Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #26195

MN 2022 Gov Elex Look-Ahead: DFL Incumbent Walz Leads Potential GOP Opponents By Double Digits, Has Plus 8 Net Favorability Rating: 11 months until votes are counted in Minnesota's next election for Governor, DFL incumbent Tim Walz holds a double-digit lead over each of 6 potential Republican challengers, according to SurveyUSA's latest exclusive polling for KSTP-TV Minneapolis, KAAL-TV in Rochester-Mason City-Austin, and WDIO-TV in Duluth. Walz also has the best name recognition and highest Net Favorability rating of the field. Net Favorability is calculated by subtracting unfavorable ratings from favorable ratings. Candidate names were shown to respondents in random order, ranked here from highest to lowest net favorability: Tim Walz...............Plus 8. 47% view Walz favorably, 39% unfavorably; 11% view him neutrally. Only 3% have no opinion of Walz. Scott Jensen...........Plus 4. 16% view Jensen favorably, 12% unfavorably; 25% have a neutral opinion; 48% have no opinion of him. Mike Murphy.........Plus 2. 10% have a favorable view of Murphy, 8% an unfavorable view; 27% are neutral. 55% have no opinion. Neil Shah...............Minus 1. 9% view Shah favorably, 10% unfavorably; 25% are neutral. 56% have no opinion. Michelle Benson....Minus 2. 12% have a favorable opinion of Benson, 14% an unfavorable opinion; 31% are neutral. 43% have no opinion. Mike Marti.............Minus 3. 8% favorable, 11% unfavorable; 27% neutral. 55% have no opinion. Paul Gazelka..........Minus 11. 11% have a favorable opinion of Gazelka, 22% an unfavorable opinion; 28% are neutral. 38% have no opinion. In head to head matchups against each Republican, Walz leads by between 11 and 17 percentage points. Walz defeats State Senator Paul Gazelka by 13 points today, 47% to 34%. Gazelka, the best-known candidate running to oppose Walz, leads by 24 points in Western Minnesota and by 10 points in the Northeastern part of the state. Walz leads by 29 points in Southern MN and by 20 in the Twin Cities area. Against State Senator Michelle Benson, Walz wins by 12 points, 47% to 35%. Benson leads by 16 in Western Minnesota, ties Walz in the Northeast; Walz leads by 19 in the rest of the state. Former state Senator Scott Jensen also loses to Walz by a 12-point margin, 48% to 36%. While conservative voters unsurprisingly back each Republican candidate by a wide margin, Jensen is the candidate who runs most strongly with conservatives, taking 80% of conservatives' votes. Walz defeats Lexington Mayor Mike Murphy by 11 points, 47% to 36%. Murphy takes 76% of conservative votes – second only to Jensen. Entrepreneur Mike Marti loses to Walz by 13 points, 47% to 34%. Marti has a 16-point advantage in Western Minnesota, but trails elsewhere. Physician Neil Shah falls to Walz by 17 points, 48% to 31%. Shah, the least-known of the Republican candidates, nevertheless leads by 10 points in Western Minnesota.

About the Research / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed a representative cross-section of 675 Minnesota adults online 12/02/21 through 12/06/21, using sample provided by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. Of the adults, 591 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 506 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the November 2022 general election and were asked the questions which follow. The pool of adult survey respondents was weighted to US Census targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership.

1	Are you registered to vote in the state of Minnesota?

675 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Yes	88%	87%	88%	81%	84%	91%	98%	82%	94%	94%	96%	82%	92%	90%	88%	95%	93%	91%	88%	94%	100%	100%	85%	89%	97%	97%	99%	98%	77%	89%	96%	79%	89%	94%	92%	76%	87%	85%	91%	88%	87%	84%	88%
No	11%	11%	10%	15%	14%	9%	2%	15%	6%	6%	4%	17%	8%	10%	9%	4%	7%	9%	9%	5%	-	-	12%	9%	3%	3%	1%	2%	19%	9%	4%	17%	10%	5%	8%	18%	11%	12%	8%	10%	10%	16%	9%
Not Sure	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	0%	0%	3%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	2%	0%	-	-	3%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	4%	2%	0%	4%	1%	0%	0%	6%	2%	2%	0%	2%	3%	0%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Adults	100%	50%	50%	29%	26%	25%	21%	55%	45%	29%	34%	28%	9%	22%	38%	14%	9%	31%	38%	23%	69%	16%	32%	68%	37%	44%	21%	44%	31%	35%	34%	30%	39%	30%	72%	28%	24%	47%	29%	57%	18%	14%	12%

2	Minnesota will hold an election for Governor next November. Not everyone makes the time to vote in every election. Which best describes you? Are you certain to vote? Will you probably vote? Are the chances you will vote about 50/50? Or will you probably not vote?

