Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27382

Kamala Harris, Adam Schiff, and Sara Jacobs Each Set to Easily Win 51st District Races Next Week; Economy, Abortion Seen as Top Issues: No surprises appear likely when votes begin to be counted next week in California's 51st Congressional District, according to SurveyUSA's latest exclusive polling for KGTV 10 News and the San Diego Union-Tribune. At the top of the ticket, Vice President Kamala Harris takes 62% of the vote, former President Donald Trump 29%, with 4% of likely voters saying they will cast a ballot for some other candidate, 2% telling SurveyUSA they will not cast a ballot in the contest, and 3% undecided. When SurveyUSA last polled the district in June, Joe Biden led Donald Trump by 21 points, 54% to 33%, a dozen points less than Harris' 33-point lead. In the full-term election for US Senate, Democrat Adam Schiff also has an easy time of it, defeating former pro baseball player Steve Garvey by a 21-point margin, 54% to 33%, with 2% not casting a ballot and 11% undecided. Garvey, who played for both the Dodgers and Padres, is running 4 points ahead of Donald Trump; Schiff, who represents the 30th Congressional District, is running 8 points behind Kamala Harris. Incumbent US Representative Sara Jacobs defeats El Cajon Mayor Bill Wells by 36 points, 61% to 25%, with 3% not casting a ballot and 10% undecided. Jacobs, first elected in 2020, has widened her lead since our polling this summer, when she led Wells by 22 points, 54% to 32%. 83% of Jacobs' voters say they will definitely vote for her; 13% say they might change their mind. 78% of Wells' voters say they will definitely vote for him; 14% may change their minds. 75% of likely voters say it is very important to them to vote in the US House election; 18% say it is somewhat important; 4% say it isn't very important, and just 2% say it isn't important at all. A large plurality of voters, 41%, say the economy and cost of living is the most important issue to them when voting for Congress. Those voters prefer Sara Jacobs by an 18-point margin, 51% to 33%. Abortion, at 21%, is the next-most important issue; voters most-focused on abortion back Jacobs by 79 points, 85% to 6%. Those who say immigration is most important in their vote, 15% of likely voters, prefer Wells by a 31-point margin, 57% to 26%. A candidate's political party is seen as a major factor when deciding who to support for Congress by 54% of voters; 23% say this is a moderate factor; 14% a minor factor. 6% say it isn't a factor at all. 25% day federal laws and policies on climate have the greatest impact on their life and their family; 22% say policies and laws on immigration; 20% say on guns; 12% say abortion; 6% the Middle East; 4% China. Fully crosstabbed results follow ...

About the Research / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 650 adults from California's 51st Congressional District 10/23/24 through 10/27/24. Of the adults, 565 were identified as being registered to vote; of the registered voters, 521 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the election or to have already cast their ballots. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (44% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer, using telephone sample of registered voters purchased from Aristotle in Washington DC. Respondents unreachable on a landline telephone (56% of likely voters) were shown the survey questions on the display of their smartphone, laptop or tablet, using online adult panelists chosen randomly by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. The combined pool of survey respondents was weighted to targets for gender, age, race, home ownership, and recalled 2020 Presidential vote.

1	Are you registered to vote in the state of California?

650 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent <18		Likely?			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 House Vote		2024 Senate Vote		2024 President		2020 President		Most Important Issue					Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		LGBTQ+ Friends/f		Immigrant Friend		Active Duty Frie		Veteran Friends/		Gun Owning Frien		Addiction Friend		Housing Unstable		Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Already	Certain	Probable	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Wells	Jacobs	Garvey	Schiff	Trump	Harris	Trump	Biden	Abortion	Immigrat	Climate	Foreign	Economy	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Online	Telephon
Yes	88%	87%	89%	80%	81%	91%	100%	81%	96%	89%	89%	81%	86%	89%	100%	100%	100%	88%	96%	81%	95%	86%	89%	93%	93%	90%	89%	93%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	93%	97%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	78%	87%	93%	78%	88%	93%	97%	77%	85%	89%	89%	87%	92%	85%	85%	88%	89%	86%	91%	84%	86%	88%	82%	89%	81%	100%
No	10%	10%	11%	17%	18%	7%	0%	17%	3%	10%	11%	12%	14%	9%	-	-	-	11%	4%	16%	5%	10%	9%	7%	7%	8%	9%	7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7%	2%	-	-	-	-	-	21%	10%	6%	20%	12%	5%	2%	20%	14%	9%	10%	11%	8%	12%	13%	10%	10%	12%	8%	14%	13%	10%	16%	9%	16%	0%
Not Sure	2%	3%	0%	3%	2%	2%	0%	2%	1%	1%	0%	7%	0%	2%	-	-	-	1%	0%	4%	0%	4%	2%	0%	0%	2%	2%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	0%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	0%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Adults	100%	49%	51%	26%	26%	23%	25%	52%	48%	69%	17%	13%	24%	75%	31%	49%	12%	26%	45%	22%	10%	15%	36%	17%	14%	25%	36%	31%	25%	61%	33%	54%	29%	62%	28%	48%	21%	15%	9%	6%	41%	19%	37%	45%	24%	34%	42%	53%	47%	41%	58%	43%	57%	35%	65%	22%	78%	50%	50%	49%	51%	39%	61%	22%	78%	63%	37%

