Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27377 |
Stein's 15-Point Lead Against Robinson in NC Governor Race May ... or May Not ... Help Down-Ballot Democrats Win Their Own Contests:
SurveyUSA's latest polling for WRAL-TV in Raleigh shows Democrat Josh Stein well-positioned to be North Carolina's next governor, but his significant advantage over Republican Mark Robinson may or may not be enough to help Democrats win the races for Attorney General and for Superintendent of Public Instruction. Stein's lead over Robinson, detailed here, reflects the two gubernatorial candidates' respective favorability ratings. Stein is viewed favorably by 47% of likely voters, unfavorably by 23% – a net favorability of +24, and 13 points better than the +11 Stein recorded in September. Robinson, meantime, is seen favorably by 32%, unfavorably by 49% – a net favorability of -17, down 12 points from the -5 SurveyUSA found 7 weeks ago. 12% of those who say they're voting for Stein say media reports connecting Robinson to potentially inflammatory and racist remarks on a porn website's message board, which Robinson denies, caused them to change which candidate they support. 63% of Robinson voters say the reports have no impact on their vote. 10% of Robinson voters say Josh Stein's unwillingness to defend some laws passed by Republican lawmakers caused them to change which candidate they support. 36% of each candidate's voters say this has no effect on their vote. In the race for the Attorney General seat being vacated by Stein, Democrat Jeff Jackson today takes 44% of the vote, Republican Dan Bishop 42%. With 14% of likely voters undecided, any outcome is possible. Compared to September, when SurveyUSA last polled this contest for WRAL-TV, Jackson is up one point and Bishop is up six. Among men, Bishop leads by 7 points; among women, Jackson leads by 10, a 17-point gender gap. A potential good sign for Jackson: among those who tell SurveyUSA they have already cast their ballot, Jackson leads by 6; among those who say they are certain to vote, Bishop leads by 1. Republican Michele Morrow, who trailed Democrat Mo Green by 2 points in September, today leads Green by 1 nominal point, 42% to 41%, with 17% undecided. Voters with high school educations back Morrow by a 17-point margin; college graduates back Green by 9; the race is tied among those who have attended some college. Fully crosstabbed results follow ... |
About the Research / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,050 North Carolina adults 10/23/24 through 10/26/24. Of the adults, 929 were identified as being registered to vote; of the registered voters, 853 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election and were asked the substantive questions which follow. This research was conducted online, using nonprobability sample of online adult panelists chosen randomly by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. The combined pool of survey respondents was weighted to US Census ACS targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership, and to recalled 2020 presidential vote. |
1 | Are you registered to vote in the state of North Carolina? |
1050 Adults | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Governor | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Impacted By Hele | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Already | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Robinson | Stein | Trump | Biden | Early in | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Yes | 88% | 91% | 86% | 77% | 86% | 88% | 93% | 92% | 83% | 88% | 93% | 92% | 85% | 92% | 89% | 91% | 89% | 76% | 92% | 87% | 90% | 91% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 93% | 94% | 88% | 93% | 91% | 84% | 92% | 91% | 88% | 89% | 89% | 92% | 88% | 89% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 95% | 97% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 93% | 86% | 91% | 87% | 90% | 88% | 82% | 93% | 91% | 84% | 91% | 93% | 90% | 86% | 90% | 88% | 88% | 92% | 89% | 91% | 86% | 91% | 85% | 91% | 90% | 89% | 81% |
No | 11% | 9% | 12% | 22% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 13% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 23% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 8% | - | - | - | 7% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 11% | 11% | - | - | - | - | 5% | 3% | - | - | - | 6% | 13% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 7% | 8% | 15% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 13% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 17% |
