Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27377
 
Stein's 15-Point Lead Against Robinson in NC Governor Race May ... or May Not ... Help Down-Ballot Democrats Win Their Own Contests:

SurveyUSA's latest polling for WRAL-TV in Raleigh shows Democrat Josh Stein well-positioned to be North Carolina's next governor, but his significant advantage over Republican Mark Robinson may or may not be enough to help Democrats win the races for Attorney General and for Superintendent of Public Instruction.

Stein's lead over Robinson, detailed here, reflects the two gubernatorial candidates' respective favorability ratings. Stein is viewed favorably by 47% of likely voters, unfavorably by 23% – a net favorability of +24, and 13 points better than the +11 Stein recorded in September. Robinson, meantime, is seen favorably by 32%, unfavorably by 49% – a net favorability of -17, down 12 points from the -5 SurveyUSA found 7 weeks ago.

12% of those who say they're voting for Stein say media reports connecting Robinson to potentially inflammatory and racist remarks on a porn website's message board, which Robinson denies, caused them to change which candidate they support. 63% of Robinson voters say the reports have no impact on their vote.

10% of Robinson voters say Josh Stein's unwillingness to defend some laws passed by Republican lawmakers caused them to change which candidate they support. 36% of each candidate's voters say this has no effect on their vote.

In the race for the Attorney General seat being vacated by Stein, Democrat Jeff Jackson today takes 44% of the vote, Republican Dan Bishop 42%. With 14% of likely voters undecided, any outcome is possible. Compared to September, when SurveyUSA last polled this contest for WRAL-TV, Jackson is up one point and Bishop is up six. Among men, Bishop leads by 7 points; among women, Jackson leads by 10, a 17-point gender gap. A potential good sign for Jackson: among those who tell SurveyUSA they have already cast their ballot, Jackson leads by 6; among those who say they are certain to vote, Bishop leads by 1.

Republican Michele Morrow, who trailed Democrat Mo Green by 2 points in September, today leads Green by 1 nominal point, 42% to 41%, with 17% undecided. Voters with high school educations back Morrow by a 17-point margin; college graduates back Green by 9; the race is tied among those who have attended some college.

Fully crosstabbed results follow ...
 
About the Research / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,050 North Carolina adults 10/23/24 through 10/26/24. Of the adults, 929 were identified as being registered to vote; of the registered voters, 853 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election and were asked the substantive questions which follow. This research was conducted online, using nonprobability sample of online adult panelists chosen randomly by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. The combined pool of survey respondents was weighted to US Census ACS targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership, and to recalled 2020 presidential vote.
 
1Are you registered to vote in the state of North Carolina?
1050 AdultsAllGenderAgeAge<50 / 50+RaceRace By GenderLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2024 Presidentia2024 Governor2020 VoteVoting MethodOwn GunParentImpacted By HeleEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUrbanicity By GenderRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-2425-3435-4950-6465+18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / White MaWhite FeBlack MaBlack FeAlready CertainProbableRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpHarrisRobinsonSteinTrumpBidenMailEarly inElectionYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralUrban MeUrban WoSuburbanSuburbanRural MeRural WoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Yes88%91%86%77%86%88%93%92%83%88%93%92%85%92%89%91%89%76%92%87%90%91%100%100%100%93%94%88%93%91%84%92%91%88%89%89%92%88%89%100%100%100%100%95%97%100%100%100%93%86%91%87%90%88%82%93%91%84%91%93%90%86%90%88%88%92%89%91%86%91%85%91%90%89%81%
No11%9%12%22%11%11%7%8%15%11%7%8%13%7%10%8%7%23%8%12%9%8%---7%6%11%6%8%15%7%8%11%10%11%8%11%11%----5%3%---6%13%8%12%9%11%16%7%8%15%8%6%9%13%9%10%11%8%11%8%12%9%13%8%10%10%17%
Not Sure1%0%1%1%2%1%0%1%2%1%0%1%1%0%1%1%4%1%0%1%1%1%---0%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%0%0%1%1%0%----0%0%---1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%0%1%1%2%0%2%0%1%1%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%11%19%24%24%22%29%24%24%22%53%47%64%20%8%8%31%33%9%11%35%47%10%35%34%23%35%33%27%17%20%38%11%11%37%38%22%47%47%37%52%39%37%11%60%27%41%57%33%66%21%77%35%32%33%43%36%21%66%34%20%43%37%10%10%20%22%17%20%34%20%28%18%
 