2

California will elect a President of the United States and members of Congress in November. Are you not interested in politics and will not vote? Not sure whether you will or won't have time to vote? Almost certain you'll find time to vote? Absolutely 100% certain you will vote? Or have you already voted?

565 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent <18		Likely?			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 House Vote		2024 Senate Vote		2024 President		2020 President		Most Important Issue					Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		LGBTQ+ Friends/f		Immigrant Friend		Active Duty Frie		Veteran Friends/		Gun Owning Frien		Addiction Friend		Housing Unstable		Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Already	Certain	Probable	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Wells	Jacobs	Garvey	Schiff	Trump	Harris	Trump	Biden	Abortion	Immigrat	Climate	Foreign	Economy	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Online	Telephon
Not Interested / Will Not Vote	5%	6%	3%	4%	6%	5%	4%	5%	4%	4%	7%	3%	7%	4%	0%	0%	0%	6%	1%	7%	11%	2%	4%	3%	0%	6%	4%	2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	5%	5%	4%	10%	2%	1%	2%	6%	3%	6%	3%	5%	1%	6%	6%	4%	3%	4%	4%	4%	5%	3%	5%	3%	5%	4%
Not Sure	3%	2%	5%	10%	2%	2%	0%	6%	1%	3%	3%	3%	6%	3%	0%	0%	0%	2%	1%	8%	2%	5%	4%	2%	1%	4%	4%	2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	8%	4%	1%	6%	4%	1%	1%	6%	5%	3%	5%	2%	3%	4%	3%	4%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	4%	7%	3%	5%	1%
Almost Certain	12%	16%	8%	24%	13%	7%	6%	18%	6%	10%	14%	19%	13%	12%	0%	0%	100%	11%	12%	14%	8%	16%	13%	13%	10%	13%	13%	12%	10%	11%	12%	11%	14%	11%	9%	11%	13%	9%	6%	2%	16%	19%	13%	9%	18%	15%	7%	8%	17%	13%	12%	14%	11%	9%	14%	6%	14%	11%	14%	11%	14%	12%	13%	13%	13%	14%	9%
100% Certain	49%	48%	50%	46%	53%	60%	37%	50%	48%	51%	41%	48%	52%	48%	0%	100%	0%	56%	47%	45%	47%	53%	48%	46%	51%	51%	48%	48%	51%	50%	58%	48%	56%	50%	59%	51%	49%	46%	56%	74%	58%	36%	42%	58%	41%	45%	57%	50%	49%	54%	46%	46%	51%	50%	48%	56%	47%	52%	47%	51%	47%	52%	48%	45%	50%	53%	43%
Already Voted	31%	28%	35%	15%	26%	26%	53%	21%	41%	31%	35%	27%	22%	34%	100%	0%	0%	25%	39%	25%	31%	24%	31%	36%	37%	27%	31%	36%	39%	39%	30%	41%	30%	38%	26%	37%	38%	46%	38%	24%	26%	32%	35%	28%	25%	34%	33%	39%	21%	25%	34%	31%	30%	37%	27%	28%	32%	31%	32%	30%	32%	28%	33%	30%	31%	22%	43%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	23%	24%	24%	29%	47%	53%	70%	18%	12%	23%	76%	31%	49%	12%	26%	49%	21%	11%	15%	36%	18%	15%	26%	36%	33%	25%	61%	33%	54%	29%	62%	29%	54%	21%	15%	9%	6%	41%	16%	36%	48%	21%	34%	45%	59%	41%	39%	59%	44%	56%	37%	63%	22%	78%	51%	49%	51%	49%	39%	61%	21%	79%	58%	42%

3	In the election for President, how do you vote? Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Kamala Harris? Or another candidate?