591 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Certain To Vote	69%	72%	67%	53%	68%	81%	77%	60%	79%	81%	67%	64%	91%	71%	65%	69%	80%	77%	65%	73%	100%	0%	66%	71%	76%	70%	87%	73%	60%	67%	79%	60%	72%	74%	74%	55%	74%	70%	65%	72%	63%	60%	76%
Will Probably Vote	16%	16%	17%	23%	20%	6%	15%	21%	11%	11%	18%	20%	5%	16%	19%	17%	14%	13%	19%	16%	0%	100%	17%	16%	11%	19%	11%	19%	17%	19%	13%	19%	14%	16%	14%	23%	17%	15%	17%	14%	21%	19%	16%
50/50 Chance	8%	7%	10%	15%	8%	8%	2%	11%	5%	5%	8%	10%	4%	7%	9%	11%	3%	6%	9%	8%	0%	0%	11%	7%	7%	8%	1%	7%	12%	9%	6%	11%	9%	6%	6%	15%	6%	10%	7%	9%	7%	11%	6%
Probably Will Not Vote	4%	5%	4%	7%	4%	1%	4%	6%	3%	1%	5%	5%	0%	4%	5%	3%	3%	3%	5%	3%	0%	0%	4%	4%	5%	2%	0%	1%	7%	4%	2%	5%	4%	3%	4%	5%	2%	3%	7%	3%	7%	9%	0%
Not Sure	2%	1%	2%	3%	0%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	0%	2%	2%	1%	0%	1%	2%	1%	0%	0%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	0%	5%	1%	1%	4%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	50%	50%	27%	25%	26%	23%	51%	49%	31%	38%	26%	9%	23%	39%	15%	10%	32%	39%	25%	69%	16%	31%	69%	41%	49%	24%	49%	27%	35%	37%	28%	40%	33%	76%	24%	24%	46%	30%	57%	18%	13%	12%

Is your opinion of Tim Walz ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion?

506 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Favorable	47%	46%	49%	39%	49%	50%	50%	44%	50%	14%	80%	41%	4%	18%	54%	83%	78%	14%	54%	81%	47%	47%	45%	48%	14%	77%	11%	77%	43%	42%	54%	46%	46%	49%	48%	46%	50%	53%	35%	49%	51%	35%	44%
Unfavorable	39%	43%	34%	39%	39%	40%	37%	39%	38%	72%	7%	43%	82%	72%	28%	8%	10%	75%	28%	9%	41%	29%	43%	37%	75%	9%	84%	10%	41%	40%	36%	40%	40%	36%	39%	36%	38%	33%	48%	35%	38%	54%	43%
Neutral	11%	8%	14%	14%	9%	9%	11%	12%	10%	8%	11%	13%	10%	8%	13%	7%	6%	9%	13%	7%	9%	20%	9%	11%	7%	12%	3%	12%	13%	13%	8%	11%	11%	10%	9%	16%	9%	10%	13%	12%	9%	7%	11%
No Opinion	3%	4%	3%	8%	2%	1%	2%	5%	2%	5%	2%	2%	4%	2%	5%	1%	6%	2%	5%	3%	3%	5%	3%	4%	4%	2%	2%	2%	3%	5%	2%	3%	3%	4%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	4%	1%	4%	2%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	24%	25%	26%	25%	49%	51%	33%	37%	25%	10%	23%	38%	15%	11%	34%	38%	26%	81%	19%	30%	70%	41%	50%	28%	53%	25%	36%	40%	26%	40%	35%	78%	22%	25%	46%	29%	58%	17%	12%	13%

What is your overall opinion of Paul Gazelka?