2North Carolina will vote to elect a U.S. president, a governor and other statewide officeholders in November. Not everyone makes the time to vote in every election. Which best describes you?
929 Registered VotersAllGenderAgeAge<50 / 50+RaceRace By GenderLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2024 Presidentia2024 Governor2020 VoteVoting MethodOwn GunParentImpacted By HeleEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUrbanicity By GenderRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-2425-3435-4950-6465+18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / White MaWhite FeBlack MaBlack FeAlready CertainProbableRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpHarrisRobinsonSteinTrumpBidenMailEarly inElectionYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralUrban MeUrban WoSuburbanSuburbanRural MeRural WoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Already Voted35%32%38%36%29%26%34%50%31%26%34%50%29%42%38%32%28%28%38%37%24%39%100%0%0%39%39%26%40%39%26%47%35%28%41%40%41%28%40%39%41%46%38%38%38%58%53%1%36%34%29%39%32%36%29%34%41%32%34%42%41%24%36%35%35%39%33%33%36%27%42%33%32%36%42%
Certain To Vote47%48%46%29%44%51%56%43%39%51%56%43%45%50%49%45%37%50%48%49%50%41%0%100%0%47%45%51%46%46%54%42%52%48%43%47%47%48%45%53%49%47%53%51%51%32%41%84%46%48%54%44%53%46%45%46%50%43%52%47%48%46%47%47%47%45%48%47%47%52%43%50%49%45%43%
Probably Vote10%11%9%21%12%10%6%6%15%10%6%6%13%6%7%11%16%20%7%7%15%7%0%0%100%8%10%10%8%9%12%6%7%12%10%10%7%12%10%8%10%6%9%5%8%10%7%15%11%9%9%10%7%10%12%10%7%11%8%9%7%15%9%10%10%7%11%12%8%11%8%10%14%7%7%
50/50 Chance6%6%5%11%10%9%2%1%11%9%2%1%10%1%4%7%19%1%3%5%7%7%0%0%0%4%4%11%4%3%5%4%3%8%2%2%3%8%2%----4%2%---5%5%5%6%5%5%9%6%2%9%4%1%3%11%5%5%6%4%7%6%5%8%4%3%3%10%6%
Probably Will Not2%2%2%3%3%3%2%0%3%3%2%0%3%1%2%4%0%1%2%2%3%5%0%0%0%2%2%2%1%2%3%2%1%2%4%1%1%2%2%----1%1%---2%2%2%2%2%2%4%2%0%4%2%0%1%4%3%2%2%5%1%1%3%1%2%3%2%1%3%
Not Sure1%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%1%0%1%1%0%0%1%0%1%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%1%0%----0%0%---1%0%1%0%1%0%1%1%0%1%1%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%9%18%24%26%23%27%24%26%23%51%49%64%20%9%7%32%32%9%11%35%47%10%37%36%23%37%35%26%18%21%38%11%11%38%38%22%47%47%37%52%42%40%11%60%27%43%55%34%66%21%77%32%34%34%41%37%22%67%33%21%43%37%11%10%21%22%18%19%34%21%28%17%
 