521 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent <18		Likely?			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 House Vote		2024 Senate Vote		2024 President		2020 President		Most Important Issue					Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		LGBTQ+ Friends/f		Immigrant Friend		Active Duty Frie		Veteran Friends/		Gun Owning Frien		Addiction Friend		Housing Unstable		Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Already	Certain	Probable	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Wells	Jacobs	Garvey	Schiff	Trump	Harris	Trump	Biden	Abortion	Immigrat	Climate	Foreign	Economy	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Online	Telephon
Donald Trump (R)	29%	37%	22%	35%	31%	27%	26%	33%	26%	30%	27%	27%	37%	27%	26%	31%	30%	81%	3%	30%	61%	67%	32%	1%	4%	65%	32%	3%	83%	5%	71%	2%	100%	0%	84%	2%	5%	66%	10%	16%	38%	37%	31%	26%	30%	30%	30%	26%	35%	25%	33%	21%	36%	25%	32%	28%	30%	32%	27%	29%	30%	37%	24%	34%	28%	34%	24%
Kamala Harris (D)	62%	54%	70%	57%	54%	64%	70%	55%	67%	61%	65%	63%	52%	64%	70%	58%	54%	15%	96%	41%	38%	19%	57%	93%	93%	27%	57%	93%	9%	92%	16%	96%	0%	100%	8%	95%	92%	20%	87%	81%	49%	56%	59%	66%	59%	65%	62%	69%	52%	67%	58%	70%	56%	66%	59%	62%	62%	59%	65%	61%	62%	55%	66%	56%	63%	56%	70%
Other	4%	6%	2%	5%	6%	3%	3%	5%	3%	5%	2%	3%	4%	4%	1%	5%	9%	1%	1%	15%	0%	10%	5%	3%	1%	6%	5%	2%	5%	2%	7%	2%	0%	0%	3%	1%	1%	7%	0%	2%	6%	4%	5%	4%	3%	2%	4%	2%	6%	5%	4%	5%	3%	4%	4%	7%	3%	5%	3%	6%	2%	5%	3%	6%	4%	4%	4%
Not Casting a Ballot	2%	2%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	0%	5%	1%	2%	2%	1%	4%	1%	0%	7%	2%	1%	3%	0%	1%	1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	4%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	4%	2%	2%	1%	0%	1%	3%	2%	1%	2%	3%	0%	1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	3%	1%	1%	2%	0%	3%	0%	2%	2%	1%
Undecided	3%	1%	5%	3%	6%	4%	0%	5%	2%	3%	5%	2%	6%	2%	1%	5%	2%	2%	0%	8%	0%	3%	4%	2%	1%	2%	4%	2%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	4%	1%	1%	3%	0%	0%	6%	4%	5%	2%	6%	2%	3%	1%	6%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	5%	2%	4%	2%	4%	4%	3%	5%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	49%	51%	21%	24%	25%	30%	45%	55%	70%	17%	13%	22%	78%	34%	53%	13%	26%	52%	19%	10%	15%	36%	18%	16%	25%	36%	34%	25%	61%	33%	54%	29%	62%	30%	57%	21%	15%	9%	6%	41%	15%	36%	49%	19%	34%	47%	61%	39%	39%	59%	44%	56%	38%	62%	21%	79%	52%	48%	51%	49%	39%	61%	20%	80%	56%	44%

4	In the full-term election for United States Senator from California, how do you vote? Republican Steve Garvey? Or Democrat Adam Schiff?