506 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Favorable	11%	13%	10%	17%	8%	9%	11%	13%	10%	20%	6%	7%	24%	17%	10%	2%	6%	19%	10%	3%	12%	7%	15%	10%	19%	5%	22%	5%	12%	14%	8%	17%	8%	11%	11%	13%	13%	11%	10%	11%	13%	7%	14%
Unfavorable	22%	27%	17%	17%	21%	28%	23%	19%	26%	10%	34%	23%	11%	9%	20%	41%	48%	10%	20%	44%	23%	19%	19%	24%	9%	34%	12%	31%	18%	16%	30%	22%	18%	28%	23%	22%	26%	23%	18%	23%	34%	8%	18%
Neutral	28%	29%	27%	31%	32%	27%	24%	31%	25%	28%	26%	30%	27%	33%	29%	23%	21%	31%	29%	22%	27%	32%	28%	28%	32%	25%	29%	26%	22%	33%	28%	23%	31%	29%	29%	24%	27%	27%	32%	27%	23%	34%	35%
No Opinion	38%	31%	46%	35%	39%	36%	41%	37%	39%	42%	34%	40%	38%	41%	41%	35%	25%	40%	41%	31%	37%	41%	38%	38%	40%	36%	37%	37%	47%	37%	34%	38%	43%	33%	37%	41%	34%	39%	40%	39%	30%	51%	33%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	24%	25%	26%	25%	49%	51%	33%	37%	25%	10%	23%	38%	15%	11%	34%	38%	26%	81%	19%	30%	70%	41%	50%	28%	53%	25%	36%	40%	26%	40%	35%	78%	22%	25%	46%	29%	58%	17%	12%	13%

What is your overall opinion of Michelle Benson?

506 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Favorable	12%	14%	10%	20%	13%	6%	10%	17%	8%	19%	10%	8%	33%	11%	9%	5%	16%	18%	9%	9%	13%	11%	16%	11%	14%	10%	16%	10%	15%	15%	9%	15%	14%	8%	11%	16%	21%	9%	11%	9%	20%	11%	16%
Unfavorable	14%	17%	11%	12%	17%	19%	10%	14%	14%	8%	22%	14%	10%	7%	10%	29%	29%	8%	10%	29%	14%	15%	16%	14%	10%	19%	8%	19%	10%	11%	20%	11%	12%	19%	14%	15%	16%	14%	13%	15%	21%	5%	12%
Neutral	31%	32%	29%	27%	35%	33%	28%	31%	30%	31%	27%	34%	25%	40%	32%	23%	16%	35%	32%	20%	29%	36%	32%	31%	33%	28%	37%	28%	32%	33%	28%	36%	29%	30%	32%	28%	26%	29%	37%	30%	27%	36%	32%
No Opinion	43%	36%	50%	40%	36%	43%	52%	38%	47%	42%	41%	44%	32%	41%	49%	44%	39%	38%	49%	42%	44%	38%	37%	45%	43%	44%	38%	43%	43%	41%	43%	38%	45%	43%	43%	41%	38%	48%	38%	45%	33%	49%	39%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	24%	25%	26%	25%	49%	51%	33%	37%	25%	10%	23%	38%	15%	11%	34%	38%	26%	81%	19%	30%	70%	41%	50%	28%	53%	25%	36%	40%	26%	40%	35%	78%	22%	25%	46%	29%	58%	17%	12%	13%

What is your overall opinion of Scott Jensen?

