Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21209 |
3 Weeks to GA Primary, Perdue and Kingston Battle to Make Runoff and Right to Face Nunn for Senate; Republican Deal 4 Points Atop Democrat Carter in November General Election Gubernatorial Look-Ahead: 3 Weeks till the 2014 Georgia Primary, clear frontrunners emerge in some high-profile contests but other lower-profile races remain a free-for-all, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WXIA-TV in Atlanta. A look ahead to a November Governor's election shows a tight contest. In a Republican Primary for U.S. Senator today, David Perdue is at 26%, down 3 percentage points from an identical SurveyUSA poll 5 weeks ago. Jack Kingston is at 20%, up a nominal 1 point from 5 weeks ago. Karen Handel has momentum, and is at 15% today, up 5 percentage points. Paul Broun is at 13% today, up 2 percentage points. Phil Gingrey, Derrick Grayson and Art Gardner are further back. A runoff is likely. The U.S. Senate Seat is open; Saxby Chambliss is retiring. In the Republican Primary for Governor, Nathan Deal overwhelms 2 nominal challengers: Deal 64%, David Pennington.11%, John Barge 10%. These results are largely unchanged from 5 weeks ago. In the Republican Primary for School Superintendent, 9 candidates battle for name recognition and voter share of mind, with any outcome possible. 43% are undecided. The top 5 candidates have between 7% and 10% support levels, just as they did 5 weeks ago. A runoff is certain. The sitting Superintendent, John Barge, is running for Governor. In the Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator, Michelle Nunn decisively defeats 3 opponents. Nunn has 57% today, up from 48%. Steve Miles is at 13%, up from 11%. Todd Robinson is at 7%, down from 14%. Rad Radulovacki at 5%, unchanged. Nunn is likely to reach the 50% needed to avoid a 07/22/14 runoff. In the Democratic Primary for Secretary of State, Doreen Carter defeats Gerald Beckum today, 48% to 23%, largely unchanged from 5 weeks ago. The winner faces incumbent Republican Brian Kemp. In the Democratic Primary for Insurance Commissioner, Liz Johnson defeats Keith Heard 48% to 28%, largely unchanged from 5 weeks ago. The winner faces incumbent Republican Ralph Hudgens. In the Democratic Primary for State School Superintendent, Alisha Thomas Morgan has 19% today, up from 12%, followed by Valarie Wilson at 16%, down from 17%. Dennis Freeman has 13%, down from 16%. Tarnisha Dent has 10%, up from 9%. A runoff is certain. 6 months until the November General Election , a look at the likely Gubernatorial head-to-head match-up shows Republican Nathan Deal edging Democrat Jason Carter 41% to 37%. Libertarian Andrew Hunt today takes 9% of the vote. Deal leads by 15 points among males; Carter leads by 6 points among females, a 21-point gender gap. Deal leads 2:1 among GA whites; Carter leads 4:1 among GA blacks. Deal holds 79% of the Republican base. Carter holds 71% of the Democratic base. Independents split. Moderates break for Carter by 17 points. Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,340 state of GA adults 04/24/14 through 04/27/14. Of the adults, 1,999 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 501 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/20/14 Republican Primary, 435 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/20/14 Democratic Primary. 1,567 were determined to be likely to vote in the 11/04/14 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (74% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (26% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. |
![]() | If the Republican primary for Georgia governor were today, which Republican would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Nathan Deal? John Barge? Or David Pennington? |
501 Likely GOP Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Nathan Deal | 64% | 65% | 62% | 62% | 53% | 69% | 76% | 56% | 72% | 68% | ** | 33% | ** | 61% | 65% | 69% | ** | 52% | 75% | 42% | 22% | 59% | 66% | 65% | 64% | 61% | 66% | 70% | 62% | 61% |
John Barge | 10% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 13% | 6% | 7% | ** | 23% | ** | 13% | 9% | 9% | ** | 13% | 6% | 18% | 15% | 4% | 9% | 12% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 5% | 10% | 13% |
David Pennington | 11% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 15% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 8% | 10% | ** | 11% | ** | 7% | 12% | 8% | ** | 15% | 7% | 16% | 37% | 10% | 14% | 9% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
Undecided | 16% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 17% | 14% | 14% | ** | 34% | ** | 18% | 15% | 13% | ** | 20% | 12% | 25% | 25% | 27% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 15% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely GOP Primary Voters | 100% | 60% | 40% | 19% | 33% | 27% | 22% | 51% | 49% | 85% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 19% | 81% | 72% | 4% | 22% | 68% | 24% | 5% | 17% | 31% | 52% | 24% | 33% | 43% | 25% | 42% | 33% |