521 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent <18		Likely?			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 House Vote		2024 Senate Vote		2024 President		2020 President		Most Important Issue					Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		LGBTQ+ Friends/f		Immigrant Friend		Active Duty Frie		Veteran Friends/		Gun Owning Frien		Addiction Friend		Housing Unstable		Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Already	Certain	Probable	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Wells	Jacobs	Garvey	Schiff	Trump	Harris	Trump	Biden	Abortion	Immigrat	Climate	Foreign	Economy	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Online	Telephon
Steve Garvey (R)	33%	43%	24%	34%	35%	33%	31%	34%	32%	35%	27%	29%	41%	31%	30%	36%	31%	77%	8%	44%	65%	74%	39%	1%	3%	70%	39%	2%	91%	11%	100%	0%	80%	9%	79%	9%	8%	69%	18%	32%	42%	37%	31%	34%	32%	30%	35%	33%	33%	25%	38%	26%	38%	28%	36%	35%	32%	33%	33%	32%	34%	35%	32%	31%	33%	36%	30%
Adam Schiff (D)	54%	46%	62%	46%	41%	61%	65%	44%	63%	56%	54%	46%	41%	58%	65%	50%	44%	13%	86%	29%	27%	15%	46%	90%	89%	20%	46%	90%	4%	85%	0%	100%	4%	84%	6%	83%	84%	22%	77%	66%	41%	50%	52%	57%	52%	58%	54%	61%	45%	58%	52%	60%	49%	61%	50%	51%	55%	50%	58%	54%	54%	53%	55%	53%	54%	46%	65%
Not Casting a Ballot	2%	3%	1%	4%	1%	0%	2%	3%	1%	1%	2%	9%	1%	2%	2%	1%	5%	1%	1%	4%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	0%	3%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	1%	1%	3%	1%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%
Undecided	11%	8%	13%	16%	22%	6%	1%	19%	4%	8%	17%	16%	17%	9%	3%	13%	20%	9%	4%	23%	8%	10%	13%	8%	6%	9%	13%	7%	4%	3%	0%	0%	15%	6%	15%	6%	7%	9%	2%	0%	14%	13%	14%	8%	15%	9%	10%	4%	20%	16%	8%	12%	10%	9%	12%	12%	11%	14%	8%	13%	9%	12%	11%	16%	10%	17%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	49%	51%	21%	24%	25%	30%	45%	55%	70%	17%	13%	22%	78%	34%	53%	13%	26%	52%	19%	10%	15%	36%	18%	16%	25%	36%	34%	25%	61%	33%	54%	29%	62%	30%	57%	21%	15%	9%	6%	41%	15%	36%	49%	19%	34%	47%	61%	39%	39%	59%	44%	56%	38%	62%	21%	79%	52%	48%	51%	49%	39%	61%	20%	80%	56%	44%

In the election for US House of Representatives in California's 51st Congressional District, how do you vote? Republican Bill Wells? Or Democrat Sara Jacobs?

521 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent <18		Likely?			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 House Vote		2024 Senate Vote		2024 President		2020 President		Most Important Issue					Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		LGBTQ+ Friends/f		Immigrant Friend		Active Duty Frie		Veteran Friends/		Gun Owning Frien		Addiction Friend		Housing Unstable		Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Already	Certain	Probable	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Wells	Jacobs	Garvey	Schiff	Trump	Harris	Trump	Biden	Abortion	Immigrat	Climate	Foreign	Economy	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Online	Telephon
Bill Wells (R)	25%	32%	19%	27%	23%	22%	29%	25%	26%	26%	21%	27%	30%	24%	29%	24%	20%	66%	5%	32%	57%	60%	26%	1%	3%	59%	26%	2%	100%	0%	70%	2%	72%	4%	69%	3%	6%	57%	8%	14%	33%	25%	27%	25%	20%	25%	27%	27%	22%	19%	30%	19%	30%	24%	26%	25%	25%	29%	21%	25%	25%	27%	24%	19%	27%	24%	28%
Sara Jacobs (D)	61%	56%	65%	56%	56%	63%	67%	56%	65%	63%	62%	51%	54%	63%	70%	57%	52%	20%	92%	37%	41%	19%	56%	92%	91%	28%	56%	91%	0%	100%	21%	95%	11%	91%	14%	90%	85%	26%	87%	76%	51%	60%	54%	66%	59%	66%	59%	66%	55%	63%	59%	69%	55%	67%	57%	62%	61%	56%	67%	61%	62%	58%	63%	65%	60%	56%	68%
Not Casting a Ballot	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	3%	3%	1%	7%	3%	4%	0%	4%	8%	4%	1%	5%	1%	4%	4%	4%	1%	3%	4%	2%	0%	0%	4%	2%	4%	1%	4%	2%	3%	4%	1%	4%	4%	0%	5%	3%	4%	2%	4%	1%	6%	4%	2%	1%	5%	2%	4%	1%	3%	2%	4%	2%	4%	2%	4%	2%	3%	4%	3%
Undecided	10%	8%	13%	14%	17%	13%	0%	16%	6%	8%	16%	15%	14%	9%	1%	14%	20%	10%	2%	26%	1%	17%	14%	4%	6%	11%	14%	5%	0%	0%	5%	1%	14%	5%	14%	5%	6%	13%	4%	6%	12%	15%	14%	6%	17%	7%	10%	6%	17%	14%	9%	11%	10%	7%	13%	12%	10%	13%	8%	12%	9%	13%	9%	14%	10%	17%	2%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	49%	51%	21%	24%	25%	30%	45%	55%	70%	17%	13%	22%	78%	34%	53%	13%	26%	52%	19%	10%	15%	36%	18%	16%	25%	36%	34%	25%	61%	33%	54%	29%	62%	30%	57%	21%	15%	9%	6%	41%	15%	36%	49%	19%	34%	47%	61%	39%	39%	59%	44%	56%	38%	62%	21%	79%	52%	48%	51%	49%	39%	61%	20%	80%	56%	44%