506 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Favorable	16%	18%	13%	19%	18%	16%	10%	18%	13%	30%	6%	13%	51%	20%	9%	7%	7%	30%	9%	7%	16%	14%	24%	12%	27%	6%	33%	7%	18%	12%	17%	15%	18%	14%	14%	20%	21%	10%	19%	16%	11%	21%	15%
Unfavorable	12%	13%	10%	10%	12%	18%	7%	11%	13%	2%	21%	10%	1%	6%	10%	24%	27%	4%	10%	25%	12%	9%	13%	11%	4%	19%	3%	18%	7%	10%	16%	7%	10%	17%	12%	10%	10%	15%	7%	11%	18%	7%	12%
Neutral	25%	27%	22%	29%	29%	18%	23%	29%	20%	29%	19%	24%	18%	31%	26%	18%	14%	27%	26%	16%	24%	25%	25%	24%	29%	19%	25%	21%	20%	34%	19%	26%	25%	23%	25%	22%	23%	24%	27%	24%	27%	22%	27%
No Opinion	48%	42%	55%	42%	42%	48%	60%	42%	54%	39%	53%	53%	30%	43%	55%	50%	52%	39%	55%	51%	47%	53%	38%	53%	40%	56%	39%	54%	54%	45%	48%	52%	48%	46%	48%	49%	46%	50%	47%	49%	44%	51%	46%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	24%	25%	26%	25%	49%	51%	33%	37%	25%	10%	23%	38%	15%	11%	34%	38%	26%	81%	19%	30%	70%	41%	50%	28%	53%	25%	36%	40%	26%	40%	35%	78%	22%	25%	46%	29%	58%	17%	12%	13%

What is your overall opinion of Mike Murphy?

506 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Favorable	10%	15%	5%	20%	10%	10%	1%	15%	6%	16%	8%	7%	26%	11%	7%	5%	12%	16%	7%	8%	10%	12%	14%	9%	14%	6%	13%	8%	13%	8%	10%	9%	8%	13%	9%	13%	11%	11%	8%	7%	19%	10%	12%
Unfavorable	8%	9%	8%	8%	11%	11%	4%	9%	7%	3%	14%	8%	1%	4%	6%	13%	28%	3%	6%	19%	9%	4%	10%	8%	5%	12%	2%	12%	5%	7%	11%	7%	8%	10%	8%	11%	12%	8%	6%	10%	5%	5%	10%
Neutral	27%	30%	23%	30%	29%	19%	30%	29%	24%	22%	25%	30%	15%	30%	30%	20%	22%	26%	30%	21%	24%	37%	26%	26%	26%	27%	23%	25%	26%	32%	22%	31%	28%	22%	26%	30%	22%	26%	31%	25%	36%	27%	22%
No Opinion	55%	47%	64%	42%	51%	60%	66%	47%	63%	59%	53%	54%	58%	55%	57%	62%	38%	56%	57%	52%	57%	48%	50%	57%	56%	55%	61%	54%	56%	52%	57%	53%	55%	56%	57%	47%	54%	55%	55%	59%	40%	58%	56%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	24%	25%	26%	25%	49%	51%	33%	37%	25%	10%	23%	38%	15%	11%	34%	38%	26%	81%	19%	30%	70%	41%	50%	28%	53%	25%	36%	40%	26%	40%	35%	78%	22%	25%	46%	29%	58%	17%	12%	13%

What is your overall opinion of Neil Shah?

506 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Favorable	9%	10%	8%	10%	7%	12%	7%	9%	10%	13%	10%	2%	30%	4%	4%	4%	26%	12%	4%	13%	9%	7%	12%	8%	11%	9%	15%	8%	8%	4%	14%	10%	7%	11%	10%	7%	13%	6%	9%	10%	15%	1%	2%
Unfavorable	10%	12%	7%	11%	10%	12%	6%	10%	9%	10%	11%	9%	5%	9%	9%	14%	9%	8%	9%	12%	11%	6%	12%	9%	9%	10%	5%	11%	7%	11%	11%	7%	11%	10%	9%	13%	11%	10%	7%	11%	11%	6%	8%
Neutral	25%	29%	21%	34%	34%	17%	16%	34%	17%	23%	22%	28%	18%	30%	27%	20%	19%	26%	27%	20%	24%	32%	30%	23%	27%	22%	24%	22%	23%	33%	19%	25%	28%	22%	24%	28%	28%	22%	28%	22%	26%	28%	34%
No Opinion	56%	49%	63%	45%	49%	59%	71%	47%	65%	54%	57%	61%	46%	57%	60%	62%	46%	53%	60%	55%	56%	55%	46%	60%	53%	59%	55%	58%	62%	52%	56%	58%	55%	57%	57%	52%	47%	61%	55%	57%	48%	64%	55%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	24%	25%	26%	25%	49%	51%	33%	37%	25%	10%	23%	38%	15%	11%	34%	38%	26%	81%	19%	30%	70%	41%	50%	28%	53%	25%	36%	40%	26%	40%	35%	78%	22%	25%	46%	29%	58%	17%	12%	13%

What is your overall opinion of Mike Marti?