Not Sure | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | - | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
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Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 11% | 19% | 24% | 24% | 22% | 29% | 24% | 24% | 22% | 53% | 47% | 64% | 20% | 8% | 8% | 31% | 33% | 9% | 11% | 35% | 47% | 10% | 35% | 34% | 23% | 35% | 33% | 27% | 17% | 20% | 38% | 11% | 11% | 37% | 38% | 22% | 47% | 47% | 37% | 52% | 39% | 37% | 11% | 60% | 27% | 41% | 57% | 33% | 66% | 21% | 77% | 35% | 32% | 33% | 43% | 36% | 21% | 66% | 34% | 20% | 43% | 37% | 10% | 10% | 20% | 22% | 17% | 20% | 34% | 20% | 28% | 18% |
2 | North Carolina will vote to elect a U.S. president, a governor and other statewide officeholders in November. Not everyone makes the time to vote in every election. Which best describes you? |
929 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Governor | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Impacted By Hele | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Already | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Robinson | Stein | Trump | Biden | Early in | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Already Voted | 35% | 32% | 38% | 36% | 29% | 26% | 34% | 50% | 31% | 26% | 34% | 50% | 29% | 42% | 38% | 32% | 28% | 28% | 38% | 37% | 24% | 39% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 39% | 39% | 26% | 40% | 39% | 26% | 47% | 35% | 28% | 41% | 40% | 41% | 28% | 40% | 39% | 41% | 46% | 38% | 38% | 38% | 58% | 53% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 29% | 39% | 32% | 36% | 29% | 34% | 41% | 32% | 34% | 42% | 41% | 24% | 36% | 35% | 35% | 39% | 33% | 33% | 36% | 27% | 42% | 33% | 32% | 36% | 42% |
Certain To Vote | 47% | 48% | 46% | 29% | 44% | 51% | 56% | 43% | 39% | 51% | 56% | 43% | 45% | 50% | 49% | 45% | 37% | 50% | 48% | 49% | 50% | 41% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 47% | 45% | 51% | 46% | 46% | 54% | 42% | 52% | 48% | 43% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 45% | 53% | 49% | 47% | 53% | 51% | 51% | 32% | 41% | 84% | 46% | 48% | 54% | 44% | 53% | 46% | 45% | 46% | 50% | 43% | 52% | 47% | 48% | 46% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 45% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 52% | 43% | 50% | 49% | 45% | 43% |
Probably Vote | 10% | 11% | 9% | 21% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 13% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 7% | 7% | 15% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 7% | 7% |
50/50 Chance | 6% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 11% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 19% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 2% | - | - | - | - | 4% | 2% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 6% |
Probably Will Not | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | - | - | - | - | 1% | 1% | - | - | - | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | - | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 9% | 18% | 24% | 26% | 23% | 27% | 24% | 26% | 23% | 51% | 49% | 64% | 20% | 9% | 7% | 32% | 32% | 9% | 11% | 35% | 47% | 10% | 37% | 36% | 23% | 37% | 35% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 11% | 11% | 38% | 38% | 22% | 47% | 47% | 37% | 52% | 42% | 40% | 11% | 60% | 27% | 43% | 55% | 34% | 66% | 21% | 77% | 32% | 34% | 34% | 41% | 37% | 22% | 67% | 33% | 21% | 43% | 37% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 19% | 34% | 21% | 28% | 17% |
If the election for North Carolina governor were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? |
853 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Governor | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Impacted By Hele | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Already | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Robinson | Stein | Trump | Biden | Early in | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Mark Robinson (R) | 37% | 43% | 31% | 38% | 41% | 34% | 36% | 37% | 40% | 34% | 36% | 37% | 37% | 37% | 48% | 13% | 22% | 15% | 56% | 40% | 16% | 11% | 45% | 34% | 23% | 77% | 5% | 24% | 79% | 3% | 23% | 74% | 56% | 26% | 6% | 10% | 64% | 26% | 8% | 74% | 5% | 100% | 0% | 73% | 7% | 36% | 41% | 29% | 47% | 29% | 37% | 37% | 37% | 37% | 43% | 36% | 33% | 33% | 43% | 33% | 42% | 25% | 28% | 32% | 47% | 38% | 18% | 40% | 25% | 51% | 43% | 39% | 33% | 31% | 47% |
Josh Stein (D) | 52% | 49% | 56% | 48% | 51% | 50% | 55% | 54% | 50% | 50% | 55% | 54% | 50% | 55% | 44% | 75% | 57% | 64% | 39% | 49% | 76% | 74% | 52% | 55% | 43% | 14% | 88% | 59% | 13% | 92% | 57% | 19% | 35% | 60% | 85% | 83% | 28% | 60% | 84% | 17% | 89% | 0% | 100% | 18% | 88% | 52% | 53% | 55% | 45% | 59% | 50% | 54% | 50% | 53% | 42% | 56% | 58% | 54% | 49% | 54% | 50% | 57% | 61% | 58% | 42% | 57% | 65% | 51% | 64% | 42% | 41% | 50% | 53% | 61% | 44% |