6	Will you definitely vote for that house candidate? Or is there a chance you might change your mind?

450 Voting For House Candidate	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent <18		Likely?			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 House Vote		2024 Senate Vote		2024 President		2020 President		Most Important Issue					Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		LGBTQ+ Friends/f		Immigrant Friend		Active Duty Frie		Veteran Friends/		Gun Owning Frien		Addiction Friend		Housing Unstable		Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Already	Certain	Probable	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Wells	Jacobs	Garvey	Schiff	Trump	Harris	Trump	Biden	Abortion	Immigrat	Climate	Foreign	Economy	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Online	Telephon
Will Definitely Vote For Them	82%	84%	80%	72%	67%	91%	90%	70%	91%	81%	84%	84%	75%	84%	88%	81%	64%	72%	87%	79%	96%	75%	73%	83%	93%	85%	73%	88%	78%	83%	76%	88%	79%	84%	74%	86%	90%	83%	84%	76%	77%	78%	84%	82%	84%	76%	85%	89%	68%	85%	80%	79%	83%	85%	79%	74%	83%	78%	85%	79%	84%	74%	86%	68%	85%	73%	91%
May Change My Mind	13%	14%	13%	23%	25%	5%	6%	24%	6%	15%	10%	11%	22%	11%	7%	15%	30%	22%	8%	16%	4%	16%	21%	13%	3%	11%	21%	8%	14%	13%	18%	9%	15%	12%	18%	10%	7%	6%	13%	24%	19%	15%	10%	15%	8%	18%	12%	9%	22%	10%	16%	15%	12%	11%	16%	21%	12%	16%	11%	17%	10%	19%	11%	20%	12%	20%	6%
Not Sure	5%	2%	8%	5%	7%	4%	4%	6%	4%	4%	6%	5%	3%	5%	5%	4%	6%	5%	4%	5%	0%	8%	5%	4%	4%	5%	5%	4%	8%	3%	6%	3%	6%	4%	7%	4%	3%	10%	4%	0%	4%	8%	6%	3%	8%	6%	3%	2%	9%	5%	5%	6%	4%	4%	6%	4%	5%	6%	4%	3%	6%	7%	3%	13%	3%	7%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Voting For House Candidate	100%	50%	50%	21%	22%	24%	33%	43%	57%	72%	17%	12%	21%	78%	39%	50%	11%	26%	58%	15%	11%	14%	34%	20%	17%	25%	34%	37%	29%	71%	35%	61%	28%	67%	29%	62%	23%	14%	10%	6%	40%	15%	33%	52%	17%	36%	46%	65%	35%	37%	61%	45%	55%	40%	60%	22%	78%	51%	49%	51%	49%	38%	62%	19%	81%	52%	48%

7	How important to you is it to vote in the election for US House of Representatives?

521 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent <18		Likely?			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 House Vote		2024 Senate Vote		2024 President		2020 President		Most Important Issue					Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		LGBTQ+ Friends/f		Immigrant Friend		Active Duty Frie		Veteran Friends/		Gun Owning Frien		Addiction Friend		Housing Unstable		Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Already	Certain	Probable	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Wells	Jacobs	Garvey	Schiff	Trump	Harris	Trump	Biden	Abortion	Immigrat	Climate	Foreign	Economy	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Online	Telephon
Very Important	75%	77%	73%	59%	70%	77%	89%	65%	84%	76%	74%	74%	80%	74%	88%	76%	38%	74%	83%	58%	96%	70%	65%	78%	88%	80%	65%	82%	81%	83%	76%	83%	72%	82%	73%	83%	85%	72%	82%	71%	70%	71%	68%	82%	67%	77%	78%	86%	59%	78%	73%	73%	76%	78%	73%	69%	77%	71%	79%	74%	76%	71%	77%	72%	76%	66%	88%
Somewhat Important	18%	16%	20%	32%	26%	13%	4%	29%	8%	17%	21%	17%	18%	18%	8%	18%	45%	17%	13%	29%	4%	22%	25%	15%	12%	15%	25%	13%	13%	12%	17%	14%	20%	14%	21%	12%	11%	16%	13%	24%	23%	18%	24%	13%	23%	16%	17%	10%	31%	14%	21%	20%	17%	17%	19%	20%	18%	20%	17%	19%	18%	20%	17%	21%	18%	28%	5%
Not Very Important	4%	5%	2%	8%	2%	4%	3%	5%	3%	4%	2%	3%	0%	5%	2%	3%	13%	4%	2%	8%	0%	5%	6%	5%	0%	3%	6%	3%	3%	4%	4%	2%	3%	3%	1%	4%	2%	7%	4%	4%	4%	5%	3%	4%	4%	4%	3%	2%	6%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	8%	3%	6%	2%	5%	3%	6%	3%	7%	3%	4%	4%
Not At All Important	2%	1%	3%	1%	1%	5%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	3%	3%	1%	3%	0%	0%	4%	1%	0%	0%	4%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	3%	1%	3%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	2%	4%	3%	0%	5%	2%	1%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	0%	2%	3%	0%
Not Sure	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	3%	0%	2%	1%	1%	4%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	3%	0%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	3%	0%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	4%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	49%	51%	21%	24%	25%	30%	45%	55%	70%	17%	13%	22%	78%	34%	53%	13%	26%	52%	19%	10%	15%	36%	18%	16%	25%	36%	34%	25%	61%	33%	54%	29%	62%	30%	57%	21%	15%	9%	6%	41%	15%	36%	49%	19%	34%	47%	61%	39%	39%	59%	44%	56%	38%	62%	21%	79%	52%	48%	51%	49%	39%	61%	20%	80%	56%	44%

