| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17132 |
| New York State: Cuomo Atop Paladino for Govenor; Gillibrand and DioGuardi Even for US Senate; Schumer Re-Elected:
In an election for New York Governor today, 09/22/10, 1 week after the Primary and 6 weeks until the General Election, Democrat Andrew Cuomo defeats Republican Carl Paladino 49% to 40%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for Gannett, including WGRZ-TV in Buffalo, The Rochester Democrat & Chronicle, and the Journal News in White Plains.
Lower-income voters account for all of Cuomo's lead. The contest is effectively even among middle-income and upper-income voters. Cuomo leads 2:1 in New York City. Paladino leads 5:3 in Western NY. The candidates are effectively even in the NYC suburbs and Upstate. Consistent with SurveyUSA polling in other statewide races: men in 2010 are voting Republican, women in 2010 are voting Democrat; there is a 34-point gender gap for Governor. New York voters will, unusually, elect 2 United States Senators in 2010. In the Special Election to fill the final 2 years of Hillary Rodham Clinton's term, incumbent Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand and former Congressman Republican Joe DioGuardi today finish effectively even, Gillibrand's nominal 1-point lead being within the survey's theoretical margin of sampling error. Gillibrand leads in the 5 boroughs of NYC, trails elsewhere. Men vote Republican, women vote Democrat and, in this contest, cancel each other out. Lower-income voters break significantly Democrat. Middle-income and upper-income voters break slightly Republican. In New York's general election for US Senate, incumbent Democrat Chuck Schumer is reelected, defeating Republican Jay Townsend 54% to 33%. Schumer leads among both men and women, among both young and old, among both whites and minorities. 1 in 4 Republicans cross over to vote for Schumer; Independents favor Schumer by 17 points. Schumer wins in NYC and its suburbs, leads in WNY, trails upstate. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 New York adults 09/20/10 through 09/21/10. Of them, 867 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 572 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the November general election. |
 | [Candidate names rotated] If the election for New York Governor were today, who would you vote for? Republican Carl Paladino? Democrat Andrew Cuomo? Or another candidate? |
| 572 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Tea Party | Top Issue | College Grad | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Jobs | Taxes | Health C | Governme | Public C | Yes | No | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | NYC | NYC Subu | Upstate | WNY | |
| Paladino (R) | 40% | 49% | 32% | 56% | 40% | 38% | 33% | 45% | 36% | 46% | 7% | 33% | 42% | 72% | 16% | 39% | 69% | 32% | 15% | 76% | 8% | 33% | 24% | 54% | 14% | 66% | 32% | 41% | 39% | 54% | 31% | 66% | 30% | 28% | 44% | 46% | 28% | 45% | 42% | 58% |
| Cuomo (D) | 49% | 40% | 57% | 33% | 49% | 49% | 58% | 43% | 53% | 42% | 86% | 55% | 41% | 18% | 77% | 41% | 17% | 58% | 78% | 12% | 84% | 54% | 68% | 33% | 75% | 21% | 46% | 48% | 50% | 36% | 57% | 23% | 59% | 60% | 46% | 44% | 61% | 44% | 43% | 36% |
| Other | 8% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 20% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 5% |
| Undecided | 3% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 29% | 29% | 25% | 46% | 54% | 73% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 35% | 44% | 20% | 35% | 36% | 20% | 38% | 35% | 22% | 38% | 27% | 8% | 13% | 7% | 59% | 41% | 39% | 59% | 27% | 71% | 26% | 41% | 33% | 38% | 26% | 20% | 16% |
 | [Candidate names rotated] New York will also elect two United States Senators. In the first US Senate election, for a 2-year term ... If the election were today, who would you vote for? Republican Joe DioGuardi? Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand? Or another candidate? |