Other | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% |
Undecided | 10% | 7% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 21% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 15% | 2% | 11% | 33% | 7% | 7% | 17% | 6% | 5% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 14% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 9% | 12% | 9% | 14% | 7% | 8% | 12% | 7% | 12% | 7% | 16% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 16% | 9% | 10% | 6% | 14% | 10% | 12% | 8% | 8% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 66% | 20% | 8% | 7% | 33% | 33% | 9% | 11% | 38% | 51% | 10% | 38% | 36% | 21% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 36% | 11% | 11% | 40% | 36% | 23% | 47% | 47% | 37% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 11% | 60% | 27% | 44% | 55% | 34% | 66% | 21% | 78% | 30% | 33% | 36% | 39% | 38% | 24% | 70% | 30% | 21% | 42% | 37% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 19% | 35% | 21% | 27% | 17% |
If the election for North Carolina attorney general were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? |
853 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Governor | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Impacted By Hele | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Already | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Robinson | Stein | Trump | Biden | Early in | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Dan Bishop (R) | 42% | 48% | 37% | 40% | 46% | 38% | 40% | 46% | 44% | 38% | 40% | 46% | 41% | 43% | 54% | 12% | 28% | 31% | 60% | 48% | 14% | 10% | 45% | 42% | 30% | 86% | 5% | 31% | 87% | 3% | 32% | 77% | 66% | 30% | 8% | 14% | 71% | 30% | 11% | 84% | 4% | 89% | 12% | 83% | 7% | 44% | 44% | 40% | 53% | 34% | 45% | 41% | 41% | 42% | 48% | 42% | 37% | 37% | 50% | 38% | 48% | 29% | 30% | 38% | 54% | 34% | 26% | 45% | 31% | 59% | 49% | 41% | 43% | 35% | 54% |
Jeff Jackson (D) | 44% | 41% | 47% | 40% | 40% | 46% | 45% | 46% | 40% | 46% | 45% | 46% | 43% | 46% | 35% | 71% | 53% | 45% | 32% | 37% | 70% | 72% | 51% | 41% | 35% | 6% | 83% | 46% | 6% | 86% | 42% | 16% | 25% | 49% | 78% | 77% | 21% | 49% | 78% | 7% | 85% | 5% | 79% | 8% | 83% | 41% | 47% | 41% | 37% | 49% | 40% | 46% | 42% | 45% | 34% | 45% | 52% | 46% | 39% | 50% | 42% | 48% | 60% | 47% | 32% | 57% | 64% | 42% | 52% | 31% | 32% | 43% | 46% | 51% | 34% |
Undecided | 14% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 17% | 18% | 24% | 8% | 15% | 16% | 18% | 4% | 17% | 35% | 8% | 12% | 23% | 8% | 10% | 26% | 6% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 8% | 8% | 20% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 15% | 9% | 19% | 10% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 17% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 23% | 10% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 10% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 14% | 12% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 66% | 20% | 8% | 7% | 33% | 33% | 9% | 11% | 38% | 51% | 10% | 38% | 36% | 21% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 36% | 11% | 11% | 40% | 36% | 23% | 47% | 47% | 37% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 11% | 60% | 27% | 44% | 55% | 34% | 66% | 21% | 78% | 30% | 33% | 36% | 39% | 38% | 24% | 70% | 30% | 21% | 42% | 37% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 19% | 35% | 21% | 27% | 17% |
If the election for North Carolina state superintendent of public instruction were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? |
853 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Governor | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Impacted By Hele | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Already | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Robinson | Stein | Trump | Biden | Early in | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Michele Morrow (R) | 42% | 48% | 36% | 38% | 45% | 36% | 41% | 48% | 43% | 36% | 41% | 48% | 40% | 44% | 54% | 12% | 26% | 33% | 60% | 48% | 16% | 9% | 46% | 42% | 29% | 85% | 6% | 30% | 87% | 4% | 30% | 78% | 64% | 30% | 8% | 17% | 71% | 30% | 12% | 81% | 7% | 87% | 14% | 81% | 9% | 43% | 44% | 40% | 54% | 33% | 45% | 41% | 42% | 42% | 49% | 41% | 38% | 38% | 48% | 38% | 48% | 28% | 30% | 36% | 56% | 38% | 21% | 42% | 30% | 61% | 51% | 42% | 43% | 36% | 52% |
