Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #26493 |
Show Me Deja Vu All Over Again (Again) As Trump/Biden Do-Over Sees Same Result In Missouri – Largely Unchanged Since May:
Four months ago, SurveyUSA asked registered voters across Missouri how they would vote if Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Joe Biden ran against each other in the 2024 Presidential contest. The answer? As it was when voters went to the polls in 2020, it was Trump by 15. Two months, the answer was almost exactly the same: Trump by 16. Today, 26 months to the 2024 election, the answer is again nearly the same: Trump by 17, 52% to 35%. See SurveyUSA's interactive tracking graph for more. About the Poll / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 Missouri adults online 09/14/22 through 09/18/22, using sample provided by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. Of the adults, 830 were identified as being registered to vote and were asked the questions which follow. The pool of adult survey respondents was weighted to US Census targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership. |
1 | Are you registered to vote in the state of Missouri? |
1000 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely November | Overturning Roe | 2020 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Agree | Disagree | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northern | Kansas C | Southwes | St. Loui | Southeas | |
Yes | 83% | 81% | 85% | 76% | 83% | 82% | 94% | 79% | 87% | 85% | 76% | 70% | 90% | 92% | 75% | 91% | 89% | 83% | 88% | 87% | 90% | 83% | 88% | 100% | 100% | 91% | 84% | 91% | 96% | 75% | 84% | 94% | 74% | 90% | 90% | 89% | 70% | 81% | 84% | 83% | 78% | 79% | 81% | 89% | 83% |
No | 14% | 15% | 13% | 21% | 15% | 14% | 4% | 18% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 25% | 8% | 8% | 20% | 7% | 8% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 8% | 13% | 12% | - | - | 8% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 22% | 12% | 5% | 21% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 16% | 16% | 9% | 15% |
Not Sure | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 0% | - | - | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 22% | 52% | 48% | 80% | 11% | 9% | 36% | 26% | 29% | 13% | 25% | 33% | 12% | 7% | 38% | 33% | 18% | 61% | 20% | 35% | 46% | 44% | 30% | 41% | 29% | 30% | 44% | 34% | 21% | 67% | 33% | 20% | 42% | 38% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 33% | 12% |
![]() | And thinking ahead to the 2024 election for President. If Donald Trump runs again in 2024, and if Joe Biden runs for re-election in 2024, who would you vote for? |
830 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely November | Overturning Roe | 2020 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Agree | Disagree | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northern | Kansas C | Southwes | St. Loui | Southeas | |
Donald Trump (R) | 52% | 56% | 48% | 50% | 46% | 62% | 49% | 48% | 55% | 57% | 21% | 38% | 87% | 12% | 44% | 85% | 74% | 44% | 6% | 9% | 77% | 44% | 7% | 51% | 52% | 72% | 33% | 90% | 6% | 62% | 51% | 42% | 52% | 56% | 45% | 53% | 49% | 42% | 41% | 69% | 60% | 38% | 64% | 42% | 69% |
Joe Biden (D) | 35% | 33% | 38% | 37% | 35% | 30% | 38% | 36% | 34% | 32% | 58% | 36% | 6% | 81% | 32% | 8% | 12% | 40% | 85% | 90% | 11% | 40% | 87% | 38% | 36% | 15% | 56% | 3% | 88% | 26% | 33% | 47% | 35% | 32% | 42% | 35% | 35% | 45% | 45% | 19% | 28% | 45% | 25% | 44% | 21% |
Undecided | 13% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 18% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 10% | 11% | 22% | 26% | 7% | 7% | 23% | 7% | 15% | 16% | 8% | 1% | 12% | 16% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 16% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 16% | 11% | 14% | 10% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 49% | 51% | 83% | 10% | 7% | 39% | 29% | 26% | 14% | 27% | 33% | 12% | 7% | 41% | 33% | 20% | 61% | 20% | 39% | 47% | 48% | 34% | 37% | 29% | 34% | 40% | 37% | 23% | 72% | 28% | 20% | 43% | 38% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 35% | 12% |