| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13325 |
| FINAL CA GOP PRIMARY -- INCLUDES INTERVIEWS FROM MONDAY NIGHT 02/04/08 |
| CA Conservatives Race to Romney, Who Draws Even with McCain on Election Eve: 24 hours till votes are counted in the California Republican Primary, Mitt Romney is now effectively tied with John McCain, 39% McCain, 38% Romney, according to SurveyUSA's 13th and final pre-primary tracking poll. Among younger voters: tied. Among older voters: tied. Among whites: tied. In Central Valley: tied. Among men: tied. Among Moderates, McCain leads by 20. Among Conservatives, Romney leads by 15. Three weeks ago, Romney ran 4th among Conservatives, behind McCain, Mike Huckabee and Rudolph Giuliani. Romney's support among Conservatives has tripled since 01/14/08. Among Pro-Life voters, Romney leads by 8. Among Pro-Choice voters, McCain leads by 8. Among gun owners, Romney leads by 11. Among those with no gun, McCain leads by 11. |
| Filtering: 2,000 state of CA adults were interviewed 02/03/08 and 02/04/08. Of them, 1,762 were registered to vote. Of them, 556 had already voted or were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote at the precinct on 02/05/08. Research conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego and KFSN-TV Fresno. |
 | If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for ...(names rotated) Mike Huckabee? John McCain? Mitt Romney? Ron Paul? Or some other Republican? |
| 556 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Already Voted | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Top Issue For Next President | Ideology | 2004 Vote | Abortion | Global Warming | Stem Cell Resear | Labor Union | Same Sex Marriag | Gun Ownership | Military Draft | Who Is Winning W | Bush in History | Passport Current | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Actual V | Likely V | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Bush | Kerry | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Real | Made-up | For | Against | Yes | No | Support | Oppose | Yes | No | Need | No Need | United S | Terroris | One Of A | An Avera | One Of T | Yes | No | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | |
| Huckabee | 11% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 11% | ** | 21% | 6% | 8% | ** | 18% | 11% | 11% | ** | ** | 11% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 16% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 13% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 6% |
| McCain | 39% | 38% | 39% | 40% | 37% | 31% | 43% | 36% | 41% | 39% | 38% | 38% | ** | 34% | 50% | 51% | ** | 63% | 58% | 32% | ** | ** | 19% | 31% | 50% | 47% | 39% | 47% | 33% | 44% | 48% | 24% | 42% | 26% | 36% | 38% | 55% | 33% | 34% | 43% | 47% | 35% | 37% | 38% | 33% | 39% | 42% | 37% | 40% | 34% | 37% | 35% | 53% |
| Romney | 38% | 32% | 41% | 41% | 33% | 46% | 33% | 39% | 38% | 38% | 39% | 39% | ** | 31% | 35% | 32% | ** | 17% | 19% | 51% | ** | ** | 52% | 46% | 30% | 25% | 40% | 19% | 41% | 36% | 27% | 54% | 37% | 43% | 36% | 40% | 22% | 43% | 45% | 32% | 29% | 42% | 42% | 30% | 45% | 39% | 30% | 44% | 31% | 34% | 43% | 43% | 28% |
| Paul | 5% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 5% | ** | 6% | 4% | 5% | ** | 0% | 5% | 0% | ** | ** | 8% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 6% |
| Other | 5% | 9% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 5% | ** | 4% | 5% | 3% | ** | 2% | 4% | 4% | ** | ** | 8% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 6% |
| Undecided | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ** | 4% | 0% | 2% | ** | 0% | 3% | 2% | ** | ** | 2% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 36% | 64% | 60% | 40% | 19% | 34% | 25% | 22% | 53% | 47% | 73% | 2% | 13% | 11% | 31% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 2% | 3% | 29% | 58% | 32% | 7% | 85% | 8% | 51% | 46% | 54% | 41% | 68% | 27% | 27% | 72% | 19% | 77% | 54% | 43% | 25% | 72% | 78% | 16% | 24% | 54% | 20% | 60% | 37% | 25% | 37% | 21% | 17% |