| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27070 |
| Eight Months to Election, Trump 5 Points Atop Biden in NC, Though 55% Wish They Had Other Choices; Other Statewide Races Too Close to Call:
Donald Trump leads Joe Biden in a 2-way contest for the state's 15 electoral votes, 50% to 45%, according to SurveyUSA's latest exclusive polling for WRAL-TV in Raleigh. 5% of likely voters say they are undecided. Trump, who defeated Biden by three-tenths of a percentage point in 2020, holds 96% of his voters in this year's rematch; Biden holds 90% of his 2020 voters, with 3% claiming they'll vote for Trump and 6% undecided. Trump leads by 14 points among men, trails by 4 among women – an 18-point gender gap. Trump is up 12 points among voters under age 50; Biden leads by 5 points among voters age 50 to 64; Trump leads by 7 among those 65+. White voters back Trump by 2:1; Black voters back Biden by 7:1; Latinos give Biden a 5:4 edge. Biden is up 6 points on Trump in greater Raleigh; Trump leads by 7 in Southern and Coastal Carolina, and by 10-11 points in the rest of the state. Those who say they are certain to vote prefer Trump by 10 points; probable voters back Biden by 17. Trump wins rural voters by 26 points; Biden wins urban voters by 23; the race is exactly tied, and will be decided, in the suburbs. 55%, a majority, of likely voters say they wish they had other options in the Trump/Biden rematch; 39% say they are satisfied with the choices they have. In the race to become North Carolina's 76th Governor, Democratic incumbent Attorney General Josh Stein as a nominal 2-point lead against Republican incumbent Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson, 44% to 42%, with 15% of voters undecided. Stein leads by 10 points among women; Robinson leads by 6 points among men – a 16-point gender gap. Stein leads by 10 points among voters over age 50; Robinson leads by 6 among 18-to-49-year-olds; a 16-point age gap. Black voters back Stein by a 52-point margin; white voters back Robinson by 15. Stein's 16-point lead in the Raleigh area has him running 10 points ahead of Biden; Robinson leads by 6 points in greater Charlotte, 5 in Southern and Coastal Carolina; Stein has a nominal single-point lead in the Greensboro area. More voters are undecided in the race for the open Attorney General's seat, where Democrat Jeff Jackson, currently US Representative in North Carolina's 14th Congressional District, is facing Republican Dan Bishop, currently US Representative in North Carolina's 8th Congressional District. Jackson today is at 41%, Bishop 40%; 19% are undecided. The gender gap here is larger, 20 points, with men backing the Republican by 10 points and women backing the Democrat by the same number. Jackson, who has a notable following on social media, leads Bishop by 13 points among voters under age 35 – the largest lead among these young voters for any of the candidates in the races polled here. Jackson also has a nominal 2-point lead among voters 50+, while Bishop leads by 15 among 35 to 49-year-olds. Republican Michelle Morrow has a nominal 1-point lead against Democrat Mo Green in the Superintendent of Public Instruction race, where she takes 41% to Green's 40%, with 19% undecided today. Morrow, who has called public schools "indoctrination centers," has a 4-point lead among North Carolina voters who do not have children under 18 at home; Green, a former superintendent of schools, leads by 5 among those who do have children at home. 72% of those who say they will vote for Trump for President also vote for Morrow for SPI; 77% of Biden voters back Green. Fully crosstabbed results follow ... |
| About the Research / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 850 North Carolina adults 03/06/24 through 03/09/24. Of the adults, 736 were identified as being registered to vote; of the registered voters, 598 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election and were asked the substantive questions which follow. This research was conducted online, using nonprobability sample of online adult panelists chosen randomly by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. The combined pool of survey respondents was weighted to US Census CPS targets for gender, age, race, and education; to US Census ACS targets for home ownership, and to recalled 2020 presidential vote. |
