| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27353 |
| About the Research / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 750 adults from the entire state of Nebraska 10/09/24 through 10/12/24. Of the adults, 623 were identified as being registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 563 were determined to be likely to vote in the November election or to have already cast their ballots and were asked the questions which follow. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. 64% of respondents were shown the survey questions on the display of their smartphone, laptop or tablet, using nonprobability sample of online adult panelists chosen randomly by Cint/Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. The other 36% of respondents were interviewed by telephone, using probability-based telephone sample of registered voters purchased from Aristotle in Washington DC. 23% of respondents were texted on their cell phones by live operators who secured the cooperation of each respondent before linking them to an online survey; 14% of respondents were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. The combined pool of survey respondents was weighted to 2022 US Census ACS targets for gender, age, race, education, congressional district, and home ownership, as well as by recalled 2020 vote. |
| 1 | Are you registered to vote in the state of Nebraska? |
| 750 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Type Of Interview | ||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | Landline | |
| Yes | 83% | 84% | 82% | 72% | 79% | 87% | 98% | 75% | 93% | 87% | ** | 72% | 67% | 89% | 84% | 76% | 73% | 100% | 100% |
| No | 15% | 14% | 15% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 2% | 22% | 6% | 12% | ** | 27% | 27% | 10% | 12% | 21% | 23% | 0% | 0% |
| Not Sure | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | ** | 1% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 50% | 50% | 30% | 25% | 23% | 22% | 55% | 45% | 79% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 47% | 23% | 25% | 64% | 23% | 14% |
| 2 | Nebraska will hold an election for President and for both of its United States Senate seats in November. Not everyone makes the time to vote in every election. If you ... |
| 623 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Type Of Interview | ||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | Landline | |
| Already Voted | 11% | 9% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 22% | 6% | 17% | 11% | ** | 11% | 13% | 7% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 21% |
| Certain To Vote | 70% | 73% | 68% | 58% | 79% | 73% | 74% | 68% | 73% | 75% | ** | 38% | 59% | 76% | 73% | 58% | 64% | 80% | 77% |
| Will Probably Vote | 9% | 8% | 9% | 18% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 13% | 4% | 6% | ** | 25% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 4% | 0% |
| About a 50/50 Chance You'll Vote | 7% | 8% | 6% | 14% | 7% | 8% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 6% | ** | 22% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 12% | 1% | 1% |
| Probably Will NOT Vote | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ** | 2% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 1% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | ** | 2% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | 50% | 50% | 83% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 50% | 24% | 23% | 56% | 27% | 17% |
| 3 | If the election for United States Senator from Nebraska were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? |
| 563 Likely And Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Type Of Interview | ||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | Landline | |
| Deb Fischer (R) | 44% | 47% | 41% | 46% | 34% | 43% | 50% | 40% | 47% | 46% | ** | 36% | 28% | 72% | 4% | 23% | 39% | 46% | 51% |
| Dan Osborn (I) | 50% | 50% | 50% | 47% | 57% | 52% | 45% | 52% | 48% | 48% | ** | 58% | 58% | 22% | 94% | 69% | 54% | 45% | 47% |
| Undecided | 6% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 6% | ** | 6% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely And Actual Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 23% | 24% | 24% | 29% | 47% | 53% | 84% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 52% | 25% | 20% | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| 4 | If the special election for United States Senator from Nebraska were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? |
| 563 Likely And Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Type Of Interview | ||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | Landline | |
| Pete Ricketts (R) | 53% | 55% | 52% | 55% | 44% | 57% | 56% | 50% | 57% | 56% | ** | 60% | 22% | 84% | 6% | 36% | 53% | 55% | 53% |
| Preston Love, Jr. (D) | 37% | 36% | 39% | 31% | 45% | 36% | 38% | 38% | 37% | 38% | ** | 27% | 35% | 10% | 84% | 54% | 34% | 39% | 44% |
| Undecided | 9% | 9% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 6% | 7% | ** | 13% | 43% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 6% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely And Actual Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 23% | 24% | 24% | 29% | 47% | 53% | 84% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 52% | 25% | 20% | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| 5 | Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Deb Fischer? |
| 563 Likely And Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Type Of Interview | ||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | Landline | |
| Very Favorable | 14% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 23% | 10% | 18% | 15% | ** | 9% | 11% | 25% | 2% | 3% | 10% | 16% | 25% |
| Somewhat Favorable | 28% | 28% | 27% | 34% | 22% | 29% | 26% | 28% | 27% | 29% | ** | 25% | 13% | 43% | 3% | 19% | 30% | 26% | 24% |
| Somewhat Unfavorable | 18% | 20% | 16% | 28% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 21% | 15% | 16% | ** | 27% | 29% | 14% | 16% | 33% | 23% | 12% | 14% |
| Very Unfavorable | 32% | 30% | 33% | 19% | 38% | 38% | 31% | 29% | 34% | 32% | ** | 23% | 27% | 8% | 73% | 39% | 27% | 39% | 34% |
| Not Sure | 9% | 4% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 6% | 7% | ** | 15% | 20% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely And Actual Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 23% | 24% | 24% | 29% | 47% | 53% | 84% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 52% | 25% | 20% | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| 6 | Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Dan Osborn? |
| 563 Likely And Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Type Of Interview | ||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | Landline | |
| Very Favorable | 21% | 23% | 19% | 16% | 19% | 21% | 25% | 18% | 23% | 21% | ** | 17% | 8% | 10% | 43% | 22% | 19% | 20% | 27% |
| Somewhat Favorable | 33% | 32% | 34% | 40% | 43% | 35% | 19% | 41% | 26% | 32% | ** | 41% | 50% | 26% | 44% | 41% | 42% | 26% | 19% |
| Somewhat Unfavorable | 18% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 22% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 18% | ** | 23% | 5% | 25% | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 18% |
| Very Unfavorable | 16% | 21% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 10% | 22% | 17% | ** | 12% | 19% | 27% | 0% | 10% | 11% | 21% | 25% |
| Not Sure | 12% | 8% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 12% | ** | 7% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 17% | 11% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely And Actual Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 23% | 24% | 24% | 29% | 47% | 53% | 84% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 52% | 25% | 20% | 52% | 30% | 18% |