Mo Green (D) | 41% | 38% | 43% | 42% | 34% | 44% | 37% | 45% | 37% | 44% | 37% | 45% | 40% | 41% | 30% | 68% | 55% | 47% | 29% | 31% | 65% | 71% | 49% | 36% | 32% | 5% | 80% | 38% | 4% | 84% | 35% | 14% | 23% | 44% | 73% | 75% | 19% | 44% | 74% | 5% | 79% | 5% | 72% | 5% | 78% | 43% | 44% | 35% | 31% | 48% | 38% | 42% | 37% | 42% | 32% | 41% | 47% | 42% | 38% | 41% | 38% | 45% | 55% | 45% | 27% | 52% | 59% | 39% | 51% | 27% | 26% | 38% | 42% | 48% | 33% |
Undecided | 17% | 14% | 21% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 22% | 7% | 21% | 19% | 22% | 7% | 20% | 15% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 21% | 12% | 21% | 19% | 21% | 5% | 23% | 38% | 10% | 14% | 32% | 9% | 12% | 35% | 8% | 12% | 26% | 19% | 8% | 10% | 26% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 7% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 25% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 17% | 21% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 13% | 27% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 10% | 19% | 19% | 19% | 11% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 16% | 15% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 66% | 20% | 8% | 7% | 33% | 33% | 9% | 11% | 38% | 51% | 10% | 38% | 36% | 21% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 36% | 11% | 11% | 40% | 36% | 23% | 47% | 47% | 37% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 11% | 60% | 27% | 44% | 55% | 34% | 66% | 21% | 78% | 30% | 33% | 36% | 39% | 38% | 24% | 70% | 30% | 21% | 42% | 37% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 19% | 35% | 21% | 27% | 17% |
What is your opinion of Mark Robinson? |
853 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Governor | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Impacted By Hele | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Already | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Robinson | Stein | Trump | Biden | Early in | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Very Favorable | 16% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 20% | 16% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 21% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 25% | 16% | 2% | 6% | 22% | 14% | 7% | 36% | 3% | 6% | 37% | 2% | 6% | 47% | 18% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 32% | 7% | 6% | 32% | 3% | 43% | 1% | 32% | 4% | 18% | 19% | 11% | 21% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 22% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 19% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 24% | 20% | 2% | 16% | 8% | 24% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 15% | 21% |
Somewhat Favorable | 16% | 20% | 11% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 18% | 12% | 10% | 4% | 23% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 25% | 7% | 16% | 27% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 27% | 14% | 4% | 4% | 24% | 14% | 4% | 26% | 6% | 34% | 5% | 26% | 8% | 19% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 19% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 18% | 9% | 23% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 19% |
Neutral | 13% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 10% | 8% | 18% | 18% | 10% | 8% | 18% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 16% | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 16% | 12% | 17% | 11% | 15% | 10% | 14% | 9% | 14% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 18% | 7% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 15% | 12% |
Somewhat Unfavorable | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 1% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% |
Very Unfavorable | 41% | 35% | 46% | 30% | 32% | 33% | 46% | 51% | 31% | 33% | 46% | 51% | 32% | 49% | 36% | 56% | 36% | 41% | 30% | 43% | 56% | 56% | 42% | 41% | 30% | 12% | 64% | 49% | 11% | 67% | 48% | 16% | 25% | 47% | 75% | 56% | 21% | 47% | 65% | 14% | 68% | 2% | 70% | 13% | 69% | 38% | 43% | 38% | 35% | 44% | 31% | 46% | 38% | 42% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 43% | 37% | 41% | 40% | 41% | 48% | 44% | 33% | 40% | 56% | 38% | 49% | 29% | 37% | 37% | 48% | 43% | 34% |
Unfamiliar | 6% | 6% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 23% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 6% | 17% | 3% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 8% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 66% | 20% | 8% | 7% | 33% | 33% | 9% | 11% | 38% | 51% | 10% | 38% | 36% | 21% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 36% | 11% | 11% | 40% | 36% | 23% | 47% | 47% | 37% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 11% | 60% | 27% | 44% | 55% | 34% | 66% | 21% | 78% | 30% | 33% | 36% | 39% | 38% | 24% | 70% | 30% | 21% | 42% | 37% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 19% | 35% | 21% | 27% | 17% |
