Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27273 |
Two Months Out, Carolina Blue?
Harris Leads by 3 Points in Tarheel State on Eve of 1st, Possibly Only Debate; Harris +4, Walz +5 Favorability, Compared to Trump -9, Vance -6: SurveyUSA's latest exclusive polling for WRAL-TV in Raleigh shows Kamala Harris capturing North Carolina's 16 electoral votes if the election were held today, two months from Election Day and on the cusp of the candidates' September 10th debate. Harris takes 49% today, Trump 46%; other candidates poll below 1%, with just 3 of 676 likely voters telling SurveyUSA they will vote for another candidate; 5% of likely voters say they are undecided. Harris leads by 9 points among women; Trump leads by 3 among men – a 12-point gender gap. Harris is ahead among voters under age 50, leading by 9 points among 18 to 34-year-olds and by 8 points among those 35 to 49 – but when younger voters are broken down further, Harris, perhaps buoyed by her campaign's social media efforts, holds a 48-point lead among voters 18 to 24, while Trump leads by 7 among 25 to 34-year-olds. 50 to 64-year-olds give Harris a narrow 2-point edge; those 65+ back Trump by a 5-point margin. Trump leads by 20 points among white voters (27 points among white men, 14 points among white women); Harris leads by 74 points among Black voters (75 points among Black women, 73 points among Black men). Latino voters favor Harris by a 52-point margin. Harris leads by 34 points in urban parts of the state; Trump leads by 16 in rural areas. In the suburbs, Harris has a 5 point edge, but suburban women back Harris by 14 points, while suburban men narrowly favor Trump, 47% to 45%. Joe Biden's withdrawal from the race may be a key factor in Harris' lead: likely voters say that before Biden left the contest, 45% were planning to vote for Trump, 44% for Biden; 2% were looking at third-party candidates; 8% were undecided. 96% of those who are now voting for Trump were planning to vote for him when Biden was his opponent, but only 88% of Harris voters say they were planning to vote for Biden. Extrapolating from small samples should be done with caution, but of the 8% of likely voters – 55 people – who say they were undecided when Trump was facing Biden, 41% say they are now voting for Harris, 5% for Trump; 54% say they remain undecided. Of the 15 likely voters who say they were planning to vote for other candidates – a sub-sample so small that SurveyUSA automatically displays asterisks in that column in the crosstabs below – 60% of those voters (9 people) now vote for Harris, 20% (3 people) for Trump; 13% (2 people) stick with other candidates; 7% (1 person) is now undecided. That finding in particular should be seen more as the results of a virtual focus group exercise than as extrapolatable, scientific research – but SurveyUSA nevertheless reports the data. The Democratic ticket has a clear advantage on favorability today, with Harris and running mate Tim Walz both in positive territory, Trump and running mate JD Vance both in negative territory:
45% of all NC adults today say they are optimistic about the economic outlook for their family over the next year; 33% are pessimistic; 22% say they are not sure. That's effectively unchanged from March. Among Trump voters, 33% say they are optimistic, 47% pessimistic; among Harris voters, 59% are optimistic, 22% pessimistic. Fully crosstabbed results follow... |
About the Research / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 North Carolina adults 09/04/24 through 09/07/24. Of the adults, 771 were identified as being registered to vote; of the registered voters, 676 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election and were asked the substantive questions which follow. This research was conducted online, using nonprobability sample of online adult panelists chosen randomly by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. The combined pool of survey respondents was weighted to US Census ACS targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership, and to recalled 2020 presidential vote. |
1 | Are you registered to vote in the state of North Carolina? |
