Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #22266
 
NC's 15 Electoral Votes Up For Grabs In 2016, But Democrat Hillary Clinton Has Slight Edge on Each GOP Contender, 18 Months Till Vote:

In head-to-head Presidential matchups between likely Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and 5 Republican hopefuls, North Carolina voters are effectively tied in 4 of the cases, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for Time Warner Cable North Carolina. Clinton defeats Scott Walker today by a 9-point margin, leads both Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio by 5 points, Rand Paul by 4 points, and both Jeb Bush and "some other Republican" by a slim 2-point margin. Aside from Scott Walker, each result is within the survey's theoretical margin of sampling error. North Carolina went "red" in 2012, went "blue" in 2008.

 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,275 North Carolina adults 4/22/15 through 4/27/15. Of them, 1,123 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 1,070 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the November 2016 election for President. Research conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.
 
1If the November election for President were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Ted Cruz, who would you vote for?
1070 November 2016 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyLived in NCEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal<6 Yrs6-10 Yrs11-20 Yr>20 YrsHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Hillary Clinton (D)47%44%50%51%46%47%45%48%47%36%86%46%12%82%41%21%56%82%49%51%49%46%45%43%52%48%45%50%44%49%43%41%55%49%
Ted Cruz (R)42%45%38%27%43%44%49%36%46%53%7%30%79%10%42%71%31%9%34%30%40%45%37%46%40%36%49%41%39%43%44%50%34%40%
Undecided11%10%12%21%11%9%6%15%7%11%7%24%9%8%17%8%13%9%17%19%10%9%18%11%8%16%7%10%17%9%13%9%10%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of November 2016 Likely Voters100%49%51%19%27%32%22%46%54%71%20%5%31%37%31%36%42%17%7%12%19%62%22%34%44%42%32%26%28%72%36%18%31%16%
 
2If the election for President were today, and the only two candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Jeb Bush, who would you vote for?
1070 November 2016 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyLived in NCEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal<6 Yrs6-10 Yrs11-20 Yr>20 YrsHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Hillary Clinton (D)45%41%50%55%42%45%43%47%44%33%86%43%7%81%41%18%52%84%46%51%44%45%44%42%48%49%42%44%44%46%41%38%55%45%
Jeb Bush (R)43%47%39%29%44%46%51%37%48%54%8%40%85%11%40%71%34%10%39%31%44%45%40%47%41%37%49%45%37%45%47%48%32%49%
Undecided12%12%11%16%15%10%6%15%8%13%6%17%8%8%19%11%14%6%14%18%12%10%15%11%10%14%9%11%20%8%11%14%13%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of November 2016 Likely Voters100%49%51%19%27%32%22%46%54%71%20%5%31%37%31%36%42%17%7%12%19%62%22%34%44%42%32%26%28%72%36%18%31%16%
 
3What if the only two candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Rand Paul?
1070 November 2016 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyLived in NCEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal<6 Yrs6-10 Yrs11-20 Yr>20 YrsHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Hillary Clinton (D)47%42%51%58%43%45%44%49%45%34%87%55%8%84%41%18%56%84%42%59%49%45%48%43%50%51%42%46%46%47%40%38%61%45%
Rand Paul (R)43%48%39%27%48%46%48%39%47%54%7%40%82%11%44%74%32%11%39%35%45%45%39%46%43%37%49%46%40%45%48%50%34%44%
Undecided10%10%10%16%9%8%8%12%8%11%6%4%10%5%16%8%12%5%19%7%6%11%13%11%7%12%9%9%15%8%12%12%5%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of November 2016 Likely Voters100%49%51%19%27%32%22%46%54%71%20%5%31%37%31%36%42%17%7%12%19%62%22%34%44%42%32%26%28%72%36%18%31%16%
 
4What if it were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Marco Rubio?
1070 November 2016 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyLived in NCEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal<6 Yrs6-10 Yrs11-20 Yr>20 YrsHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Hillary Clinton (D)46%41%51%50%45%47%44%47%46%35%86%44%10%81%40%19%54%83%41%53%51%44%41%43%52%48%45%45%43%47%42%39%56%46%
Marco Rubio (R)41%47%36%32%40%44%49%36%46%52%6%35%79%10%42%70%31%9%40%30%41%44%42%43%39%35%45%46%38%42%45%49%32%43%
Undecided12%12%13%19%16%10%7%17%9%13%8%21%11%8%18%10%15%8%19%18%9%12%17%14%9%17%10%9%19%10%13%12%13%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of November 2016 Likely Voters100%49%51%19%27%32%22%46%54%71%20%5%31%37%31%36%42%17%7%12%19%62%22%34%44%42%32%26%28%72%36%18%31%16%
 
5What if it were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Scott Walker?
1070 November 2016 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyLived in NCEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal<6 Yrs6-10 Yrs11-20 Yr>20 YrsHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Hillary Clinton (D)48%45%51%53%46%49%45%49%47%37%86%48%12%82%42%21%56%83%46%54%48%47%46%42%54%49%45%50%46%49%46%37%58%46%
Scott Walker (R)39%43%35%25%41%40%47%34%43%49%7%30%77%9%38%67%28%9%34%27%41%41%38%42%37%34%43%40%34%41%42%48%30%39%
Undecided13%12%14%22%13%12%8%17%10%14%6%21%11%9%20%12%16%8%21%19%11%12%16%17%9%17%12%11%20%11%13%15%12%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of November 2016 Likely Voters100%49%51%19%27%32%22%46%54%71%20%5%31%37%31%36%42%17%7%12%19%62%22%34%44%42%32%26%28%72%36%18%31%16%
 
6What if it were Democrat Hillary Clinton and some other Republican nominee?
1070 November 2016 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyLived in NCEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal<6 Yrs6-10 Yrs11-20 Yr>20 YrsHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Hillary Clinton (D)44%42%47%53%41%44%40%46%42%32%82%63%9%82%34%20%52%76%32%51%48%43%48%39%46%49%41%40%43%45%41%38%53%42%
Some Other Republican42%44%39%28%41%45%49%36%47%53%8%30%81%12%39%68%33%11%38%33%39%44%40%43%41%36%45%46%34%44%45%46%34%45%
Undecided14%14%14%18%18%11%11%18%11%15%11%7%10%6%27%13%16%13%30%15%13%13%12%18%12%15%14%13%23%11%15%15%13%14%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of November 2016 Likely Voters100%49%51%19%27%32%22%46%54%71%20%5%31%37%31%36%42%17%7%12%19%62%22%34%44%42%32%26%28%72%36%18%31%16%