What is your opinion of Josh Stein? |
853 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Governor | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Impacted By Hele | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Already | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Robinson | Stein | Trump | Biden | Early in | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Very Favorable | 23% | 23% | 22% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 15% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 17% | 28% | 18% | 39% | 26% | 20% | 18% | 18% | 40% | 37% | 30% | 21% | 4% | 4% | 45% | 19% | 4% | 46% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 18% | 42% | 48% | 15% | 18% | 45% | 5% | 43% | 5% | 40% | 5% | 44% | 25% | 26% | 17% | 17% | 28% | 19% | 25% | 17% | 25% | 21% | 19% | 27% | 28% | 20% | 18% | 23% | 23% | 29% | 24% | 18% | 33% | 24% | 23% | 25% | 17% | 19% | 21% | 28% | 23% | 19% |
Somewhat Favorable | 24% | 25% | 22% | 37% | 20% | 22% | 26% | 21% | 25% | 22% | 26% | 21% | 24% | 23% | 23% | 24% | 28% | 29% | 25% | 20% | 26% | 22% | 22% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 30% | 30% | 16% | 31% | 27% | 16% | 17% | 29% | 28% | 27% | 17% | 29% | 28% | 16% | 32% | 11% | 35% | 17% | 29% | 25% | 23% | 27% | 24% | 23% | 24% | 24% | 26% | 24% | 19% | 28% | 24% | 21% | 26% | 25% | 21% | 29% | 30% | 24% | 20% | 30% | 30% | 24% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 24% | 22% | 28% | 18% |
Neutral | 20% | 17% | 23% | 25% | 21% | 26% | 19% | 12% | 22% | 26% | 19% | 12% | 24% | 16% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 20% | 16% | 26% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 21% | 33% | 25% | 12% | 22% | 25% | 12% | 23% | 10% | 24% | 26% | 17% | 6% | 18% | 26% | 12% | 24% | 13% | 23% | 16% | 23% | 14% | 21% | 17% | 26% | 22% | 18% | 22% | 19% | 24% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 19% | 19% | 23% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 24% | 15% | 23% | 20% | 24% | 19% | 17% |
Somewhat Unfavorable | 9% | 9% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 11% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 15% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 16% | 2% | 17% | 3% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 14% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 15% |
Very Unfavorable | 14% | 17% | 12% | 3% | 15% | 10% | 13% | 22% | 11% | 10% | 13% | 22% | 11% | 17% | 19% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 23% | 15% | 2% | 7% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 29% | 3% | 8% | 29% | 2% | 9% | 33% | 20% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 26% | 9% | 2% | 27% | 2% | 32% | 1% | 28% | 3% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 19% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 13% | 16% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 16% | 15% | 18% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 21% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 7% | 25% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 16% |
Unfamiliar | 10% | 10% | 11% | 20% | 14% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 15% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 16% | 23% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 24% | 12% | 7% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 17% | 10% | 8% | 13% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 15% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 66% | 20% | 8% | 7% | 33% | 33% | 9% | 11% | 38% | 51% | 10% | 38% | 36% | 21% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 36% | 11% | 11% | 40% | 36% | 23% | 47% | 47% | 37% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 11% | 60% | 27% | 44% | 55% | 34% | 66% | 21% | 78% | 30% | 33% | 36% | 39% | 38% | 24% | 70% | 30% | 21% | 42% | 37% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 19% | 35% | 21% | 27% | 17% |
8 | Recent media reports connecting Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson to potentially inflammatory and racist remarks on a porn website's message board, which Robinson denies? |
853 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Governor | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Impacted By Hele | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Already | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Robinson | Stein | Trump | Biden | Early in | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Changes Support | 8% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 6% |
