Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #9895
Democrats Hold House Seat in CO3: In an election for the U.S. House of Representatives today, 8/15/06, in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, incumbent Democrat John Salazar defeats Republican challenger Scott Tipton by 11 points, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KUSA-TV Denver. 12 weeks from the 11/7/06 general election, Salazar gets 53% of the vote. Tipton gets 42%. Libertarian Bob Sargent gets 4%. Salazar leads by 23 points among women and trails by 1 point among men, a 24-point Gender Gap. The more males who vote, the closer the contest will be. Salazar gets 92% of Democrat votes. Tipton gets 75% of Republican votes. 21% of Republicans cross over and vote for the Democrat. Independents prefer Salazar 62% to 27%. Tipton wins among voters age 35-49 but loses in other age groups. Salazar was first elected to Congress in 2004. His brother Ken Salazar is a Democratic U.S. Senator for Colorado. President George W. Bush's approval rating among likely voters in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District is 43%.
Filtering: 900 adults from Colorado's 3rd Congressional District were interviewed 8/12/2006 - 8/14/2006. Of them, 765 were registered to vote. Of them, 456 were judged to be "likely voters." Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.
If the election were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Scott Tipton? Democrat John Salazar? Or Libertarian Bob Sargent?
456 Likely VotersAllGenderAgeRacePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeBush Job Approva
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+WhiteHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalGrad SchCollege Some ColNo Colle< $40K$40K - $> $80KApproveDisappro
Tipton (R)42%48%36%31%52%36%38%46%18%75%6%27%76%25%11%34%46%45%37%34%44%45%79%9%
Salazar (D)53%47%59%60%44%59%57%48%81%21%92%62%21%70%82%64%48%49%58%58%52%52%17%85%
Sargent (L)4%4%3%9%3%2%3%4%0%2%1%9%2%3%6%1%4%5%3%6%2%2%2%5%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%12%36%29%22%82%16%43%32%23%35%40%15%22%25%40%13%29%41%24%43%52%