506 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Favorable	8%	9%	6%	12%	9%	6%	4%	10%	5%	8%	10%	3%	12%	3%	7%	5%	20%	5%	7%	11%	7%	9%	9%	7%	7%	8%	8%	8%	5%	6%	10%	7%	4%	12%	7%	9%	13%	8%	3%	7%	16%	5%	3%
Unfavorable	11%	12%	9%	12%	11%	12%	8%	12%	10%	6%	14%	11%	3%	10%	11%	15%	13%	8%	11%	14%	11%	12%	12%	10%	9%	13%	4%	14%	12%	8%	13%	12%	12%	8%	10%	13%	11%	11%	12%	9%	18%	6%	14%
Neutral	27%	33%	20%	34%	25%	26%	22%	30%	24%	29%	21%	32%	31%	30%	27%	23%	16%	30%	27%	20%	25%	33%	30%	25%	29%	25%	30%	24%	26%	35%	20%	26%	32%	22%	27%	26%	25%	23%	34%	26%	26%	33%	25%
No Opinion	55%	46%	64%	41%	55%	56%	66%	48%	61%	57%	55%	55%	54%	57%	55%	56%	51%	56%	55%	54%	57%	46%	49%	57%	55%	55%	57%	54%	57%	50%	57%	55%	52%	58%	55%	52%	51%	59%	52%	58%	40%	56%	58%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	24%	25%	26%	25%	49%	51%	33%	37%	25%	10%	23%	38%	15%	11%	34%	38%	26%	81%	19%	30%	70%	41%	50%	28%	53%	25%	36%	40%	26%	40%	35%	78%	22%	25%	46%	29%	58%	17%	12%	13%

If the 2022 election for Governor were today, and these were the only candidates on the ballot, who would you vote for?

506 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Paul Gazelka (R)	34%	41%	27%	37%	29%	33%	39%	33%	36%	77%	4%	27%	75%	72%	22%	3%	8%	73%	22%	5%	38%	21%	36%	34%	73%	5%	79%	7%	34%	36%	33%	31%	33%	38%	36%	28%	36%	30%	40%	31%	27%	53%	43%
Tim Walz (DFL)	47%	42%	53%	45%	44%	51%	47%	45%	49%	10%	87%	37%	6%	11%	52%	89%	90%	10%	52%	90%	47%	49%	40%	49%	10%	82%	4%	81%	49%	42%	50%	51%	48%	43%	45%	53%	51%	53%	34%	51%	56%	29%	33%
Candidate From Another Party	5%	5%	5%	6%	9%	4%	1%	8%	2%	3%	3%	11%	6%	5%	6%	2%	3%	6%	6%	2%	5%	7%	8%	4%	4%	3%	6%	2%	5%	7%	4%	4%	5%	6%	5%	6%	4%	3%	9%	4%	3%	6%	11%
Undecided	14%	12%	15%	12%	18%	12%	13%	15%	12%	11%	6%	25%	13%	11%	20%	6%	0%	12%	20%	3%	11%	23%	15%	13%	13%	10%	12%	11%	12%	15%	14%	15%	13%	13%	14%	14%	9%	14%	17%	14%	14%	12%	13%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	24%	25%	26%	25%	49%	51%	33%	37%	25%	10%	23%	38%	15%	11%	34%	38%	26%	81%	19%	30%	70%	41%	50%	28%	53%	25%	36%	40%	26%	40%	35%	78%	22%	25%	46%	29%	58%	17%	12%	13%

And if these were the only candidates on the ballot for Governor, who would you vote for?