| 1 | Are you registered to vote in the state of North Carolina? |
| 850 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | POTUS | Governor | AG | SPI | 2020 Vote | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Trump | Biden | Robinson | Stein | Bishop | Jackson | Morrow | Green | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Yes | 87% | 90% | 84% | 77% | 86% | 91% | 95% | 81% | 93% | 87% | 89% | 75% | 93% | 93% | 92% | 81% | 92% | 90% | 81% | 91% | 89% | 85% | 94% | 92% | 90% | 85% | 93% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 95% | 96% | 87% | 88% | 89% | 86% | 82% | 86% | 93% | 82% | 87% | 93% | 91% | 78% | 89% | 85% | 87% | 87% | 83% | 89% | 84% |
| No | 12% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 16% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 19% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 19% | 8% | 8% | 17% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 7% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 18% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 9% | 15% |
| Not Sure | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 30% | 25% | 26% | 20% | 54% | 46% | 63% | 20% | 10% | 7% | 34% | 32% | 24% | 35% | 32% | 29% | 16% | 23% | 37% | 12% | 7% | 39% | 37% | 19% | 70% | 15% | 48% | 43% | 40% | 42% | 39% | 39% | 40% | 38% | 39% | 38% | 42% | 55% | 28% | 71% | 36% | 33% | 31% | 40% | 37% | 23% | 65% | 35% | 20% | 43% | 36% | 35% | 23% | 27% | 14% |
| 2 | North Carolina will vote to elect a U.S. president, a governor and other statewide offices in November. Not everyone makes the time to vote in every election. Which best describes you? |
| 736 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | POTUS | Governor | AG | SPI | 2020 Vote | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Trump | Biden | Robinson | Stein | Bishop | Jackson | Morrow | Green | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Certain To Vote | 68% | 66% | 70% | 49% | 64% | 76% | 86% | 56% | 80% | 76% | 52% | 61% | 50% | 78% | 66% | 64% | 78% | 67% | 59% | 79% | 69% | 60% | 75% | 82% | 73% | 60% | 78% | 97% | 0% | 88% | 80% | 89% | 85% | 90% | 83% | 86% | 84% | 79% | 73% | 75% | 64% | 66% | 70% | 62% | 65% | 78% | 61% | 68% | 79% | 75% | 52% | 58% | 65% | 77% | 70% | 66% | 67% | 68% |
| Probably Vote | 13% | 14% | 12% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 16% | 10% | 9% | 25% | 20% | 7% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 10% | 20% | 11% | 1% | 10% | 20% | 8% | 0% | 88% | 12% | 20% | 11% | 15% | 10% | 17% | 13% | 16% | 9% | 16% | 11% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 10% | 11% | 18% | 15% | 17% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 12% |
| 50/50 Chance | 15% | 15% | 14% | 27% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 22% | 7% | 12% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 10% | 12% | 18% | 10% | 13% | 21% | 9% | 16% | 17% | 11% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 3% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 17% | 19% | 13% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 21% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 22% | 23% | 14% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 10% |
| Probably Will Not | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 10% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 27% | 24% | 27% | 22% | 51% | 49% | 63% | 21% | 8% | 7% | 36% | 35% | 22% | 37% | 34% | 27% | 16% | 24% | 37% | 13% | 7% | 41% | 37% | 20% | 70% | 15% | 48% | 43% | 40% | 42% | 39% | 39% | 40% | 38% | 43% | 42% | 42% | 56% | 29% | 70% | 34% | 33% | 33% | 38% | 37% | 25% | 68% | 32% | 21% | 42% | 37% | 35% | 23% | 28% | 14% |
| 3 | If the election for president were today, and the only two names on the ballot were Donald Trump and Joe Biden, who would you vote for? |
| 598 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | POTUS | Governor | AG | SPI | 2020 Vote | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Trump | Biden | Robinson | Stein | Bishop | Jackson | Morrow | Green | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Donald Trump (R) | 50% | 54% | 46% | 52% | 55% | 45% | 50% | 54% | 47% | 63% | 12% | 44% | 44% | 93% | 6% | 49% | 96% | 1% | 49% | 82% | 83% | 38% | 10% | 6% | 83% | 38% | 9% | 53% | 38% | 100% | 0% | 93% | 9% | 92% | 9% | 88% | 8% | 96% | 3% | 66% | 36% | 51% | 50% | 58% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 52% | 50% | 53% | 43% | 36% | 47% | 61% | 54% | 53% | 45% | 48% |