More Supportive | 19% | 21% | 17% | 31% | 25% | 21% | 13% | 15% | 27% | 21% | 13% | 15% | 24% | 14% | 16% | 26% | 20% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 26% | 16% | 15% | 30% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 15% | 26% | 32% | 17% | 15% | 29% | 14% | 24% | 17% | 22% | 14% | 25% | 24% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 23% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 26% | 17% | 16% | 26% | 19% | 18% | 24% | 23% | 12% | 27% | 20% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 18% | 21% |
Less Supportive | 23% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 31% | 22% | 21% | 25% | 26% | 22% | 21% | 25% | 24% | 23% | 21% | 20% | 42% | 38% | 22% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 21% | 23% | 30% | 16% | 29% | 25% | 15% | 29% | 28% | 16% | 21% | 28% | 24% | 24% | 19% | 28% | 24% | 17% | 29% | 13% | 31% | 16% | 29% | 27% | 23% | 24% | 25% | 22% | 27% | 21% | 21% | 24% | 23% | 26% | 21% | 23% | 26% | 19% | 22% | 26% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 30% | 27% | 23% | 26% | 22% | 17% | 23% | 25% | 24% | 20% |
Less Likely To Vote | 8% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 6% |
Has No Effect | 42% | 42% | 42% | 31% | 33% | 45% | 47% | 45% | 32% | 45% | 47% | 45% | 38% | 46% | 47% | 37% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 48% | 40% | 34% | 45% | 41% | 39% | 56% | 28% | 40% | 57% | 26% | 42% | 56% | 51% | 36% | 37% | 27% | 53% | 36% | 32% | 56% | 29% | 63% | 26% | 56% | 28% | 32% | 45% | 40% | 45% | 40% | 38% | 44% | 39% | 43% | 43% | 47% | 37% | 46% | 42% | 38% | 43% | 41% | 29% | 39% | 54% | 24% | 34% | 41% | 37% | 56% | 51% | 43% | 38% | 42% | 47% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 66% | 20% | 8% | 7% | 33% | 33% | 9% | 11% | 38% | 51% | 10% | 38% | 36% | 21% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 36% | 11% | 11% | 40% | 36% | 23% | 47% | 47% | 37% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 11% | 60% | 27% | 44% | 55% | 34% | 66% | 21% | 78% | 30% | 33% | 36% | 39% | 38% | 24% | 70% | 30% | 21% | 42% | 37% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 19% | 35% | 21% | 27% | 17% |
Attorney General Josh Stein's unwillingness to defend some laws passed by Republican lawmakers, like those regarding abortion access and voter identification? |
853 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Governor | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Impacted By Hele | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Already | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Robinson | Stein | Trump | Biden | Early in | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Changes Support | 6% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 16% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
More Supportive | 24% | 19% | 27% | 31% | 24% | 22% | 19% | 27% | 26% | 22% | 19% | 27% | 24% | 23% | 19% | 33% | 33% | 31% | 16% | 22% | 32% | 34% | 26% | 22% | 24% | 9% | 37% | 27% | 9% | 40% | 23% | 12% | 14% | 28% | 37% | 36% | 13% | 28% | 37% | 10% | 37% | 9% | 37% | 10% | 39% | 31% | 22% | 24% | 21% | 26% | 21% | 25% | 28% | 23% | 21% | 24% | 25% | 28% | 21% | 21% | 23% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 19% | 22% | 32% | 23% | 29% | 14% | 23% | 22% | 25% | 25% | 23% |
Less Supportive | 25% | 29% | 21% | 21% | 30% | 26% | 23% | 23% | 27% | 26% | 23% | 23% | 27% | 23% | 26% | 19% | 23% | 29% | 29% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 19% | 28% | 34% | 32% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 15% | 28% | 26% | 37% | 23% | 12% | 17% | 32% | 23% | 15% | 32% | 17% | 32% | 19% | 33% | 17% | 18% | 24% | 30% | 29% | 22% | 30% | 22% | 24% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 25% | 19% | 28% | 29% | 26% | 22% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 29% | 24% | 31% | 19% | 22% | 33% | 22% | 25% |
Less Likely To Vote | 8% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 12% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 8% |