If the election for North Carolina governor were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for?
853 Likely November VotersAllGenderAgeAge<50 / 50+RaceRace By GenderLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2024 Presidentia2024 Governor2020 VoteVoting MethodOwn GunParentImpacted By HeleEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUrbanicity By GenderRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-2425-3435-4950-6465+18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / White MaWhite FeBlack MaBlack FeAlready CertainProbableRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpHarrisRobinsonSteinTrumpBidenMailEarly inElectionYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralUrban MeUrban WoSuburbanSuburbanRural MeRural WoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Mark Robinson (R)37%43%31%38%41%34%36%37%40%34%36%37%37%37%48%13%22%15%56%40%16%11%45%34%23%77%5%24%79%3%23%74%56%26%6%10%64%26%8%74%5%100%0%73%7%36%41%29%47%29%37%37%37%37%43%36%33%33%43%33%42%25%28%32%47%38%18%40%25%51%43%39%33%31%47%
Josh Stein (D)52%49%56%48%51%50%55%54%50%50%55%54%50%55%44%75%57%64%39%49%76%74%52%55%43%14%88%59%13%92%57%19%35%60%85%83%28%60%84%17%89%0%100%18%88%52%53%55%45%59%50%54%50%53%42%56%58%54%49%54%50%57%61%58%42%57%65%51%64%42%41%50%53%61%44%
Other1%1%1%0%0%1%1%2%0%1%1%2%1%1%1%0%0%0%1%2%0%0%1%0%2%2%0%0%2%0%1%1%2%1%0%0%2%1%0%2%0%0%0%1%0%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%0%1%2%1%1%1%0%1%
Undecided10%7%13%14%7%14%9%7%10%14%9%7%12%8%7%12%21%21%4%9%8%15%2%11%33%7%7%17%6%5%19%6%6%13%8%7%6%13%7%7%6%0%0%8%4%10%6%14%7%11%12%9%12%9%14%7%8%12%7%12%7%16%10%9%10%5%16%9%10%6%14%10%12%8%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%9%17%23%27%25%26%23%27%25%48%52%66%20%8%7%33%33%9%11%38%51%10%38%36%21%38%36%26%18%21%36%11%11%40%36%23%47%47%37%52%43%42%11%60%27%44%55%34%66%21%78%30%33%36%39%38%24%70%30%21%42%37%11%10%21%22%17%19%35%21%27%17%
 
If the election for North Carolina attorney general were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for?
853 Likely November VotersAllGenderAgeAge<50 / 50+RaceRace By GenderLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2024 Presidentia2024 Governor2020 VoteVoting MethodOwn GunParentImpacted By HeleEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUrbanicity By GenderRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-2425-3435-4950-6465+18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / White MaWhite FeBlack MaBlack FeAlready CertainProbableRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpHarrisRobinsonSteinTrumpBidenMailEarly inElectionYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralUrban MeUrban WoSuburbanSuburbanRural MeRural WoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Dan Bishop (R)42%48%37%40%46%38%40%46%44%38%40%46%41%43%54%12%28%31%60%48%14%10%45%42%30%86%5%31%87%3%32%77%66%30%8%14%71%30%11%84%4%89%12%83%7%44%44%40%53%34%45%41%41%42%48%42%37%37%50%38%48%29%30%38%54%34%26%45%31%59%49%41%43%35%54%
Jeff Jackson (D)44%41%47%40%40%46%45%46%40%46%45%46%43%46%35%71%53%45%32%37%70%72%51%41%35%6%83%46%6%86%42%16%25%49%78%77%21%49%78%7%85%5%79%8%83%41%47%41%37%49%40%46%42%45%34%45%52%46%39%50%42%48%60%47%32%57%64%42%52%31%32%43%46%51%34%
Undecided 14%11%16%20%14%16%15%7%16%16%15%7%16%12%11%17%18%24%8%15%16%18%4%17%35%8%12%23%8%10%26%6%9%20%14%8%8%20%11%9%11%5%9%9%10%15%9%19%10%17%14%13%17%13%18%13%11%17%11%12%10%23%10%15%15%10%10%13%16%10%19%16%12%14%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%9%17%23%27%25%26%23%27%25%48%52%66%20%8%7%33%33%9%11%38%51%10%38%36%21%38%36%26%18%21%36%11%11%40%36%23%47%47%37%52%43%42%11%60%27%44%55%34%66%21%78%30%33%36%39%38%24%70%30%21%42%37%11%10%21%22%17%19%35%21%27%17%
 
