|Incumbent Democrat Leads in IN-9's Regularly Scheduled House Contest:
In an election for US House of Representatives in Indiana's 9th Congressional District today, 09/11/08, incumbent Democrat Baron Hill leads Republican Mike Sodrel by 11 points, 50% to 39%. Libertarian Eric Schansberg today takes 5% of the vote; 5% are undecided. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released six weeks ago, Hill is up 2 points; Sodrel is down 3.
Among women, Hill leads by 18 points, up from 9 points six weeks ago; among men, Hill leads by 5, unchanged from six weeks ago. Among voters age 18-49, Hill leads by 5; among those 50+, Hill leads by 19. Both Hill and Sodrel hold 8 in 10 of their partisan voters; independents, 15% of the electorate, favor Hill by 6 points, but 1 in 5 independents choose Libertarian Schansberg.
Hill and Sodrel have run against each other in three previous elections; in the last, two years ago, Schansberg also ran, making this year's race an exact rematch of 2006, when Hill Beat Sodrel by 5 points to re-take his seat. Full history of the contest:
- 1998: Hill first elected, beating Republican Jean Leising, 51% to 48%
- 2000: Hill re-elected over Republican Michael Bailey, 54% to 44%.
- 2002: Hill re-elected over Republican Mike Sodrel, 51% to 46%.
- 2004: Sodrel elected, beating Hill, by a margin of 1,425 votes.
- 2006: Hill elected, taking seat back from Sodrel, 50% to 45%.