506 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Michelle Benson (R)	35%	42%	28%	42%	31%	32%	36%	36%	34%	73%	7%	31%	79%	67%	23%	5%	11%	71%	23%	7%	37%	27%	40%	33%	70%	8%	75%	9%	35%	40%	31%	34%	38%	33%	34%	38%	41%	28%	41%	32%	32%	50%	38%
Tim Walz (DFL)	47%	41%	53%	41%	45%	51%	50%	43%	51%	10%	87%	38%	6%	10%	56%	89%	82%	9%	56%	86%	46%	50%	39%	50%	10%	81%	4%	81%	51%	41%	50%	49%	47%	45%	47%	47%	49%	54%	35%	51%	51%	34%	38%
Candidate From Another Party	4%	3%	5%	4%	7%	4%	2%	6%	3%	4%	2%	7%	6%	4%	4%	2%	6%	4%	4%	4%	4%	7%	5%	4%	5%	2%	5%	1%	4%	6%	3%	4%	3%	6%	4%	5%	5%	3%	6%	4%	4%	1%	9%
Undecided	14%	13%	14%	12%	17%	13%	12%	15%	12%	13%	4%	24%	9%	19%	17%	3%	1%	16%	17%	3%	13%	16%	16%	12%	14%	9%	16%	9%	10%	13%	16%	13%	12%	16%	14%	10%	5%	15%	18%	13%	14%	15%	14%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	24%	25%	26%	25%	49%	51%	33%	37%	25%	10%	23%	38%	15%	11%	34%	38%	26%	81%	19%	30%	70%	41%	50%	28%	53%	25%	36%	40%	26%	40%	35%	78%	22%	25%	46%	29%	58%	17%	12%	13%

What if these were the only candidates for Governor?

506 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Scott Jensen (R)	36%	41%	32%	39%	30%	40%	37%	34%	38%	82%	4%	27%	89%	76%	22%	3%	4%	80%	22%	3%	40%	21%	41%	35%	79%	3%	80%	8%	37%	39%	34%	33%	38%	37%	37%	34%	33%	34%	44%	36%	32%	43%	39%
Tim Walz (DFL)	48%	42%	54%	41%	49%	51%	50%	45%	51%	10%	89%	38%	7%	11%	54%	92%	87%	10%	54%	90%	47%	52%	41%	50%	10%	83%	7%	80%	49%	42%	52%	52%	48%	45%	47%	51%	52%	54%	35%	51%	50%	36%	43%
Candidate From Another Party	5%	5%	4%	10%	6%	2%	1%	8%	2%	2%	2%	12%	1%	3%	5%	4%	9%	3%	5%	6%	3%	12%	6%	4%	4%	4%	3%	3%	6%	7%	2%	5%	5%	4%	4%	6%	9%	2%	4%	3%	8%	5%	8%
Undecided	11%	12%	10%	11%	15%	7%	11%	13%	9%	6%	5%	23%	3%	9%	19%	2%	0%	7%	19%	1%	10%	15%	13%	10%	7%	10%	10%	9%	8%	13%	11%	11%	9%	14%	12%	9%	7%	10%	17%	10%	11%	15%	10%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	24%	25%	26%	25%	49%	51%	33%	37%	25%	10%	23%	38%	15%	11%	34%	38%	26%	81%	19%	30%	70%	41%	50%	28%	53%	25%	36%	40%	26%	40%	35%	78%	22%	25%	46%	29%	58%	17%	12%	13%

What if these were the only candidates for Governor?

506 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Mike Murphy (R)	36%	42%	29%	43%	27%	39%	35%	35%	37%	79%	4%	29%	89%	71%	20%	4%	13%	76%	20%	8%	39%	21%	40%	34%	77%	5%	79%	8%	37%	38%	33%	33%	39%	34%	36%	34%	34%	33%	42%	33%	35%	46%	39%
Tim Walz (DFL)	47%	42%	53%	40%	48%	51%	50%	44%	50%	9%	88%	39%	6%	11%	55%	88%	85%	10%	55%	87%	47%	49%	38%	51%	11%	81%	4%	80%	52%	42%	50%	51%	47%	46%	47%	49%	51%	53%	36%	50%	52%	34%	42%
Candidate From Another Party	5%	4%	6%	11%	7%	2%	1%	9%	2%	2%	4%	9%	1%	6%	7%	3%	2%	4%	7%	3%	4%	10%	8%	4%	2%	5%	3%	3%	3%	9%	3%	7%	4%	4%	4%	9%	9%	4%	4%	5%	2%	5%	10%
Undecided	12%	11%	12%	6%	18%	9%	13%	12%	11%	10%	3%	23%	4%	12%	18%	4%	0%	10%	18%	3%	10%	20%	14%	11%	10%	9%	14%	9%	8%	11%	14%	9%	10%	16%	12%	9%	7%	10%	18%	12%	11%	15%	9%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	24%	25%	26%	25%	49%	51%	33%	37%	25%	10%	23%	38%	15%	11%	34%	38%	26%	81%	19%	30%	70%	41%	50%	28%	53%	25%	36%	40%	26%	40%	35%	78%	22%	25%	46%	29%	58%	17%	12%	13%