8	What is the most important issue to you in voting for Congress? Abortion? Immigration? Climate change? Foreign policy? The economy & cost of living? Or infrastructure & transportation?

521 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent <18		Likely?			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 House Vote		2024 Senate Vote		2024 President		2020 President		Most Important Issue					Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		LGBTQ+ Friends/f		Immigrant Friend		Active Duty Frie		Veteran Friends/		Gun Owning Frien		Addiction Friend		Housing Unstable		Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Already	Certain	Probable	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Wells	Jacobs	Garvey	Schiff	Trump	Harris	Trump	Biden	Abortion	Immigrat	Climate	Foreign	Economy	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Online	Telephon
Abortion	21%	17%	26%	18%	13%	32%	22%	15%	26%	21%	18%	27%	16%	23%	24%	20%	22%	7%	32%	15%	15%	8%	13%	33%	46%	11%	13%	39%	5%	30%	5%	33%	4%	32%	5%	31%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	25%	22%	19%	19%	25%	20%	25%	17%	26%	18%	24%	19%	19%	22%	19%	22%	20%	22%	19%	24%	15%	25%	16%	23%	16%	28%
Immigration	15%	17%	12%	12%	8%	19%	19%	10%	19%	14%	19%	9%	12%	15%	19%	13%	10%	27%	6%	19%	27%	29%	14%	6%	3%	28%	14%	5%	33%	6%	30%	6%	32%	5%	28%	7%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	15%	13%	15%	12%	10%	18%	16%	10%	10%	17%	11%	16%	15%	13%	16%	13%	15%	13%	15%	12%	16%	12%	13%	14%	12%	17%
Climate Change	9%	10%	9%	9%	13%	6%	9%	11%	8%	11%	4%	5%	9%	9%	10%	10%	4%	6%	13%	5%	4%	1%	9%	9%	22%	2%	9%	15%	3%	13%	5%	13%	3%	13%	3%	14%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	8%	8%	11%	8%	5%	13%	11%	7%	7%	11%	10%	9%	10%	9%	6%	10%	8%	11%	11%	8%	11%	8%	10%	9%	10%	9%
Foreign Policy	6%	7%	4%	2%	3%	5%	10%	2%	8%	5%	8%	5%	0%	7%	4%	8%	1%	6%	6%	2%	3%	4%	8%	9%	0%	4%	8%	5%	3%	7%	5%	7%	3%	7%	3%	8%	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%	4%	5%	6%	3%	2%	9%	8%	2%	6%	5%	5%	6%	6%	6%	6%	6%	8%	3%	7%	4%	5%	6%	2%	6%	3%	9%
Economy / Cost Of Living	41%	41%	41%	49%	56%	30%	31%	53%	31%	39%	43%	47%	55%	37%	31%	45%	52%	47%	33%	51%	51%	56%	46%	35%	17%	54%	46%	27%	53%	34%	52%	31%	53%	33%	54%	32%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%	42%	42%	40%	46%	48%	33%	32%	54%	40%	42%	40%	43%	39%	43%	48%	40%	40%	43%	43%	41%	45%	40%	52%	39%	50%	30%
Infrastructure / Transportation	2%	4%	1%	3%	3%	1%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	4%	5%	1%	2%	1%	1%	3%	1%	4%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	5%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	3%	2%	3%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%	3%	1%	4%	1%	3%	1%	3%	2%	2%
Other / Not Sure	6%	5%	8%	7%	4%	7%	6%	6%	7%	7%	5%	6%	6%	6%	10%	4%	8%	2%	8%	7%	0%	1%	7%	7%	8%	1%	7%	7%	1%	8%	0%	8%	2%	8%	2%	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	5%	6%	7%	8%	6%	6%	5%	8%	9%	5%	9%	4%	8%	5%	5%	7%	7%	6%	5%	8%	7%	6%	6%	6%	7%	6%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	49%	51%	21%	24%	25%	30%	45%	55%	70%	17%	13%	22%	78%	34%	53%	13%	26%	52%	19%	10%	15%	36%	18%	16%	25%	36%	34%	25%	61%	33%	54%	29%	62%	30%	57%	21%	15%	9%	6%	41%	15%	36%	49%	19%	34%	47%	61%	39%	39%	59%	44%	56%	38%	62%	21%	79%	52%	48%	51%	49%	39%	61%	20%	80%	56%	44%

