinion of Matt Gunderson?

617 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent < 18		Likely Voter?		2024 House Vote		2024 President		Top Issue					Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Certain	Probable	Gunderso	Levin	Trump	Harris	Homeless	Cost Of	Crime	Climate	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Online	SMS-to-W	Telephon
Favorable	29%	33%	26%	27%	28%	33%	29%	28%	31%	29%	31%	30%	26%	31%	31%	20%	65%	5%	61%	6%	17%	26%	25%	1%	63%	62%	6%	21%	65%	46%	30%	3%	4%	53%	30%	3%	62%	6%	28%	29%	30%	24%	30%	29%	31%	23%	37%	26%	26%	29%	35%
Unfavorable	28%	29%	27%	24%	28%	21%	35%	26%	29%	29%	26%	19%	26%	29%	29%	22%	3%	49%	3%	47%	34%	29%	5%	65%	9%	8%	46%	25%	5%	7%	27%	56%	49%	7%	27%	54%	4%	47%	23%	23%	31%	28%	24%	29%	31%	21%	22%	29%	22%	31%	33%
Neutral	26%	24%	27%	30%	29%	23%	23%	29%	23%	26%	25%	28%	32%	23%	24%	37%	25%	23%	26%	25%	25%	26%	52%	24%	18%	20%	26%	35%	21%	35%	27%	20%	21%	29%	27%	20%	25%	25%	27%	32%	22%	27%	27%	25%	24%	31%	24%	26%	31%	20%	23%
No Opinion	17%	14%	20%	19%	15%	23%	12%	17%	17%	16%	18%	23%	16%	18%	16%	21%	6%	22%	10%	23%	24%	19%	18%	10%	10%	10%	22%	19%	9%	12%	16%	21%	25%	11%	16%	23%	9%	22%	21%	17%	17%	21%	19%	16%	14%	25%	17%	18%	21%	20%	10%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	21%	20%	27%	32%	41%	59%	82%	12%	6%	23%	76%	87%	13%	41%	53%	41%	54%	11%	41%	6%	10%	22%	35%	42%	23%	13%	21%	33%	19%	11%	33%	33%	31%	40%	51%	10%	32%	58%	13%	27%	61%	68%	32%	21%	78%	43%	24%	33%

8	Have you seen any political ads in the race between Mike Levin and Matt Gunderson?

617 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent < 18		Likely Voter?		2024 House Vote		2024 President		Top Issue					Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Certain	Probable	Gunderso	Levin	Trump	Harris	Homeless	Cost Of	Crime	Climate	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Online	SMS-to-W	Telephon
Yes	53%	57%	49%	39%	48%	55%	64%	44%	60%	51%	59%	63%	48%	54%	55%	41%	52%	56%	52%	54%	58%	52%	45%	58%	51%	50%	51%	59%	50%	59%	53%	54%	43%	55%	53%	50%	51%	56%	40%	50%	56%	52%	54%	52%	58%	41%	51%	53%	44%	54%	63%
No	34%	31%	37%	41%	35%	34%	30%	38%	32%	35%	32%	25%	37%	33%	33%	40%	39%	31%	38%	33%	30%	36%	31%	29%	38%	39%	34%	29%	40%	35%	31%	35%	39%	36%	31%	36%	38%	33%	38%	36%	33%	34%	34%	34%	31%	41%	34%	34%	37%	31%	33%
Not Sure	13%	12%	14%	20%	17%	12%	6%	18%	9%	13%	9%	12%	15%	12%	12%	19%	9%	13%	10%	13%	12%	12%	24%	13%	11%	11%	15%	12%	11%	7%	16%	11%	18%	8%	16%	13%	11%	12%	22%	14%	11%	14%	12%	13%	11%	18%	15%	13%	19%	14%	4%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	21%	20%	27%	32%	41%	59%	82%	12%	6%	23%	76%	87%	13%	41%	53%	41%	54%	11%	41%	6%	10%	22%	35%	42%	23%	13%	21%	33%	19%	11%	33%	33%	31%	40%	51%	10%	32%	58%	13%	27%	61%	68%	32%	21%	78%	43%	24%	33%