900 Adults | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely Voter | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Original Vote | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Trump | Biden | Other | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Early | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Yes | 86% | 83% | 88% | 75% | 80% | 85% | 88% | 93% | 78% | 85% | 88% | 93% | 82% | 90% | 87% | 86% | 77% | 83% | 86% | 88% | 82% | 90% | 100% | 100% | 93% | 96% | 80% | 86% | 93% | 80% | 91% | 90% | 85% | 91% | 96% | 90% | 85% | 93% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ** | 100% | 94% | 96% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 88% | 86% | 84% | 87% | 78% | 86% | 93% | 79% | 89% | 93% | 91% | 75% | 89% | 85% | 85% | 89% | 90% | 82% | 89% | 83% | 86% | 85% | 89% | 82% | 89% |
No | 13% | 15% | 11% | 23% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 23% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 10% | - | - | 6% | 3% | 19% | 12% | 5% | 19% | 9% | 9% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5% | 4% | - | - | - | 12% | 13% | 15% | 11% | 18% | 14% | 6% | 18% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 22% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 16% | 9% |
Not Sure | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 0% | - | - | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1% | 0% | - | - | - | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 10% | 19% | 24% | 24% | 22% | 29% | 24% | 24% | 22% | 53% | 47% | 64% | 20% | 8% | 8% | 31% | 33% | 9% | 11% | 76% | 11% | 34% | 33% | 22% | 36% | 34% | 27% | 16% | 20% | 40% | 12% | 8% | 36% | 40% | 20% | 46% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 8% | 39% | 36% | 7% | 49% | 41% | 42% | 54% | 33% | 65% | 34% | 32% | 34% | 43% | 34% | 24% | 66% | 34% | 19% | 46% | 35% | 7% | 11% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 20% | 37% | 20% | 28% | 15% |
2 | North Carolina will vote to elect a U.S. president, a governor and other statewide officeholders in November. Not everyone makes the time to vote in every election. Which best describes you? |
771 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely Voter | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Original Vote | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Trump | Biden | Other | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Early | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Certain To Vote | 76% | 77% | 76% | 46% | 72% | 71% | 79% | 93% | 64% | 71% | 79% | 93% | 67% | 86% | 80% | 73% | 47% | 87% | 78% | 82% | 71% | 73% | 100% | 0% | 80% | 79% | 75% | 81% | 80% | 66% | 89% | 75% | 70% | 83% | 81% | 82% | 70% | 82% | 88% | 88% | 88% | 90% | ** | 70% | 82% | 83% | 74% | 89% | 88% | 80% | 74% | 74% | 78% | 63% | 75% | 89% | 68% | 79% | 87% | 83% | 60% | 67% | 79% | 78% | 62% | 69% | 78% | 80% | 82% | 76% | 78% | 76% | 79% | 70% |
Probably Vote | 11% | 11% | 12% | 22% | 10% | 15% | 12% | 4% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 4% | 15% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 19% | 5% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 0% | 100% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 5% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | ** | 30% | 10% | 10% | 26% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 16% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 16% | 8% | 12% |
50/50 Chance | 8% | 7% | 9% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 17% | 11% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 13% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 8% | 11% | 1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | - | - | - | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 8% | 15% |
Probably Will Not | 4% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 16% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2% | 2% | - | - | - | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 0% |
Not Sure | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 3% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 9% | 18% | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | 51% | 49% | 65% | 20% | 8% | 7% | 31% | 34% | 9% | 11% | 76% | 11% | 37% | 36% | 21% | 36% | 37% | 25% | 17% | 21% | 39% | 12% | 10% | 37% | 39% | 22% | 46% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 8% | 43% | 41% | 7% | 49% | 41% | 44% | 54% | 33% | 66% | 31% | 32% | 37% | 40% | 35% | 25% | 70% | 30% | 20% | 46% | 34% | 8% | 12% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 20% | 37% | 20% | 27% | 16% |
![]() | If the November election for President were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? |