9	How big a factor is political party in your decision on whom to support for Congress? A major factor? A moderate factor? A minor factor? Or not at all a factor?

521 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent <18		Likely?			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 House Vote		2024 Senate Vote		2024 President		2020 President		Most Important Issue					Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		LGBTQ+ Friends/f		Immigrant Friend		Active Duty Frie		Veteran Friends/		Gun Owning Frien		Addiction Friend		Housing Unstable		Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Already	Certain	Probable	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Wells	Jacobs	Garvey	Schiff	Trump	Harris	Trump	Biden	Abortion	Immigrat	Climate	Foreign	Economy	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Online	Telephon
A Major Factor	54%	51%	58%	50%	51%	53%	61%	51%	57%	54%	57%	52%	52%	55%	58%	56%	39%	54%	67%	21%	80%	52%	31%	63%	84%	63%	31%	73%	53%	61%	47%	64%	51%	61%	49%	64%	76%	54%	63%	55%	42%	47%	56%	56%	54%	53%	56%	59%	47%	59%	50%	54%	54%	59%	51%	50%	55%	54%	54%	54%	54%	52%	55%	59%	53%	48%	62%
A Moderate Factor	23%	24%	23%	31%	23%	18%	22%	27%	20%	25%	16%	25%	22%	24%	22%	24%	24%	20%	23%	30%	9%	25%	31%	29%	8%	19%	31%	20%	19%	26%	24%	24%	17%	25%	22%	23%	15%	16%	26%	23%	30%	20%	22%	25%	11%	29%	25%	23%	24%	20%	26%	22%	25%	17%	28%	22%	24%	20%	27%	25%	23%	23%	24%	19%	25%	25%	21%
A Minor Factor	14%	15%	13%	15%	19%	19%	5%	17%	11%	14%	15%	8%	20%	12%	12%	12%	27%	16%	5%	31%	8%	16%	24%	5%	6%	13%	24%	5%	19%	8%	20%	7%	22%	7%	17%	8%	5%	19%	7%	20%	17%	24%	10%	13%	19%	11%	13%	10%	20%	13%	15%	16%	13%	18%	12%	18%	13%	16%	13%	14%	14%	18%	12%	13%	14%	18%	8%
Not At All a Factor	6%	8%	4%	3%	3%	8%	9%	3%	8%	5%	5%	10%	4%	6%	6%	6%	5%	6%	3%	15%	1%	7%	10%	1%	2%	5%	10%	2%	7%	3%	7%	3%	7%	4%	8%	4%	2%	10%	4%	2%	8%	5%	7%	5%	7%	5%	5%	6%	5%	4%	6%	6%	5%	4%	7%	6%	5%	6%	4%	6%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	7%
Not Sure	3%	3%	3%	2%	4%	1%	4%	3%	3%	2%	7%	5%	2%	3%	2%	3%	6%	4%	1%	3%	2%	0%	4%	1%	0%	1%	4%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	2%	4%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%	3%	4%	5%	1%	9%	3%	1%	2%	4%	4%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	49%	51%	21%	24%	25%	30%	45%	55%	70%	17%	13%	22%	78%	34%	53%	13%	26%	52%	19%	10%	15%	36%	18%	16%	25%	36%	34%	25%	61%	33%	54%	29%	62%	30%	57%	21%	15%	9%	6%	41%	15%	36%	49%	19%	34%	47%	61%	39%	39%	59%	44%	56%	38%	62%	21%	79%	52%	48%	51%	49%	39%	61%	20%	80%	56%	44%

10	Federal laws and policies on which of these have the greatest impact on your life and your family? Immigration? Abortion? Guns? Climate? The Middle East? Or China?