| Joe Biden (D) | 45% | 40% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 43% | 42% | 47% | 32% | 85% | 52% | 43% | 5% | 91% | 41% | 3% | 96% | 38% | 18% | 15% | 56% | 83% | 83% | 16% | 56% | 83% | 43% | 55% | 0% | 100% | 4% | 83% | 5% | 85% | 8% | 86% | 2% | 90% | 30% | 57% | 48% | 44% | 39% | 48% | 47% | 49% | 42% | 43% | 42% | 52% | 59% | 47% | 35% | 43% | 43% | 51% | 41% |
| Undecided | 5% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 11% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 24% | 29% | 26% | 46% | 54% | 67% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 39% | 36% | 21% | 39% | 35% | 24% | 18% | 24% | 36% | 14% | 7% | 42% | 36% | 21% | 84% | 16% | 50% | 45% | 42% | 44% | 40% | 41% | 41% | 40% | 47% | 46% | 45% | 54% | 28% | 71% | 32% | 32% | 36% | 34% | 38% | 27% | 72% | 28% | 19% | 43% | 39% | 36% | 22% | 29% | 13% |
| 4 | If the election for North Carolina governor were today, and the only two names on the ballot were Republican Mark Robinson and Democrat Josh Stein, who would you vote for? |
| 598 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | POTUS | Governor | AG | SPI | 2020 Vote | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Trump | Biden | Robinson | Stein | Bishop | Jackson | Morrow | Green | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Mark Robinson (R) | 42% | 48% | 35% | 42% | 48% | 34% | 44% | 45% | 38% | 51% | 14% | 41% | 33% | 77% | 8% | 34% | 81% | 4% | 33% | 75% | 73% | 25% | 7% | 2% | 74% | 25% | 5% | 44% | 29% | 77% | 4% | 100% | 0% | 81% | 9% | 82% | 8% | 77% | 6% | 56% | 30% | 44% | 40% | 51% | 35% | 39% | 36% | 46% | 42% | 44% | 37% | 33% | 38% | 50% | 45% | 41% | 35% | 49% |
| Josh Stein (D) | 44% | 42% | 45% | 42% | 36% | 52% | 43% | 39% | 48% | 36% | 66% | 42% | 56% | 10% | 77% | 50% | 7% | 81% | 49% | 12% | 16% | 53% | 85% | 89% | 14% | 53% | 86% | 45% | 40% | 8% | 81% | 0% | 100% | 9% | 84% | 11% | 83% | 9% | 81% | 29% | 57% | 40% | 45% | 32% | 49% | 50% | 44% | 43% | 45% | 44% | 43% | 52% | 49% | 34% | 40% | 42% | 51% | 43% |
| Undecided | 15% | 9% | 20% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 22% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 22% | 9% | 12% | 31% | 16% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 20% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 24% | 29% | 26% | 46% | 54% | 67% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 39% | 36% | 21% | 39% | 35% | 24% | 18% | 24% | 36% | 14% | 7% | 42% | 36% | 21% | 84% | 16% | 50% | 45% | 42% | 44% | 40% | 41% | 41% | 40% | 47% | 46% | 45% | 54% | 28% | 71% | 32% | 32% | 36% | 34% | 38% | 27% | 72% | 28% | 19% | 43% | 39% | 36% | 22% | 29% | 13% |
| 5 | If the election for North Carolina attorney general were today, and the only two names on the ballot were Republican Dan Bishop and Democrat Jeff Jackson, who would you vote for? |
| 598 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | POTUS | Governor | AG | SPI | 2020 Vote | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Trump | Biden | Robinson | Stein | Bishop | Jackson | Morrow | Green | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Dan Bishop (R) | 40% | 46% | 35% | 36% | 49% | 37% | 40% | 43% | 38% | 50% | 11% | 38% | 32% | 75% | 6% | 38% | 78% | 3% | 36% | 71% | 68% | 28% | 7% | 4% | 70% | 28% | 6% | 43% | 25% | 75% | 5% | 79% | 8% | 100% | 0% | 83% | 8% | 74% | 6% | 53% | 30% | 37% | 42% | 44% | 37% | 41% | 34% | 44% | 43% | 44% | 31% | 29% | 36% | 51% | 40% | 42% | 39% | 42% |
| Jeff Jackson (D) | 41% | 36% | 45% | 49% | 34% | 38% | 43% | 41% | 40% | 32% | 59% | 54% | 51% | 7% | 76% | 39% | 6% | 81% | 37% | 15% | 16% | 46% | 77% | 88% | 16% | 46% | 80% | 40% | 42% | 7% | 77% | 9% | 77% | 0% | 100% | 12% | 83% | 8% | 76% | 30% | 50% | 42% | 40% | 30% | 46% | 45% | 41% | 37% | 44% | 39% | 44% | 49% | 45% | 32% | 39% | 36% | 45% | 41% |