501 Likely GOP Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Paul Broun | 13% | 11% | 16% | 8% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 14% | ** | 0% | ** | 7% | 14% | 10% | ** | 19% | 15% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 17% | 9% |
Art Gardner | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | ** | 0% | ** | 0% | 1% | 1% | ** | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Phil Gingrey | 6% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 12% | 3% | 10% | 7% | ** | 0% | ** | 4% | 6% | 6% | ** | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 1% |
Derrick Grayson | 5% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 1% | 3% | ** | 23% | ** | 15% | 3% | 6% | ** | 5% | 2% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 7% |
Karen Handel | 15% | 12% | 20% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 18% | 16% | ** | 10% | ** | 8% | 17% | 17% | ** | 11% | 16% | 14% | 19% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 9% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 12% |
Jack Kingston | 20% | 22% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 21% | 22% | ** | 0% | ** | 22% | 20% | 22% | ** | 16% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 15% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 34% |
David Perdue | 26% | 30% | 21% | 38% | 21% | 26% | 25% | 27% | 25% | 27% | ** | 35% | ** | 27% | 26% | 29% | ** | 22% | 29% | 18% | 30% | 18% | 30% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 29% | 26% | 25% |
Undecided | 13% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 15% | 11% | 12% | ** | 32% | ** | 16% | 12% | 9% | ** | 24% | 11% | 22% | 8% | 26% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 7% | 10% | 17% | 11% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely GOP Primary Voters | 100% | 60% | 40% | 19% | 33% | 27% | 22% | 51% | 49% | 85% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 19% | 81% | 72% | 4% | 22% | 68% | 24% | 5% | 17% | 31% | 52% | 24% | 33% | 43% | 25% | 42% | 33% |
501 Likely GOP Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Allen Fort | 7% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | ** | 18% | ** | 8% | 7% | 7% | ** | 7% | 8% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 5% |
Ashley Bell | 10% | 11% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 8% | 11% | ** | 0% | ** | 4% | 11% | 10% | ** | 13% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% |
Kira Willis | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | ** | 0% | ** | 0% | 4% | 4% | ** | 3% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% |
Mary Kay Bacallo | 4% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ** | 0% | ** | 6% | 4% | 5% | ** | 3% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 5% |
Mike Buck | 7% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 7% | ** | 16% | ** | 14% | 6% | 8% | ** | 7% | 7% | 7% | 20% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 7% |
Nancy Jester | 7% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | ** | 26% | ** | 9% | 6% | 7% | ** | 6% | 6% | 11% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 12% |
Richard Woods | 9% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ** | 0% | ** | 9% | 9% | 10% | ** | 5% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 8% |
Sharyl Dawes | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 4% | ** | 0% | ** | 0% | 4% | 4% | ** | 3% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 2% |
Fitz Johnson | 5% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | ** | 0% | ** | 3% | 6% | 6% | ** | 3% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% |
Undecided | 43% | 43% | 44% | 38% | 46% | 43% | 45% | 43% | 44% | 44% | ** | 40% | ** | 47% | 43% | 40% | ** | 52% | 45% | 40% | 27% | 53% | 42% | 41% | 42% | 42% | 44% | 43% | 46% | 40% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely GOP Primary Voters | 100% | 60% | 40% | 19% | 33% | 27% | 22% | 51% | 49% | 85% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 19% | 81% | 72% | 4% | 22% | 68% | 24% | 5% | 17% | 31% | 52% | 24% | 33% | 43% | 25% | 42% | 33% |
435 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Branko "Rad" Radulovacki | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 2% | ** | ** | 10% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 4% |
Michelle Nunn | 57% | 50% | 63% | 40% | 56% | 63% | 74% | 48% | 67% | 69% | 52% | ** | ** | 37% | 64% | 37% | 57% | 65% | 61% | 52% | 66% | 49% | 55% | 61% | 53% | 54% | 65% | 61% | 53% | 56% |
Steen Miles | 13% | 18% | 8% | 19% | 9% | 14% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 2% | 17% | ** | ** | 14% | 13% | 50% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 10% | 13% | 9% | 16% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 21% | 9% | 7% |
Todd Robinson | 7% | 8% | 6% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 3% | 7% | 8% | ** | ** | 12% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 8% |