676 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely Voter | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Original Vote | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Trump | Biden | Other | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Early | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Donald Trump (R) | 46% | 48% | 43% | 24% | 49% | 44% | 45% | 51% | 42% | 44% | 45% | 51% | 43% | 48% | 57% | 12% | 24% | 43% | 60% | 54% | 11% | 13% | 46% | 43% | 91% | 4% | 40% | 93% | 4% | 38% | 85% | 75% | 38% | 3% | 2% | 80% | 38% | 3% | 100% | 0% | 96% | 2% | ** | 5% | 92% | 4% | 41% | 42% | 51% | 54% | 38% | 48% | 45% | 49% | 49% | 41% | 42% | 51% | 44% | 51% | 31% | 31% | 44% | 56% | 28% | 33% | 47% | 40% | 59% | 53% | 47% | 48% | 33% | 60% |
Kamala Harris (D) | 49% | 45% | 52% | 72% | 42% | 52% | 47% | 46% | 51% | 52% | 47% | 46% | 51% | 46% | 37% | 86% | 76% | 45% | 33% | 40% | 86% | 86% | 49% | 45% | 7% | 94% | 43% | 5% | 94% | 43% | 15% | 22% | 51% | 92% | 98% | 19% | 51% | 94% | 0% | 100% | 3% | 97% | ** | 41% | 5% | 92% | 53% | 53% | 43% | 38% | 59% | 44% | 50% | 48% | 46% | 51% | 57% | 43% | 45% | 44% | 63% | 65% | 49% | 40% | 66% | 64% | 45% | 54% | 35% | 43% | 43% | 48% | 63% | 35% |
Other | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
Undecided | 5% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 2% | 16% | 2% | 2% | 18% | 0% | 3% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 10% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | ** | 54% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 7% | 17% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 47% | 53% | 68% | 19% | 6% | 8% | 32% | 36% | 8% | 10% | 87% | 13% | 39% | 37% | 20% | 38% | 39% | 22% | 18% | 20% | 37% | 13% | 10% | 38% | 37% | 24% | 46% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 8% | 45% | 43% | 7% | 49% | 41% | 45% | 54% | 32% | 67% | 26% | 34% | 40% | 36% | 36% | 28% | 75% | 25% | 18% | 47% | 35% | 7% | 12% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 20% | 37% | 21% | 27% | 15% |
4 | Before President Joe Biden dropped out of the race, who were you planning to vote for? |
676 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely Voter | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Original Vote | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Trump | Biden | Other | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Early | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Donald Trump (R) | 45% | 48% | 43% | 23% | 48% | 43% | 47% | 50% | 41% | 43% | 47% | 50% | 42% | 49% | 56% | 13% | 28% | 43% | 58% | 54% | 12% | 14% | 46% | 42% | 90% | 3% | 42% | 93% | 4% | 38% | 84% | 75% | 39% | 3% | 2% | 79% | 39% | 3% | 96% | 3% | 100% | 0% | ** | 0% | 93% | 3% | 41% | 42% | 51% | 55% | 37% | 48% | 45% | 48% | 48% | 41% | 43% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 31% | 30% | 44% | 56% | 29% | 30% | 45% | 42% | 61% | 52% | 47% | 48% | 32% | 62% |
Joe Biden (D) | 44% | 43% | 45% | 69% | 43% | 45% | 43% | 39% | 50% | 45% | 43% | 39% | 48% | 41% | 34% | 82% | 62% | 32% | 34% | 34% | 82% | 82% | 46% | 35% | 7% | 89% | 34% | 5% | 89% | 32% | 11% | 21% | 44% | 87% | 96% | 16% | 44% | 90% | 2% | 88% | 0% | 100% | ** | 0% | 4% | 87% | 52% | 49% | 38% | 36% | 52% | 41% | 45% | 44% | 43% | 45% | 48% | 43% | 41% | 39% | 58% | 57% | 45% | 37% | 64% | 53% | 44% | 45% | 33% | 40% | 41% | 44% | 57% | 31% |
Other | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% |
Undecided | 8% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 19% | 2% | 6% | 21% | 2% | 5% | 24% | 5% | 3% | 13% | 8% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 0% | 0% | ** | 100% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 14% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 5% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 7% | 17% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 47% | 53% | 68% | 19% | 6% | 8% | 32% | 36% | 8% | 10% | 87% | 13% | 39% | 37% | 20% | 38% | 39% | 22% | 18% | 20% | 37% | 13% | 10% | 38% | 37% | 24% | 46% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 8% | 45% | 43% | 7% | 49% | 41% | 45% | 54% | 32% | 67% | 26% | 34% | 40% | 36% | 36% | 28% | 75% | 25% | 18% | 47% | 35% | 7% | 12% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 20% | 37% | 21% | 27% | 15% |
![]() | What is your opinion of Kamala Harris? |