521 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent <18		Likely?			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 House Vote		2024 Senate Vote		2024 President		2020 President		Most Important Issue					Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity		LGBTQ+ Friends/f		Immigrant Friend		Active Duty Frie		Veteran Friends/		Gun Owning Frien		Addiction Friend		Housing Unstable		Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Already	Certain	Probable	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Wells	Jacobs	Garvey	Schiff	Trump	Harris	Trump	Biden	Abortion	Immigrat	Climate	Foreign	Economy	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Online	Telephon
Immigration	22%	26%	19%	25%	21%	20%	24%	23%	22%	21%	22%	30%	24%	22%	23%	22%	21%	47%	7%	32%	47%	52%	22%	3%	3%	50%	22%	3%	57%	6%	49%	4%	57%	5%	53%	5%	6%	63%	3%	7%	27%	26%	23%	21%	22%	19%	25%	23%	21%	14%	27%	17%	26%	23%	21%	17%	23%	23%	21%	25%	19%	24%	20%	18%	23%	22%	23%
Abortion	12%	9%	14%	17%	9%	13%	9%	13%	11%	12%	7%	14%	11%	12%	11%	10%	21%	4%	15%	14%	6%	5%	8%	19%	18%	6%	8%	19%	4%	14%	4%	14%	4%	15%	5%	14%	33%	6%	1%	0%	8%	20%	13%	8%	12%	14%	9%	8%	16%	12%	12%	16%	8%	9%	13%	11%	12%	12%	11%	14%	9%	11%	12%	11%	12%	12%	12%
Guns	20%	17%	23%	22%	22%	17%	21%	22%	19%	20%	25%	13%	26%	18%	21%	21%	13%	15%	28%	8%	23%	10%	19%	25%	26%	16%	19%	26%	8%	27%	11%	27%	9%	28%	11%	26%	21%	14%	29%	22%	18%	10%	21%	22%	21%	18%	22%	24%	14%	25%	17%	17%	23%	17%	22%	17%	21%	18%	22%	18%	22%	17%	22%	19%	20%	20%	20%
Climate	25%	25%	25%	20%	27%	34%	20%	24%	26%	26%	25%	20%	19%	27%	26%	24%	27%	8%	35%	23%	8%	10%	25%	32%	47%	9%	25%	39%	8%	34%	11%	37%	5%	35%	6%	36%	31%	3%	59%	10%	23%	24%	17%	31%	25%	27%	25%	25%	25%	27%	24%	28%	23%	23%	26%	24%	25%	23%	28%	25%	26%	31%	22%	36%	23%	26%	24%
The Middle East	6%	5%	6%	8%	6%	3%	5%	7%	4%	6%	3%	6%	7%	5%	2%	8%	4%	7%	4%	4%	7%	5%	8%	4%	1%	6%	8%	3%	7%	4%	7%	5%	7%	4%	7%	5%	2%	5%	7%	24%	5%	5%	5%	6%	3%	7%	5%	6%	6%	6%	5%	7%	5%	8%	4%	8%	5%	6%	5%	4%	7%	4%	7%	6%	6%	6%	5%
China	4%	6%	1%	3%	1%	7%	4%	2%	5%	4%	3%	2%	1%	5%	2%	6%	1%	9%	1%	6%	1%	5%	8%	1%	0%	4%	8%	0%	6%	4%	9%	1%	8%	2%	7%	2%	0%	5%	0%	12%	5%	6%	4%	3%	5%	5%	2%	3%	6%	4%	4%	2%	5%	4%	4%	7%	3%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%
Not Sure	11%	10%	13%	4%	14%	8%	17%	10%	13%	10%	14%	15%	12%	11%	14%	9%	14%	10%	10%	12%	7%	13%	10%	16%	5%	11%	10%	11%	10%	11%	9%	11%	10%	10%	10%	11%	7%	4%	1%	25%	14%	9%	15%	10%	12%	11%	12%	11%	13%	12%	11%	13%	11%	14%	10%	16%	10%	13%	9%	11%	12%	9%	13%	7%	13%	10%	13%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	49%	51%	21%	24%	25%	30%	45%	55%	70%	17%	13%	22%	78%	34%	53%	13%	26%	52%	19%	10%	15%	36%	18%	16%	25%	36%	34%	25%	61%	33%	54%	29%	62%	30%	57%	21%	15%	9%	6%	41%	15%	36%	49%	19%	34%	47%	61%	39%	39%	59%	44%	56%	38%	62%	21%	79%	52%	48%	51%	49%	39%	61%	20%	80%	56%	44%