| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14660 |
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Whites in PA Drift Slightly Back to McCain; Meaningful? Too Soon To Say:
In an election for President of the United States in Pennsylvania today, 10/23/08, twelve days until votes are counted, the contest tightens, but Democrat Barack Obama still defeats Republican John McCain 53% to 41%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WCAU-TV Philadelphia, KDKA-TV Pittsburgh, WNEP-TV Scranton, WHTM-TV Harrisburg, and WJAC-TV Johnstown. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll 9 days ago, McCain is up 1, Obama is down 2. There is movement to McCain among white voters, where McCain had been down 7, today is down 3.
Filtering: 800 adults were interviewed 10/21/08 and 10/22/08. Of them, 716 were registered to vote. Of them, 620 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election. The McCain campaign may believe that it can only win the White House if it wins PA, and cannot win the White House if it loses PA. The state's 21 electoral votes have a prominence that is possibly greater than in any previous election. |
 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates? |
| 620 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Intellectual? | Traveled Abroad | Speak Another La | USA Super Power | Own a Gun? | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | Northwes | Southwes | West Cen | South Ce | Northeas | Southeas | |
| McCain (R) | 41% | 41% | 42% | 35% | 44% | 41% | 46% | 40% | 43% | 40% | 49% | 41% | 46% | 10% | ** | ** | 73% | 18% | 33% | 75% | 31% | 11% | 41% | 43% | 51% | 36% | 29% | 61% | 26% | 40% | 47% | 44% | 34% | 42% | 42% | 44% | 32% | 51% | 35% | 39% | 44% | ** | 46% | 49% | 54% | 45% | 32% |
| Obama (D) | 53% | 53% | 54% | 60% | 51% | 54% | 49% | 54% | 52% | 55% | 46% | 53% | 49% | 89% | ** | ** | 22% | 78% | 54% | 19% | 63% | 88% | 54% | 52% | 45% | 58% | 63% | 34% | 69% | 55% | 46% | 50% | 60% | 55% | 51% | 51% | 59% | 43% | 61% | 55% | 50% | ** | 49% | 40% | 41% | 48% | 64% |
| Other | 4% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 0% | ** | ** | 3% | 3% | 13% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | ** | 4% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 3% |
| Undecided | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ** | ** | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ** | 1% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 21% | 31% | 25% | 22% | 52% | 48% | 47% | 12% | 41% | 86% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 41% | 52% | 6% | 31% | 44% | 18% | 45% | 55% | 50% | 29% | 21% | 46% | 51% | 74% | 21% | 74% | 26% | 25% | 74% | 84% | 12% | 42% | 55% | 39% | 61% | 4% | 23% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 41% |