676 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely Voter | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Original Vote | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Trump | Biden | Other | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Early | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Very Favorable | 33% | 30% | 36% | 37% | 27% | 35% | 31% | 36% | 30% | 35% | 31% | 36% | 32% | 34% | 22% | 75% | 41% | 25% | 19% | 24% | 76% | 75% | 35% | 22% | 5% | 74% | 15% | 3% | 72% | 17% | 14% | 17% | 28% | 62% | 79% | 15% | 28% | 70% | 0% | 67% | 1% | 68% | ** | 23% | 3% | 64% | 40% | 37% | 27% | 29% | 37% | 28% | 35% | 36% | 33% | 31% | 44% | 27% | 27% | 29% | 45% | 43% | 34% | 27% | 46% | 40% | 32% | 36% | 18% | 33% | 31% | 29% | 45% | 23% |
Somewhat Favorable | 17% | 18% | 16% | 37% | 19% | 16% | 19% | 9% | 24% | 16% | 19% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 24% | 27% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 29% | 6% | 18% | 31% | 4% | 20% | 32% | 4% | 8% | 22% | 30% | 18% | 6% | 22% | 25% | 4% | 26% | 3% | 26% | ** | 38% | 4% | 27% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 21% | 17% | 17% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 15% | 17% | 20% | 15% | 22% | 23% | 16% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 18% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 10% |
Neutral | 3% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | ** | 12% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
Somewhat Unfavorable | 8% | 9% | 7% | 0% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 15% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 2% | 11% | 12% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 13% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 9% | 12% | 1% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 2% | ** | 12% | 12% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 13% |
Very Unfavorable | 38% | 39% | 37% | 18% | 34% | 35% | 40% | 48% | 30% | 35% | 40% | 48% | 32% | 44% | 49% | 7% | 27% | 27% | 52% | 46% | 6% | 7% | 39% | 32% | 72% | 3% | 39% | 76% | 3% | 35% | 74% | 59% | 33% | 2% | 2% | 66% | 33% | 2% | 80% | 1% | 79% | 2% | ** | 10% | 76% | 3% | 25% | 34% | 45% | 48% | 30% | 40% | 38% | 42% | 39% | 35% | 31% | 44% | 40% | 44% | 21% | 24% | 37% | 47% | 21% | 26% | 38% | 35% | 49% | 46% | 38% | 42% | 30% | 49% |
Unfamiliar | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | ** | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 7% | 17% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 47% | 53% | 68% | 19% | 6% | 8% | 32% | 36% | 8% | 10% | 87% | 13% | 39% | 37% | 20% | 38% | 39% | 22% | 18% | 20% | 37% | 13% | 10% | 38% | 37% | 24% | 46% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 8% | 45% | 43% | 7% | 49% | 41% | 45% | 54% | 32% | 67% | 26% | 34% | 40% | 36% | 36% | 28% | 75% | 25% | 18% | 47% | 35% | 7% | 12% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 20% | 37% | 21% | 27% | 15% |
![]() | What is your opinion of Donald Trump? |
676 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely Voter | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Original Vote | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Trump | Biden | Other | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Early | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Very Favorable | 30% | 30% | 31% | 19% | 29% | 33% | 29% | 33% | 26% | 33% | 29% | 33% | 30% | 31% | 36% | 10% | 23% | 31% | 36% | 37% | 10% | 10% | 32% | 21% | 66% | 1% | 18% | 67% | 2% | 18% | 72% | 41% | 21% | 2% | 2% | 56% | 21% | 2% | 66% | 0% | 65% | 1% | ** | 1% | 62% | 3% | 34% | 26% | 35% | 38% | 23% | 33% | 29% | 36% | 33% | 24% | 29% | 35% | 26% | 33% | 23% | 21% | 26% | 40% | 22% | 20% | 26% | 27% | 40% | 40% | 30% | 31% | 25% | 41% |
Somewhat Favorable | 14% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 24% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 18% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 16% | 13% | 18% | 4% | 5% | 11% | 20% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 13% | 26% | 22% | 6% | 16% | 23% | 5% | 14% | 13% | 30% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 22% | 14% | 3% | 26% | 4% | 26% | 4% | ** | 10% | 25% | 5% | 7% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 18% | 11% | 17% | 14% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 15% |
Neutral | 3% | 3% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ** | 8% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Somewhat Unfavorable | 10% | 11% | 8% | 15% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 2% | 11% | 8% | 17% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 14% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 3% | 15% | 13% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 10% | ** | 21% | 8% | 11% | 0% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 15% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 16% | 10% | 5% |