Has No Effect | 37% | 35% | 40% | 35% | 25% | 34% | 48% | 38% | 29% | 34% | 48% | 38% | 31% | 43% | 38% | 40% | 32% | 27% | 36% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 38% | 38% | 30% | 39% | 33% | 40% | 39% | 32% | 42% | 37% | 34% | 38% | 44% | 31% | 36% | 38% | 38% | 38% | 37% | 36% | 36% | 37% | 34% | 32% | 39% | 34% | 35% | 39% | 28% | 42% | 29% | 40% | 39% | 40% | 33% | 40% | 36% | 34% | 37% | 38% | 32% | 35% | 42% | 28% | 36% | 34% | 36% | 40% | 45% | 38% | 29% | 42% | 39% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 66% | 20% | 8% | 7% | 33% | 33% | 9% | 11% | 38% | 51% | 10% | 38% | 36% | 21% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 36% | 11% | 11% | 40% | 36% | 23% | 47% | 47% | 37% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 11% | 60% | 27% | 44% | 55% | 34% | 66% | 21% | 78% | 30% | 33% | 36% | 39% | 38% | 24% | 70% | 30% | 21% | 42% | 37% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 19% | 35% | 21% | 27% | 17% |
Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson and Superintendent of Public Instruction Michele Morrow candidate have both said they would prefer the state not accept federal funds for North Carolina schools? |
853 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Governor | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Impacted By Hele | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Already | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Robinson | Stein | Trump | Biden | Early in | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Changes Support | 8% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 14% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 13% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 6% |
More Supportive | 17% | 22% | 12% | 25% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 10% | 9% | 26% | 10% | 24% | 17% | 21% | 16% | 6% | 16% | 22% | 14% | 17% | 25% | 8% | 20% | 14% | 13% | 23% | 29% | 17% | 13% | 26% | 13% | 23% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 23% | 13% | 16% | 26% | 20% | 10% | 27% | 18% | 10% | 33% | 22% | 25% | 12% | 13% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 18% | 13% |
Less Supportive | 26% | 27% | 25% | 16% | 35% | 29% | 24% | 23% | 29% | 29% | 24% | 23% | 29% | 24% | 24% | 26% | 36% | 41% | 23% | 24% | 25% | 27% | 20% | 28% | 37% | 19% | 30% | 31% | 18% | 29% | 34% | 18% | 27% | 31% | 24% | 24% | 23% | 31% | 24% | 19% | 31% | 16% | 33% | 19% | 33% | 33% | 23% | 31% | 29% | 24% | 33% | 23% | 27% | 26% | 24% | 27% | 27% | 24% | 30% | 23% | 25% | 28% | 24% | 30% | 23% | 23% | 25% | 29% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 24% | 32% | 26% | 24% |
Less Likely To Vote | 10% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 15% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 13% | 6% | 16% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 7% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 9% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 15% |
Has No Effect | 38% | 35% | 41% | 36% | 25% | 40% | 45% | 40% | 29% | 40% | 45% | 40% | 34% | 42% | 42% | 33% | 37% | 20% | 38% | 46% | 35% | 30% | 41% | 38% | 32% | 50% | 28% | 35% | 51% | 27% | 37% | 46% | 45% | 32% | 38% | 29% | 46% | 32% | 33% | 51% | 27% | 55% | 26% | 50% | 28% | 33% | 42% | 33% | 38% | 38% | 35% | 40% | 29% | 41% | 42% | 39% | 35% | 42% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 38% | 27% | 35% | 48% | 25% | 28% | 32% | 38% | 45% | 51% | 39% | 31% | 40% | 43% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 66% | 20% | 8% | 7% | 33% | 33% | 9% | 11% | 38% | 51% | 10% | 38% | 36% | 21% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 36% | 11% | 11% | 40% | 36% | 23% | 47% | 47% | 37% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 11% | 60% | 27% | 44% | 55% | 34% | 66% | 21% | 78% | 30% | 33% | 36% | 39% | 38% | 24% | 70% | 30% | 21% | 42% | 37% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 19% | 35% | 21% | 27% | 17% |
Michele Morrow's statements calling for military intervention to keep Trump in office in 2021 and referring to public schools as "indoctrination centers? |
853 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Governor | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Impacted By Hele | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Already | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Robinson | Stein | Trump | Biden | Early in | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Changes Support | 8% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 2% | 12% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 17% | 9% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 3% |
More Supportive | 20% | 20% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 26% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 25% | 17% | 21% | 18% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 20% | 17% | 19% | 22% | 20% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 22% | 23% | 16% | 17% | 20% | 18% | 29% | 29% | 19% | 18% | 29% | 20% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 22% | 20% | 26% | 18% | 16% | 22% | 16% | 19% | 25% | 20% | 19% | 24% | 22% | 17% | 20% | 23% | 17% | 22% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 20% | 22% | 26% |