Undecided | 18% | 18% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 20% | 15% | 15% | 21% | ** | ** | 26% | 15% | 9% | 18% | 18% | 27% | 15% | 13% | 18% | 27% | 12% | 25% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 19% | 25% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 27% | 25% | 33% | 15% | 52% | 48% | 32% | 61% | 3% | 3% | 25% | 75% | 5% | 82% | 12% | 13% | 45% | 30% | 19% | 33% | 48% | 35% | 34% | 31% | 40% | 28% | 31% |
435 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Doreen Carter | 48% | 46% | 50% | 48% | 50% | 47% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 44% | 50% | ** | ** | 32% | 53% | 10% | 51% | 48% | 37% | 44% | 61% | 48% | 47% | 48% | 57% | 41% | 45% | 45% | 55% | 45% |
Gerald Beckum | 23% | 31% | 16% | 34% | 20% | 19% | 18% | 27% | 19% | 23% | 22% | ** | ** | 38% | 18% | 70% | 20% | 21% | 35% | 28% | 13% | 30% | 17% | 25% | 14% | 33% | 25% | 28% | 20% | 20% |
Undecided | 29% | 23% | 34% | 19% | 30% | 34% | 33% | 24% | 34% | 32% | 28% | ** | ** | 30% | 29% | 19% | 29% | 31% | 28% | 28% | 26% | 22% | 36% | 27% | 29% | 27% | 31% | 27% | 25% | 35% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 27% | 25% | 33% | 15% | 52% | 48% | 32% | 61% | 3% | 3% | 25% | 75% | 5% | 82% | 12% | 13% | 45% | 30% | 19% | 33% | 48% | 35% | 34% | 31% | 40% | 28% | 31% |
435 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Liz Johnson | 48% | 43% | 52% | 47% | 51% | 46% | 47% | 49% | 46% | 51% | 46% | ** | ** | 51% | 47% | 42% | 50% | 34% | 49% | 49% | 49% | 52% | 45% | 46% | 48% | 46% | 48% | 46% | 47% | 51% |
Keith Heard | 28% | 33% | 23% | 38% | 23% | 25% | 23% | 31% | 24% | 23% | 29% | ** | ** | 27% | 28% | 42% | 26% | 31% | 25% | 27% | 29% | 25% | 27% | 30% | 25% | 29% | 31% | 31% | 29% | 23% |
Undecided | 25% | 24% | 25% | 15% | 25% | 29% | 30% | 20% | 29% | 26% | 25% | ** | ** | 22% | 26% | 16% | 24% | 35% | 26% | 24% | 22% | 23% | 28% | 24% | 28% | 25% | 21% | 23% | 24% | 27% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 27% | 25% | 33% | 15% | 52% | 48% | 32% | 61% | 3% | 3% | 25% | 75% | 5% | 82% | 12% | 13% | 45% | 30% | 19% | 33% | 48% | 35% | 34% | 31% | 40% | 28% | 31% |
435 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Alisha Thomas Morgan | 19% | 24% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 21% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 19% | ** | ** | 23% | 18% | 44% | 19% | 11% | 18% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 21% | 18% | 22% | 17% | 22% | 17% | 18% |
Jurita Mays | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 6% | ** | ** | 1% | 7% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% |
Denise Freeman | 13% | 18% | 10% | 13% | 9% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 13% | ** | ** | 11% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 8% | 17% | 11% | 20% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 9% |
Rita Robinzine | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | ** | ** | 3% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
Tarnisha Dent | 10% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 20% | 7% | 5% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 12% | ** | ** | 6% | 12% | 0% | 12% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 14% | 11% | 5% | 17% | 9% | 7% | 15% |
Valarie Wilson | 16% | 11% | 21% | 22% | 13% | 14% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 21% | 14% | ** | ** | 26% | 13% | 23% | 15% | 24% | 14% | 15% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 19% | 15% | 15% | 20% | 15% |
Undecided | 30% | 25% | 35% | 24% | 26% | 35% | 38% | 25% | 36% | 33% | 30% | ** | ** | 30% | 30% | 22% | 31% | 27% | 30% | 28% | 28% | 25% | 41% | 26% | 33% | 29% | 29% | 27% | 27% | 38% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 27% | 25% | 33% | 15% | 52% | 48% | 32% | 61% | 3% | 3% | 25% | 75% | 5% | 82% | 12% | 13% | 45% | 30% | 19% | 33% | 48% | 35% | 34% | 31% | 40% | 28% | 31% |
1567 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Deal (R) | 41% | 47% | 35% | 37% | 42% | 39% | 49% | 40% | 43% | 54% | 15% | 38% | ** | 38% | 42% | 79% | 13% | 33% | 72% | 29% | 17% | 37% | 40% | 43% | 39% | 37% | 46% | 36% | 46% | 41% |
Carter (D) | 37% | 32% | 41% | 31% | 38% | 42% | 35% | 35% | 39% | 26% | 67% | 7% | ** | 35% | 37% | 7% | 71% | 31% | 12% | 46% | 66% | 37% | 39% | 35% | 36% | 39% | 35% | 44% | 32% | 34% |
Hunt (L) | 9% | 10% | 8% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 4% | 29% | ** | 8% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 19% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 9% |
Undecided | 13% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 25% | ** | 18% | 12% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 9% | 14% | 9% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 13% | 11% | 16% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 30% | 28% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 62% | 28% | 5% | 4% | 23% | 77% | 35% | 37% | 26% | 36% | 40% | 16% | 17% | 34% | 50% | 31% | 33% | 36% | 34% | 33% | 33% |