Very Unfavorable | 43% | 38% | 47% | 52% | 39% | 40% | 45% | 42% | 42% | 40% | 45% | 42% | 41% | 44% | 33% | 70% | 53% | 56% | 28% | 37% | 63% | 75% | 44% | 31% | 5% | 76% | 49% | 3% | 77% | 49% | 10% | 13% | 47% | 87% | 87% | 12% | 47% | 87% | 1% | 81% | 2% | 81% | ** | 56% | 4% | 78% | 59% | 46% | 36% | 37% | 48% | 41% | 43% | 40% | 37% | 49% | 45% | 40% | 43% | 38% | 56% | 51% | 46% | 34% | 42% | 56% | 44% | 49% | 26% | 39% | 41% | 38% | 53% | 35% |
Unfamiliar | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | ** | 5% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 7% | 17% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 47% | 53% | 68% | 19% | 6% | 8% | 32% | 36% | 8% | 10% | 87% | 13% | 39% | 37% | 20% | 38% | 39% | 22% | 18% | 20% | 37% | 13% | 10% | 38% | 37% | 24% | 46% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 8% | 45% | 43% | 7% | 49% | 41% | 45% | 54% | 32% | 67% | 26% | 34% | 40% | 36% | 36% | 28% | 75% | 25% | 18% | 47% | 35% | 7% | 12% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 20% | 37% | 21% | 27% | 15% |
![]() | What is your opinion of Tim Walz? |
676 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely Voter | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Original Vote | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Trump | Biden | Other | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Early | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Very Favorable | 24% | 23% | 25% | 23% | 14% | 23% | 27% | 29% | 16% | 23% | 27% | 29% | 20% | 28% | 19% | 44% | 30% | 18% | 18% | 20% | 46% | 44% | 26% | 10% | 6% | 48% | 15% | 5% | 49% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 21% | 48% | 53% | 11% | 21% | 50% | 3% | 46% | 3% | 48% | ** | 12% | 5% | 43% | 39% | 28% | 17% | 23% | 25% | 17% | 27% | 27% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 22% | 22% | 25% | 24% | 29% | 18% | 24% | 25% | 19% | 29% | 23% | 21% | 33% | 15% |
Somewhat Favorable | 16% | 17% | 16% | 23% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 19% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 22% | 10% | 36% | 12% | 14% | 26% | 18% | 16% | 20% | 6% | 25% | 23% | 5% | 25% | 22% | 6% | 10% | 18% | 34% | 20% | 8% | 18% | 28% | 4% | 27% | 4% | 27% | ** | 27% | 4% | 29% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 20% | 17% | 17% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 26% | 25% | 16% | 12% | 23% | 26% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 18% | 16% | 19% | 9% |
Neutral | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 6% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 6% | 17% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 18% | 4% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 18% | 12% | 21% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 18% | 7% | 15% | 17% | 8% | 16% | 11% | 17% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 11% | ** | 19% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 18% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 9% | 15% | 10% | 13% | 16% |
Somewhat Unfavorable | 9% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 2% | 13% | 4% | 13% | 5% | ** | 5% | 13% | 5% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 14% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 4% | 14% |
Very Unfavorable | 26% | 27% | 24% | 19% | 23% | 20% | 21% | 39% | 22% | 20% | 21% | 39% | 21% | 30% | 32% | 4% | 31% | 20% | 35% | 30% | 4% | 4% | 28% | 9% | 47% | 4% | 27% | 51% | 4% | 24% | 60% | 37% | 19% | 1% | 2% | 48% | 19% | 2% | 52% | 4% | 52% | 4% | ** | 8% | 50% | 5% | 18% | 24% | 29% | 31% | 21% | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | 28% | 18% | 31% | 29% | 30% | 12% | 11% | 27% | 32% | 7% | 13% | 31% | 23% | 31% | 33% | 24% | 28% | 20% | 38% |
Unfamiliar | 12% | 7% | 15% | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 16% | 8% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 26% | 12% | 6% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 7% | 15% | 7% | 15% | 5% | ** | 29% | 14% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 5% | 17% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 22% | 8% | 14% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 8% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 7% | 17% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 47% | 53% | 68% | 19% | 6% | 8% | 32% | 36% | 8% | 10% | 87% | 13% | 39% | 37% | 20% | 38% | 39% | 22% | 18% | 20% | 37% | 13% | 10% | 38% | 37% | 24% | 46% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 8% | 45% | 43% | 7% | 49% | 41% | 45% | 54% | 32% | 67% | 26% | 34% | 40% | 36% | 36% | 28% | 75% | 25% | 18% | 47% | 35% | 7% | 12% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 20% | 37% | 21% | 27% | 15% |