| 572 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Tea Party | Top Issue | College Grad | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Jobs | Taxes | Health C | Governme | Public C | Yes | No | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | NYC | NYC Subu | Upstate | WNY | |
| DioGuardi (R) | 44% | 52% | 36% | 65% | 43% | 42% | 32% | 51% | 38% | 50% | 13% | 40% | 34% | 74% | 19% | 45% | 72% | 39% | 14% | 78% | 9% | 42% | 35% | 55% | 14% | 60% | 31% | 45% | 42% | 59% | 34% | 60% | 36% | 30% | 49% | 47% | 35% | 51% | 49% | 47% |
| Gillibrand (D) | 45% | 39% | 50% | 28% | 44% | 46% | 56% | 38% | 50% | 38% | 77% | 53% | 51% | 15% | 72% | 38% | 17% | 50% | 77% | 12% | 81% | 43% | 56% | 32% | 72% | 25% | 55% | 45% | 45% | 32% | 53% | 30% | 52% | 56% | 42% | 44% | 54% | 39% | 37% | 43% |
| Other | 8% | 5% | 10% | 2% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 0% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 8% |
| Undecided | 4% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 29% | 29% | 25% | 46% | 54% | 73% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 35% | 44% | 20% | 35% | 36% | 20% | 38% | 35% | 22% | 38% | 27% | 8% | 13% | 7% | 59% | 41% | 39% | 59% | 27% | 71% | 26% | 41% | 33% | 38% | 26% | 20% | 16% |
 | [Candidate names rotated] In the second US Senate election, for a full 6-year term ... If the election were today, who would you vote for? Republican Jay Townsend? Democrat Chuck Schumer? Or another candidate? |
| 572 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Tea Party | Top Issue | College Grad | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Jobs | Taxes | Health C | Governme | Public C | Yes | No | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | NYC | NYC Subu | Upstate | WNY | |
| Townsend (R) | 33% | 39% | 27% | 39% | 33% | 33% | 28% | 35% | 31% | 39% | 7% | 25% | 23% | 59% | 11% | 35% | 59% | 26% | 9% | 61% | 9% | 28% | 23% | 49% | 11% | 45% | 30% | 33% | 33% | 51% | 22% | 44% | 28% | 26% | 31% | 40% | 22% | 36% | 46% | 38% |
| Schumer (D) | 54% | 48% | 60% | 41% | 55% | 56% | 60% | 50% | 58% | 47% | 85% | 64% | 65% | 24% | 79% | 52% | 26% | 62% | 84% | 24% | 84% | 59% | 67% | 40% | 76% | 46% | 51% | 56% | 53% | 37% | 65% | 36% | 63% | 60% | 54% | 53% | 68% | 49% | 41% | 47% |
| Other | 10% | 11% | 9% | 16% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 12% | 5% | 11% | 1% | 12% | 8% | 13% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 15% | 5% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 7% | 16% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 17% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 12% |
| Undecided | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 29% | 29% | 25% | 46% | 54% | 73% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 35% | 44% | 20% | 35% | 36% | 20% | 38% | 35% | 22% | 38% | 27% | 8% | 13% | 7% | 59% | 41% | 39% | 59% | 27% | 71% | 26% | 41% | 33% | 38% | 26% | 20% | 16% |
 | Is your opinion of Carl Paladino ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Carl Paladino? |
| 572 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Tea Party | Top Issue | College Grad | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Jobs | Taxes | Health C | Governme | Public C | Yes | No | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | NYC | NYC Subu | Upstate | WNY | |
| Favorable | 35% | 43% | 27% | 56% | 35% | 27% | 29% | 43% | 28% | 38% | 14% | 44% | 25% | 55% | 19% | 35% | 61% | 23% | 20% | 64% | 11% | 28% | 25% | 41% | 20% | 53% | 22% | 37% | 33% | 51% | 25% | 53% | 29% | 31% | 41% | 35% | 28% | 35% | 32% | 53% |
| Unfavorable | 31% | 31% | 31% | 26% | 28% | 35% | 34% | 27% | 34% | 28% | 51% | 35% | 26% | 15% | 45% | 28% | 12% | 39% | 50% | 10% | 60% | 26% | 40% | 23% | 38% | 16% | 48% | 34% | 28% | 22% | 38% | 18% | 37% | 30% | 32% | 33% | 36% | 30% | 28% | 25% |
| Neutral | 21% | 17% | 25% | 11% | 20% | 24% | 26% | 17% | 25% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 23% | 20% | 18% | 30% | 19% | 22% | 18% | 20% | 15% | 32% | 20% | 24% | 26% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 23% | 22% | 21% | 19% | 21% | 25% | 19% | 21% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 14% |
