Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14205
Libertarian Complicates NC Governor Race; Democrat & Republican Treading Water: In an election for North Carolina Governor today, 08/12/08, 12 weeks to the vote, Democratic Lieutenant Governor Beverly Perdue and Republican Mayor of Charlotte Pat McCrory finish effectively even, neither gaining ground, with Libertarian Mike Munger siphoning votes from both, according to this latest SurveyUSA election tracking poll conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV in Raleigh. Today, it's Perdue 47%, McCrory 44%, within the survey's 3.9 percentage point margin of sampling error. When Duke Professor Munger's 5% is added in, and combined with another 5% who are undecided, Perdue's slight advantage is not significant, at this hour. The contest is fluid. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released four weeks ago, Perdue is flat, McCrory is down 2, Munger is up 2. Munger gets 7% of the male vote, taking votes from the Republican McCrory, and 7% of those 18 to 34, taking votes from the Democrat Perdue. McCrory leads by 18 points in Charlotte and the western portion of the state, where Munger gets 5% and Perdue is losing ground. Perdue leads by 18 points in the Raleigh and Greensboro areas, where Munger gets 5% and McCrory is losing ground. Perdue and McCrory are tied in southern and coastal North Carolina. Incumbent governor Mike Easley, first elected in 2000, is term limited. The seat is open. The current is swift.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 950 North Carolina adults 08/09/08 through 08/11/08. Of them, 823 were registered to vote; of them, 655 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election. On 07/28/08, Munger was invited to participate in one NC debate between Perdue and McCrory, after Munger ran ads pointing out that he was being excluded.
North Carolina voters will also elect a Governor. If the election for Governor were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Pat McCrory? Democrat Beverly Perdue? Or Libertarian Mike Munger?
655 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KCharlottRaleigh South &
Pat McCrory (R)44%50%38%40%42%43%52%41%47%41%53%46%52%13%****82%19%38%70%38%10%46%41%44%45%42%56%34%43%45%45%**25%31%74%****66%36%49%54%36%48%
Beverly Perdue (D)47%40%52%48%49%47%41%49%44%49%39%46%37%81%****13%73%40%19%53%82%46%47%46%45%50%34%57%43%47%46%**65%60%17%****26%51%44%36%54%45%
Mike Munger (L)5%7%3%7%6%4%1%6%3%7%1%3%6%2%****3%3%13%6%5%6%5%5%4%6%6%5%5%9%4%4%**5%6%6%****6%7%4%5%5%2%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%23%31%27%18%55%45%49%9%42%75%19%3%3%33%46%18%32%37%11%52%48%62%23%15%47%49%20%78%50%4%10%8%7%4%5%8%36%64%33%50%17%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.