![]() | What is your opinion of JD Vance? |
676 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely Voter | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Original Vote | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Trump | Biden | Other | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Early | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Very Favorable | 19% | 20% | 19% | 9% | 10% | 20% | 18% | 29% | 10% | 20% | 18% | 29% | 15% | 24% | 23% | 3% | 20% | 31% | 26% | 20% | 3% | 2% | 21% | 9% | 39% | 4% | 13% | 40% | 4% | 13% | 56% | 25% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 11% | 0% | 40% | 3% | 39% | 1% | ** | 12% | 39% | 2% | 18% | 18% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 21% | 20% | 16% | 21% | 22% | 23% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 25% | 16% | 15% | 18% | 15% | 26% | 25% | 16% | 20% | 17% | 31% |
Somewhat Favorable | 16% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 28% | 12% | 17% | 14% | 21% | 12% | 17% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 20% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 20% | 20% | 5% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 26% | 8% | 15% | 28% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 30% | 13% | 4% | 3% | 26% | 13% | 4% | 29% | 6% | 28% | 6% | ** | 5% | 28% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 20% | 20% | 13% | 19% | 15% | 18% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 20% | 14% | 19% | 9% | 16% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 11% |
Neutral | 13% | 14% | 12% | 17% | 12% | 20% | 10% | 9% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 9% | 17% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 16% | 12% | 23% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 16% | 16% | 5% | 15% | 13% | 16% | 9% | 15% | 10% | 14% | 10% | ** | 21% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 16% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 16% |
Somewhat Unfavorable | 9% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 18% | 7% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 27% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 4% | 14% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 11% | 7% | 11% | ** | 11% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 2% | 10% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 11% |
Very Unfavorable | 32% | 27% | 35% | 51% | 26% | 27% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 27% | 33% | 33% | 30% | 33% | 26% | 48% | 49% | 27% | 23% | 29% | 44% | 51% | 33% | 23% | 6% | 58% | 32% | 5% | 60% | 28% | 3% | 8% | 32% | 78% | 68% | 6% | 32% | 74% | 2% | 61% | 3% | 65% | ** | 12% | 4% | 59% | 41% | 36% | 25% | 28% | 35% | 25% | 34% | 29% | 29% | 36% | 33% | 28% | 34% | 30% | 37% | 28% | 36% | 27% | 26% | 30% | 34% | 39% | 18% | 33% | 31% | 26% | 41% | 25% |
Unfamiliar | 11% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 15% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 24% | 5% | 14% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 21% | 8% | 7% | 19% | 7% | 8% | 22% | 5% | 7% | 17% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | ** | 40% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 16% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 21% | 18% | 10% | 8% | 13% | 21% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 6% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 7% | 17% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 47% | 53% | 68% | 19% | 6% | 8% | 32% | 36% | 8% | 10% | 87% | 13% | 39% | 37% | 20% | 38% | 39% | 22% | 18% | 20% | 37% | 13% | 10% | 38% | 37% | 24% | 46% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 8% | 45% | 43% | 7% | 49% | 41% | 45% | 54% | 32% | 67% | 26% | 34% | 40% | 36% | 36% | 28% | 75% | 25% | 18% | 47% | 35% | 7% | 12% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 20% | 37% | 21% | 27% | 15% |
9 | How satisfied are you with the 2024 matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump as leading presidential candidates? |