9	Have the ads you seen made you feel more or less favorable towards Mike Levin? Or did they have no impact either way?

327 Who Saw Ads	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent < 18		Likely Voter?		2024 House Vote		2024 President		Top Issue					Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Certain	Probable	Gunderso	Levin	Trump	Harris	Homeless	Cost Of	Crime	Climate	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Online	SMS-to-W	Telephon
More Favorable	30%	31%	30%	31%	31%	25%	34%	31%	30%	31%	27%	24%	32%	30%	31%	25%	7%	47%	9%	45%	35%	33%	**	38%	17%	10%	50%	25%	8%	17%	31%	41%	66%	14%	31%	49%	10%	46%	32%	31%	30%	30%	31%	31%	30%	34%	35%	29%	32%	30%	30%
Less Favorable	19%	19%	19%	24%	18%	21%	16%	21%	18%	18%	23%	27%	17%	19%	19%	22%	42%	4%	40%	4%	18%	18%	**	10%	33%	34%	5%	19%	43%	26%	15%	12%	0%	32%	15%	8%	37%	3%	16%	21%	17%	15%	18%	18%	18%	18%	16%	18%	15%	16%	24%
Had No Impact	49%	49%	49%	46%	48%	52%	48%	47%	50%	49%	51%	42%	48%	50%	49%	52%	49%	49%	48%	50%	46%	48%	**	51%	49%	51%	45%	55%	47%	53%	54%	47%	33%	51%	54%	43%	50%	50%	49%	46%	51%	52%	49%	50%	51%	46%	48%	50%	51%	53%	45%
Not Sure	2%	0%	3%	0%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	0%	6%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	0%	2%	1%	2%	1%	**	1%	1%	4%	0%	0%	1%	5%	1%	0%	1%	3%	1%	0%	3%	1%	3%	1%	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Who Saw Ads	100%	52%	48%	15%	18%	27%	39%	34%	66%	79%	13%	7%	21%	78%	90%	10%	40%	57%	40%	55%	12%	40%	5%	10%	21%	33%	40%	25%	12%	23%	33%	20%	9%	35%	33%	29%	39%	54%	8%	30%	62%	13%	27%	60%	75%	25%	20%	79%	36%	24%	40%

10	Have the ads you seen made you feel more or less favorable towards Matt Gunderson? Or did they have no impact either way?

327 Who Saw Ads	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent < 18		Likely Voter?		2024 House Vote		2024 President		Top Issue					Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Certain	Probable	Gunderso	Levin	Trump	Harris	Homeless	Cost Of	Crime	Climate	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Online	SMS-to-W	Telephon
More Favorable	25%	23%	28%	30%	23%	27%	24%	26%	25%	26%	25%	22%	20%	27%	27%	15%	54%	6%	53%	6%	21%	24%	**	0%	49%	51%	6%	20%	54%	46%	20%	1%	7%	49%	20%	3%	53%	4%	45%	19%	26%	23%	34%	20%	24%	23%	31%	22%	23%	22%	30%
Less Favorable	33%	35%	31%	32%	33%	28%	37%	33%	33%	35%	24%	28%	27%	35%	34%	30%	6%	54%	6%	53%	47%	27%	**	56%	14%	14%	50%	32%	5%	17%	37%	52%	62%	13%	37%	55%	6%	53%	21%	35%	34%	45%	24%	36%	34%	35%	31%	35%	30%	39%	33%
Had No Impact	38%	39%	36%	30%	42%	40%	36%	37%	38%	35%	49%	42%	51%	34%	36%	48%	39%	37%	37%	38%	28%	46%	**	43%	30%	32%	40%	44%	37%	32%	41%	42%	30%	34%	41%	38%	37%	38%	35%	40%	37%	27%	34%	42%	40%	32%	31%	40%	41%	36%	35%
Not Sure	4%	3%	5%	8%	2%	4%	3%	5%	3%	4%	2%	7%	2%	4%	3%	7%	2%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	**	1%	7%	2%	5%	4%	5%	5%	2%	5%	1%	5%	2%	4%	3%	4%	0%	6%	3%	4%	7%	2%	2%	10%	7%	3%	7%	3%	2%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Who Saw Ads	100%	52%	48%	15%	18%	27%	39%	34%	66%	79%	13%	7%	21%	78%	90%	10%	40%	57%	40%	55%	12%	40%	5%	10%	21%	33%	40%	25%	12%	23%	33%	20%	9%	35%	33%	29%	39%	54%	8%	30%	62%	13%	27%	60%	75%	25%	20%	79%	36%	24%	40%

11	How important is a candidate's position on abortion rights in your vote for US House? Very important? Somewhat important? Not very important? Or not at all important?