What if these were the only candidates for Governor?

506 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Neil Shah (R)	31%	36%	26%	37%	26%	31%	31%	31%	31%	69%	4%	23%	84%	64%	15%	2%	8%	70%	15%	5%	35%	16%	37%	29%	66%	5%	75%	6%	31%	33%	30%	29%	33%	30%	32%	29%	31%	27%	37%	29%	27%	44%	34%
Tim Walz (DFL)	48%	44%	52%	45%	46%	52%	49%	46%	51%	11%	88%	40%	9%	12%	55%	90%	87%	11%	55%	89%	48%	52%	40%	51%	11%	83%	5%	82%	53%	43%	50%	51%	50%	44%	47%	53%	53%	54%	36%	51%	53%	34%	42%
Candidate From Another Party	5%	4%	5%	7%	7%	3%	1%	7%	2%	3%	2%	9%	3%	5%	5%	2%	0%	4%	5%	1%	4%	7%	8%	3%	5%	3%	8%	1%	1%	8%	4%	4%	4%	6%	5%	5%	6%	3%	6%	4%	3%	3%	10%
Undecided	16%	15%	17%	11%	21%	14%	18%	16%	16%	17%	5%	28%	3%	19%	24%	5%	5%	14%	24%	5%	14%	26%	15%	17%	18%	10%	13%	10%	15%	16%	16%	16%	13%	20%	17%	13%	10%	16%	21%	16%	17%	19%	15%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	24%	25%	26%	25%	49%	51%	33%	37%	25%	10%	23%	38%	15%	11%	34%	38%	26%	81%	19%	30%	70%	41%	50%	28%	53%	25%	36%	40%	26%	40%	35%	78%	22%	25%	46%	29%	58%	17%	12%	13%

15	What if these were the only candidates for Governor?

506 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Mike Marti (R)	34%	40%	27%	42%	25%	34%	34%	33%	34%	72%	6%	26%	84%	65%	20%	4%	8%	71%	20%	5%	37%	18%	38%	32%	71%	4%	78%	7%	33%	37%	31%	32%	35%	33%	35%	29%	34%	30%	39%	32%	29%	45%	37%
Tim Walz (DFL)	47%	42%	53%	45%	48%	50%	47%	47%	48%	11%	87%	39%	8%	13%	52%	89%	88%	12%	52%	89%	47%	49%	40%	50%	10%	83%	4%	82%	51%	41%	51%	50%	48%	45%	46%	54%	53%	52%	35%	51%	54%	29%	40%
Candidate From Another Party	3%	4%	3%	5%	6%	4%	0%	5%	2%	2%	2%	8%	3%	3%	5%	2%	2%	3%	5%	2%	3%	6%	7%	2%	4%	2%	4%	2%	3%	6%	2%	4%	3%	4%	4%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	4%	6%	6%
Undecided	15%	14%	17%	8%	21%	13%	19%	15%	16%	15%	5%	27%	5%	19%	23%	5%	2%	14%	23%	4%	13%	28%	16%	15%	16%	11%	15%	9%	13%	17%	15%	15%	14%	18%	16%	14%	8%	15%	23%	15%	14%	20%	17%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	24%	25%	26%	25%	49%	51%	33%	37%	25%	10%	23%	38%	15%	11%	34%	38%	26%	81%	19%	30%	70%	41%	50%	28%	53%	25%	36%	40%	26%	40%	35%	78%	22%	25%	46%	29%	58%	17%	12%	13%