| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #9895 |
| Democrats Hold House Seat in CO3: In an election for the U.S. House of Representatives today, 8/15/06, in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, incumbent Democrat John Salazar defeats Republican challenger Scott Tipton by 11 points, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KUSA-TV Denver. 12 weeks from the 11/7/06 general election, Salazar gets 53% of the vote. Tipton gets 42%. Libertarian Bob Sargent gets 4%. Salazar leads by 23 points among women and trails by 1 point among men, a 24-point Gender Gap. The more males who vote, the closer the contest will be. Salazar gets 92% of Democrat votes. Tipton gets 75% of Republican votes. 21% of Republicans cross over and vote for the Democrat. Independents prefer Salazar 62% to 27%. Tipton wins among voters age 35-49 but loses in other age groups. Salazar was first elected to Congress in 2004. His brother Ken Salazar is a Democratic U.S. Senator for Colorado. President George W. Bush's approval rating among likely voters in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District is 43%. |
| Filtering: 900 adults from Colorado's 3rd Congressional District were interviewed 8/12/2006 - 8/14/2006. Of them, 765 were registered to vote. Of them, 456 were judged to be "likely voters." Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters. |
 | If the election were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Scott Tipton? Democrat John Salazar? Or Libertarian Bob Sargent? |
| 456 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | Race | Party | Ideology | Education | Income | Bush Job Approva | |||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | White | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Grad Sch | College | Some Col | No Colle | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Approve | Disappro | |
| Tipton (R) | 42% | 48% | 36% | 31% | 52% | 36% | 38% | 46% | 18% | 75% | 6% | 27% | 76% | 25% | 11% | 34% | 46% | 45% | 37% | 34% | 44% | 45% | 79% | 9% |
| Salazar (D) | 53% | 47% | 59% | 60% | 44% | 59% | 57% | 48% | 81% | 21% | 92% | 62% | 21% | 70% | 82% | 64% | 48% | 49% | 58% | 58% | 52% | 52% | 17% | 85% |
| Sargent (L) | 4% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
| Undecided | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 12% | 36% | 29% | 22% | 82% | 16% | 43% | 32% | 23% | 35% | 40% | 15% | 22% | 25% | 40% | 13% | 29% | 41% | 24% | 43% | 52% |