617 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent < 18		Likely Voter?		2024 House Vote		2024 President		Top Issue					Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Certain	Probable	Gunderso	Levin	Trump	Harris	Homeless	Cost Of	Crime	Climate	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Online	SMS-to-W	Telephon
Very Important	54%	44%	63%	44%	51%	50%	65%	47%	58%	54%	55%	52%	53%	54%	56%	40%	25%	77%	27%	76%	73%	53%	46%	79%	35%	33%	77%	44%	38%	31%	54%	76%	81%	34%	54%	78%	28%	78%	42%	48%	59%	45%	51%	57%	56%	48%	49%	55%	47%	61%	58%
Somewhat Important	23%	27%	20%	33%	29%	19%	17%	31%	18%	24%	23%	15%	26%	22%	20%	41%	30%	16%	28%	17%	15%	23%	37%	18%	24%	29%	15%	26%	24%	28%	24%	19%	13%	27%	24%	17%	26%	17%	33%	25%	20%	35%	22%	21%	21%	27%	31%	21%	30%	18%	17%
Not Very Important	11%	18%	5%	6%	11%	16%	11%	9%	13%	12%	5%	15%	9%	12%	12%	7%	22%	3%	22%	4%	5%	11%	11%	1%	22%	20%	4%	11%	22%	22%	8%	3%	2%	22%	8%	3%	22%	3%	8%	13%	11%	8%	14%	11%	12%	10%	11%	12%	10%	12%	12%
Not At All Important	9%	9%	9%	8%	5%	15%	7%	7%	11%	8%	14%	17%	9%	9%	10%	2%	19%	2%	19%	2%	3%	9%	0%	1%	19%	14%	2%	15%	15%	14%	10%	2%	0%	15%	10%	1%	19%	2%	10%	8%	9%	7%	10%	10%	9%	8%	7%	9%	7%	8%	13%
Not Sure	3%	3%	3%	9%	4%	0%	0%	6%	0%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	10%	4%	1%	3%	1%	3%	4%	5%	1%	0%	4%	1%	3%	0%	4%	3%	0%	3%	3%	3%	1%	4%	0%	7%	5%	1%	5%	3%	2%	1%	7%	3%	3%	6%	1%	0%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	21%	20%	27%	32%	41%	59%	82%	12%	6%	23%	76%	87%	13%	41%	53%	41%	54%	11%	41%	6%	10%	22%	35%	42%	23%	13%	21%	33%	19%	11%	33%	33%	31%	40%	51%	10%	32%	58%	13%	27%	61%	68%	32%	21%	78%	43%	24%	33%

12	Which of the following is the most important issue facing your Congressional district? Homelessness? Cost of Living/Housing? Crime? Climate Change? Immigration? Infrastructure? Or something else?

617 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent < 18		Likely Voter?		2024 House Vote		2024 President		Top Issue					Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Certain	Probable	Gunderso	Levin	Trump	Harris	Homeless	Cost Of	Crime	Climate	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Online	SMS-to-W	Telephon
Homelessness	11%	9%	14%	11%	8%	9%	15%	10%	12%	11%	11%	14%	10%	12%	10%	18%	6%	15%	6%	15%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	5%	16%	10%	4%	8%	11%	14%	19%	7%	11%	16%	7%	14%	17%	14%	8%	10%	16%	9%	11%	12%	15%	10%	11%	10%	12%
Cost Of Living/Housing	41%	39%	44%	52%	44%	44%	30%	48%	37%	42%	41%	36%	48%	39%	42%	41%	38%	44%	39%	43%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	40%	44%	40%	29%	46%	43%	47%	38%	40%	43%	44%	39%	45%	46%	44%	40%	45%	48%	38%	36%	55%	40%	43%	52%	42%	27%
Crime	6%	6%	6%	7%	8%	4%	5%	8%	5%	6%	4%	7%	10%	5%	5%	12%	5%	5%	5%	6%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	6%	7%	2%	7%	7%	6%	5%	0%	7%	6%	3%	4%	6%	2%	5%	7%	4%	2%	8%	7%	2%	9%	5%	6%	2%	8%
Climate Change	10%	10%	10%	5%	9%	6%	16%	7%	12%	10%	7%	5%	8%	10%	10%	8%	0%	17%	0%	18%	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%	1%	16%	11%	4%	1%	11%	13%	26%	2%	11%	18%	0%	17%	5%	6%	12%	6%	6%	12%	12%	4%	8%	10%	6%	4%	18%
Immigration	22%	26%	19%	15%	24%	25%	23%	19%	24%	21%	24%	28%	16%	24%	24%	12%	46%	4%	46%	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%	42%	5%	24%	53%	37%	16%	8%	0%	43%	16%	5%	47%	5%	15%	22%	24%	22%	18%	24%	25%	15%	19%	23%	16%	28%	25%
Infrastructure	4%	5%	2%	4%	1%	3%	6%	2%	5%	3%	8%	5%	4%	4%	3%	6%	2%	5%	2%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	4%	3%	0%	2%	7%	2%	3%	1%	7%	3%	1%	4%	5%	5%	3%	5%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	4%	4%
Other	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	5%	3%	2%	4%	3%	1%	4%	4%	3%	4%	1%	1%	6%	1%	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	4%	6%	1%	0%	3%	7%	8%	0%	3%	7%	0%	4%	5%	2%	4%	4%	2%	4%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	7%	2%
Not Sure	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	4%	3%	3%	4%	1%	0%	4%	3%	2%	2%	4%	1%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	4%	4%	3%	0%	3%	4%	4%	1%	3%	4%	1%	4%	5%	3%	3%	5%	5%	2%	3%	4%	2%	3%	4%	3%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	21%	20%	27%	32%	41%	59%	82%	12%	6%	23%	76%	87%	13%	41%	53%	41%	54%	11%	41%	6%	10%	22%	35%	42%	23%	13%	21%	33%	19%	11%	33%	33%	31%	40%	51%	10%	32%	58%	13%	27%	61%	68%	32%	21%	78%	43%	24%	33%

** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.