| Undecided | 19% | 18% | 20% | 16% | 17% | 25% | 17% | 16% | 21% | 17% | 30% | 7% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 24% | 15% | 17% | 26% | 14% | 15% | 26% | 16% | 9% | 15% | 26% | 14% | 16% | 33% | 18% | 18% | 12% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 18% | 26% | 17% | 14% | 24% | 19% | 12% | 17% | 24% | 22% | 19% | 18% | 20% | 22% | 16% | 17% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 24% | 29% | 26% | 46% | 54% | 67% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 39% | 36% | 21% | 39% | 35% | 24% | 18% | 24% | 36% | 14% | 7% | 42% | 36% | 21% | 84% | 16% | 50% | 45% | 42% | 44% | 40% | 41% | 41% | 40% | 47% | 46% | 45% | 54% | 28% | 71% | 32% | 32% | 36% | 34% | 38% | 27% | 72% | 28% | 19% | 43% | 39% | 36% | 22% | 29% | 13% |
| 6 | If the election for North Carolina state superintendent of public instruction were held today, and the only two names on the ballot were Republican Michelle Morrow and Democrat Mo Green, who would you vote for? |
| 598 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | POTUS | Governor | AG | SPI | 2020 Vote | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Trump | Biden | Robinson | Stein | Bishop | Jackson | Morrow | Green | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Michelle Morrow (R) | 41% | 47% | 36% | 39% | 50% | 37% | 39% | 45% | 38% | 49% | 16% | 36% | 40% | 76% | 9% | 31% | 78% | 6% | 35% | 71% | 69% | 29% | 10% | 4% | 70% | 29% | 8% | 43% | 32% | 72% | 8% | 81% | 11% | 84% | 12% | 100% | 0% | 72% | 9% | 52% | 31% | 39% | 42% | 43% | 40% | 41% | 36% | 43% | 44% | 45% | 32% | 29% | 38% | 50% | 43% | 40% | 36% | 49% |
| Mo Green (D) | 40% | 36% | 44% | 45% | 36% | 39% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 30% | 65% | 49% | 52% | 6% | 77% | 38% | 6% | 81% | 37% | 15% | 16% | 44% | 77% | 91% | 15% | 44% | 82% | 40% | 39% | 7% | 77% | 8% | 75% | 7% | 82% | 0% | 100% | 7% | 76% | 30% | 49% | 44% | 38% | 32% | 43% | 45% | 35% | 41% | 44% | 38% | 45% | 50% | 44% | 30% | 37% | 41% | 45% | 34% |
| Undecided | 19% | 17% | 21% | 16% | 15% | 23% | 21% | 15% | 22% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 17% | 14% | 31% | 16% | 13% | 28% | 14% | 15% | 27% | 13% | 5% | 15% | 27% | 10% | 17% | 28% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 20% | 25% | 17% | 15% | 28% | 16% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 21% | 18% | 19% | 20% | 18% | 19% | 18% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 24% | 29% | 26% | 46% | 54% | 67% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 39% | 36% | 21% | 39% | 35% | 24% | 18% | 24% | 36% | 14% | 7% | 42% | 36% | 21% | 84% | 16% | 50% | 45% | 42% | 44% | 40% | 41% | 41% | 40% | 47% | 46% | 45% | 54% | 28% | 71% | 32% | 32% | 36% | 34% | 38% | 27% | 72% | 28% | 19% | 43% | 39% | 36% | 22% | 29% | 13% |
| 7 | How satisfied are you with the 2024 rematch of President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump as leading presidential candidates? |
| 598 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | POTUS | Governor | AG | SPI | 2020 Vote | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Trump | Biden | Robinson | Stein | Bishop | Jackson | Morrow | Green | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Satisfied With The Choices | 39% | 46% | 32% | 37% | 47% | 39% | 32% | 43% | 36% | 41% | 36% | 43% | 19% | 60% | 26% | 25% | 58% | 27% | 26% | 56% | 52% | 30% | 25% | 28% | 54% | 30% | 26% | 41% | 27% | 55% | 25% | 56% | 25% | 55% | 25% | 54% | 28% | 55% | 24% | 45% | 33% | 41% | 38% | 52% | 35% | 30% | 43% | 41% | 31% | 37% | 43% | 49% | 27% | 47% | 40% | 37% | 37% | 43% |
| Wish I Had Other Options | 55% | 48% | 62% | 56% | 50% | 54% | 60% | 53% | 57% | 54% | 57% | 48% | 78% | 33% | 67% | 71% | 34% | 67% | 72% | 38% | 44% | 62% | 73% | 67% | 41% | 62% | 71% | 53% | 66% | 38% | 70% | 37% | 72% | 40% | 71% | 41% | 69% | 40% | 71% | 49% | 61% | 56% | 55% | 37% | 61% | 66% | 48% | 55% | 65% | 59% | 46% | 50% | 66% | 46% | 53% | 61% | 55% | 51% |
| Not Sure | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 11% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 24% | 29% | 26% | 46% | 54% | 67% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 39% | 36% | 21% | 39% | 35% | 24% | 18% | 24% | 36% | 14% | 7% | 42% | 36% | 21% | 84% | 16% | 50% | 45% | 42% | 44% | 40% | 41% | 41% | 40% | 47% | 46% | 45% | 54% | 28% | 71% | 32% | 32% | 36% | 34% | 38% | 27% | 72% | 28% | 19% | 43% | 39% | 36% | 22% | 29% | 13% |