| No Opinion | 13% | 9% | 18% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 22% | 13% | 25% | 10% | 18% | 7% | 8% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 16% | 5% | 16% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 12% | 14% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 29% | 29% | 25% | 46% | 54% | 73% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 35% | 44% | 20% | 35% | 36% | 20% | 38% | 35% | 22% | 38% | 27% | 8% | 13% | 7% | 59% | 41% | 39% | 59% | 27% | 71% | 26% | 41% | 33% | 38% | 26% | 20% | 16% |
 | Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Andrew Cuomo? |
| 572 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Tea Party | Top Issue | College Grad | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Jobs | Taxes | Health C | Governme | Public C | Yes | No | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | NYC | NYC Subu | Upstate | WNY | |
| Favorable | 47% | 42% | 51% | 41% | 43% | 44% | 57% | 42% | 50% | 40% | 76% | 64% | 48% | 20% | 71% | 41% | 21% | 55% | 71% | 17% | 78% | 47% | 61% | 34% | 74% | 28% | 46% | 48% | 45% | 33% | 56% | 29% | 54% | 51% | 47% | 42% | 58% | 41% | 42% | 35% |
| Unfavorable | 27% | 35% | 20% | 29% | 31% | 28% | 22% | 30% | 25% | 32% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 41% | 12% | 36% | 49% | 21% | 10% | 53% | 7% | 20% | 17% | 36% | 15% | 41% | 34% | 28% | 28% | 40% | 20% | 43% | 22% | 22% | 29% | 32% | 17% | 31% | 31% | 41% |
| Neutral | 23% | 20% | 25% | 28% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 25% | 21% | 24% | 12% | 20% | 34% | 33% | 15% | 22% | 27% | 21% | 18% | 26% | 13% | 29% | 19% | 26% | 9% | 27% | 17% | 22% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 24% | 22% | 24% | 20% | 22% | 23% | 26% | 19% | 19% |
| No Opinion | 4% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 29% | 29% | 25% | 46% | 54% | 73% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 35% | 44% | 20% | 35% | 36% | 20% | 38% | 35% | 22% | 38% | 27% | 8% | 13% | 7% | 59% | 41% | 39% | 59% | 27% | 71% | 26% | 41% | 33% | 38% | 26% | 20% | 16% |
 | Which of these issues is currently the most important one facing New York State? |
| 572 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Tea Party | Top Issue | College Grad | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Jobs | Taxes | Health C | Governme | Public C | Yes | No | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | NYC | NYC Subu | Upstate | WNY | |
| Jobs | 38% | 33% | 42% | 42% | 34% | 40% | 38% | 37% | 39% | 32% | 71% | 39% | 42% | 28% | 49% | 28% | 29% | 37% | 56% | 24% | 54% | 37% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 36% | 33% | 41% | 24% | 42% | 46% | 34% | 35% | 51% | 32% | 30% | 28% |
| Taxes | 27% | 27% | 27% | 21% | 31% | 29% | 23% | 27% | 26% | 31% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 34% | 18% | 35% | 34% | 25% | 16% | 30% | 19% | 35% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 26% | 29% | 34% | 22% | 30% | 25% | 20% | 27% | 33% | 15% | 33% | 30% | 40% |
| Health Care | 8% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% |
| Government Spending | 13% | 15% | 11% | 12% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 15% | 12% | 14% | 0% | 24% | 18% | 17% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 4% | 22% | 7% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 20% | 11% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 16% | 15% |
| Public Corruption | 7% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 15% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 11% | 5% |
| Business Friendly | 5% | 8% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 10% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| Other | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 29% | 29% | 25% | 46% | 54% | 73% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 35% | 44% | 20% | 35% | 36% | 20% | 38% | 35% | 22% | 38% | 27% | 8% | 13% | 7% | 59% | 41% | 39% | 59% | 27% | 71% | 26% | 41% | 33% | 38% | 26% | 20% | 16% |