676 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely Voter | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Original Vote | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Trump | Biden | Other | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Early | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Satisfied With The Choices | 63% | 65% | 61% | 62% | 55% | 65% | 63% | 66% | 57% | 65% | 63% | 66% | 61% | 64% | 59% | 76% | 72% | 53% | 64% | 55% | 87% | 68% | 65% | 45% | 64% | 77% | 38% | 64% | 74% | 42% | 71% | 60% | 53% | 67% | 81% | 65% | 53% | 73% | 62% | 69% | 63% | 70% | ** | 34% | 63% | 64% | 73% | 61% | 64% | 66% | 60% | 60% | 64% | 74% | 61% | 57% | 71% | 59% | 56% | 64% | 58% | 65% | 56% | 70% | 82% | 55% | 59% | 54% | 67% | 72% | 63% | 64% | 62% | 60% |
Wish I Had Other Options | 32% | 32% | 33% | 35% | 40% | 34% | 28% | 30% | 38% | 34% | 28% | 30% | 36% | 29% | 37% | 17% | 24% | 34% | 34% | 39% | 12% | 21% | 30% | 46% | 33% | 19% | 52% | 32% | 22% | 50% | 23% | 38% | 39% | 32% | 17% | 30% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 27% | 33% | 26% | ** | 47% | 34% | 32% | 25% | 32% | 33% | 28% | 36% | 34% | 32% | 22% | 32% | 39% | 22% | 37% | 39% | 33% | 30% | 29% | 39% | 25% | 14% | 37% | 37% | 41% | 32% | 20% | 30% | 35% | 33% | 33% |
Not Sure | 5% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 13% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | ** | 18% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 7% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 7% | 17% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 47% | 53% | 68% | 19% | 6% | 8% | 32% | 36% | 8% | 10% | 87% | 13% | 39% | 37% | 20% | 38% | 39% | 22% | 18% | 20% | 37% | 13% | 10% | 38% | 37% | 24% | 46% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 8% | 45% | 43% | 7% | 49% | 41% | 45% | 54% | 32% | 67% | 26% | 34% | 40% | 36% | 36% | 28% | 75% | 25% | 18% | 47% | 35% | 7% | 12% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 20% | 37% | 21% | 27% | 15% |
![]() | Are you optimistic or pessimistic about the economic outlook for your own family over the next year? |
900 Adults | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely Voter | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Original Vote | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Trump | Biden | Other | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Early | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Optimistic | 45% | 51% | 40% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 48% | 35% | 47% | 50% | 48% | 35% | 48% | 42% | 41% | 59% | 45% | 42% | 46% | 36% | 63% | 56% | 47% | 39% | 40% | 59% | 35% | 43% | 57% | 35% | 36% | 43% | 49% | 45% | 59% | 40% | 49% | 51% | 33% | 59% | 33% | 62% | ** | 32% | 34% | 54% | 46% | 47% | 46% | 47% | 45% | 53% | 41% | 51% | 44% | 41% | 43% | 46% | 49% | 46% | 43% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 67% | 37% | 49% | 40% | 45% | 42% | 45% | 46% | 48% | 38% |
Pessimistic | 33% | 32% | 33% | 29% | 33% | 28% | 29% | 43% | 32% | 28% | 29% | 43% | 30% | 36% | 37% | 21% | 27% | 33% | 39% | 35% | 16% | 25% | 33% | 42% | 39% | 23% | 38% | 39% | 25% | 35% | 47% | 40% | 28% | 28% | 23% | 43% | 28% | 26% | 47% | 22% | 47% | 19% | ** | 45% | 45% | 25% | 35% | 34% | 35% | 35% | 30% | 29% | 35% | 25% | 34% | 39% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 35% | 28% | 31% | 32% | 34% | 16% | 40% | 31% | 33% | 40% | 30% | 33% | 32% | 33% | 31% |
Not Sure | 22% | 18% | 26% | 29% | 17% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 21% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 20% | 28% | 25% | 14% | 29% | 21% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 27% | 19% | 18% | 30% | 17% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 17% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 19% | 20% | 18% | ** | 23% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 25% | 18% | 24% | 25% | 22% | 20% | 29% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 29% | 20% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 23% | 20% | 27% | 14% | 28% | 22% | 21% | 18% | 31% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 10% | 19% | 24% | 24% | 22% | 29% | 24% | 24% | 22% | 53% | 47% | 64% | 20% | 8% | 8% | 31% | 33% | 9% | 11% | 76% | 11% | 34% | 33% | 22% | 36% | 34% | 27% | 16% | 20% | 40% | 12% | 8% | 36% | 40% | 20% | 46% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 8% | 39% | 36% | 7% | 49% | 41% | 42% | 54% | 33% | 65% | 34% | 32% | 34% | 43% | 34% | 24% | 66% | 34% | 19% | 46% | 35% | 7% | 11% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 20% | 37% | 20% | 28% | 15% |