Less Supportive | 23% | 25% | 22% | 18% | 28% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 23% | 24% | 19% | 34% | 29% | 24% | 21% | 18% | 34% | 33% | 21% | 23% | 35% | 12% | 31% | 29% | 11% | 31% | 30% | 15% | 25% | 29% | 19% | 16% | 21% | 29% | 17% | 13% | 31% | 11% | 31% | 13% | 33% | 21% | 21% | 29% | 23% | 24% | 21% | 24% | 28% | 22% | 20% | 26% | 24% | 22% | 23% | 26% | 22% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 18% | 22% | 31% | 29% | 23% | 21% | 15% | 23% | 28% | 22% | 19% |
Less Likely To Vote | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 14% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
Has No Effect | 41% | 37% | 44% | 31% | 30% | 43% | 46% | 45% | 30% | 43% | 46% | 45% | 36% | 46% | 44% | 34% | 44% | 24% | 40% | 48% | 37% | 32% | 41% | 42% | 33% | 56% | 29% | 36% | 56% | 27% | 38% | 56% | 44% | 35% | 37% | 31% | 49% | 35% | 34% | 56% | 27% | 54% | 30% | 55% | 28% | 38% | 43% | 37% | 43% | 39% | 36% | 43% | 36% | 42% | 46% | 43% | 34% | 45% | 42% | 33% | 41% | 41% | 33% | 35% | 52% | 31% | 35% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 53% | 41% | 36% | 39% | 49% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 66% | 20% | 8% | 7% | 33% | 33% | 9% | 11% | 38% | 51% | 10% | 38% | 36% | 21% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 36% | 11% | 11% | 40% | 36% | 23% | 47% | 47% | 37% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 11% | 60% | 27% | 44% | 55% | 34% | 66% | 21% | 78% | 30% | 33% | 36% | 39% | 38% | 24% | 70% | 30% | 21% | 42% | 37% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 19% | 35% | 21% | 27% | 17% |
12 | Which candidate for governor do you think will best be able to help rebuild western North Carolina after Hurricane Helene's impact? |
853 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Race By Gender | Likely | Party Registration | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | 2024 Presidentia | 2024 Governor | 2020 Vote | Voting Method | Own Gun | Parent | Impacted By Hele | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Urbanicity By Gender | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | White Ma | White Fe | Black Ma | Black Fe | Already | Certain | Probable | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Harris | Robinson | Stein | Trump | Biden | Early in | Election | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Urban Me | Urban Wo | Suburban | Suburban | Rural Me | Rural Wo | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | ||
Mark Robinson (R) | 35% | 41% | 30% | 32% | 42% | 32% | 35% | 35% | 39% | 32% | 35% | 35% | 36% | 35% | 46% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 53% | 38% | 15% | 12% | 42% | 33% | 25% | 75% | 4% | 22% | 76% | 2% | 22% | 72% | 53% | 25% | 6% | 6% | 62% | 25% | 6% | 71% | 4% | 89% | 3% | 71% | 5% | 38% | 38% | 29% | 45% | 28% | 37% | 34% | 38% | 35% | 43% | 34% | 30% | 33% | 39% | 33% | 38% | 29% | 26% | 31% | 46% | 35% | 15% | 38% | 23% | 48% | 44% | 36% | 32% | 31% | 44% |
Josh Stein (D) | 51% | 48% | 55% | 54% | 46% | 52% | 53% | 52% | 49% | 52% | 53% | 52% | 50% | 53% | 42% | 75% | 64% | 64% | 37% | 46% | 76% | 75% | 52% | 52% | 44% | 13% | 89% | 54% | 12% | 93% | 53% | 20% | 31% | 60% | 82% | 87% | 26% | 60% | 85% | 15% | 90% | 4% | 92% | 14% | 89% | 50% | 53% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 52% | 50% | 52% | 42% | 54% | 57% | 55% | 47% | 52% | 50% | 55% | 62% | 56% | 40% | 57% | 68% | 51% | 62% | 39% | 40% | 48% | 53% | 58% | 46% |
Not Sure | 13% | 11% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 16% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 17% | 19% | 10% | 16% | 9% | 13% | 6% | 15% | 31% | 12% | 7% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 26% | 8% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 9% | 14% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 14% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 21% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 8% | 17% | 11% | 15% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 66% | 20% | 8% | 7% | 33% | 33% | 9% | 11% | 38% | 51% | 10% | 38% | 36% | 21% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 36% | 11% | 11% | 40% | 36% | 23% | 47% | 47% | 37% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 11% | 60% | 27% | 44% | 55% | 34% | 66% | 21% | 78% | 30% | 33% | 36% | 39% | 38% | 24% | 70% | 30% | 21% | 42% | 37% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 19% | 35% | 21% | 27% | 17% |