If the election for North Carolina state superintendent of public instruction were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for?
853 Likely November VotersAllGenderAgeAge<50 / 50+RaceRace By GenderLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2024 Presidentia2024 Governor2020 VoteVoting MethodOwn GunParentImpacted By HeleEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUrbanicity By GenderRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-2425-3435-4950-6465+18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / White MaWhite FeBlack MaBlack FeAlready CertainProbableRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpHarrisRobinsonSteinTrumpBidenMailEarly inElectionYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralUrban MeUrban WoSuburbanSuburbanRural MeRural WoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Michele Morrow (R)42%48%36%38%45%36%41%48%43%36%41%48%40%44%54%12%26%33%60%48%16%9%46%42%29%85%6%30%87%4%30%78%64%30%8%17%71%30%12%81%7%87%14%81%9%43%44%40%54%33%45%41%42%42%49%41%38%38%48%38%48%28%30%36%56%38%21%42%30%61%51%42%43%36%52%
Mo Green (D)41%38%43%42%34%44%37%45%37%44%37%45%40%41%30%68%55%47%29%31%65%71%49%36%32%5%80%38%4%84%35%14%23%44%73%75%19%44%74%5%79%5%72%5%78%43%44%35%31%48%38%42%37%42%32%41%47%42%38%41%38%45%55%45%27%52%59%39%51%27%26%38%42%48%33%
Undecided17%14%21%20%21%19%22%7%21%19%22%7%20%15%16%20%19%21%12%21%19%21%5%23%38%10%14%32%9%12%35%8%12%26%19%8%10%26%13%15%14%7%14%14%13%15%13%25%16%19%17%17%21%16%19%18%16%20%13%20%13%27%15%19%18%10%19%19%19%11%23%21%16%16%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%9%17%23%27%25%26%23%27%25%48%52%66%20%8%7%33%33%9%11%38%51%10%38%36%21%38%36%26%18%21%36%11%11%40%36%23%47%47%37%52%43%42%11%60%27%44%55%34%66%21%78%30%33%36%39%38%24%70%30%21%42%37%11%10%21%22%17%19%35%21%27%17%
 
What is your opinion of Mark Robinson?
853 Likely November VotersAllGenderAgeAge<50 / 50+RaceRace By GenderLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2024 Presidentia2024 Governor2020 VoteVoting MethodOwn GunParentImpacted By HeleEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUrbanicity By GenderRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-2425-3435-4950-6465+18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / White MaWhite FeBlack MaBlack FeAlready CertainProbableRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpHarrisRobinsonSteinTrumpBidenMailEarly inElectionYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralUrban MeUrban WoSuburbanSuburbanRural MeRural WoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Very Favorable16%20%13%14%20%16%14%17%18%16%14%17%17%16%21%4%10%15%25%16%2%6%22%14%7%36%3%6%37%2%6%47%18%7%4%7%32%7%6%32%3%43%1%32%4%18%19%11%21%13%18%16%17%16%22%14%14%14%18%18%19%10%11%12%24%20%2%16%8%24%24%18%12%15%21%
Somewhat Favorable16%20%11%17%14%14%17%15%15%14%17%15%15%16%18%12%10%4%23%14%15%10%15%16%17%25%7%16%27%6%13%20%27%14%4%4%24%14%4%26%6%34%5%26%8%19%14%19%18%14%15%16%14%16%16%17%14%14%19%14%16%14%16%14%17%18%15%18%9%23%12%14%17%15%19%
Neutral13%11%16%17%18%18%10%8%18%18%10%8%18%9%12%13%23%15%10%14%15%11%11%14%18%15%11%15%14%11%16%7%16%17%7%16%12%17%11%15%10%14%9%14%9%12%13%15%13%14%17%11%14%13%16%13%11%13%13%15%13%15%14%16%10%10%18%14%18%7%13%14%12%15%12%
Somewhat Unfavorable8%8%8%9%7%8%10%6%8%8%10%6%8%8%9%6%12%1%9%9%8%5%6%9%10%10%6%8%9%6%10%6%11%11%4%3%8%11%3%10%6%5%10%11%6%10%6%12%7%9%10%7%13%7%8%9%7%8%9%7%8%8%6%8%9%9%2%5%12%11%7%9%9%7%6%
Very Unfavorable41%35%46%30%32%33%46%51%31%33%46%51%32%49%36%56%36%41%30%43%56%56%42%41%30%12%64%49%11%67%48%16%25%47%75%56%21%47%65%14%68%2%70%13%69%38%43%38%35%44%31%46%38%42%30%40%50%43%37%41%40%41%48%44%33%40%56%38%49%29%37%37%48%43%34%
Unfamiliar6%6%6%13%10%10%2%2%11%10%2%2%10%2%3%9%9%23%3%4%5%12%4%6%17%3%9%7%2%8%8%5%3%5%7%15%4%5%11%3%8%2%5%3%6%4%5%6%6%6%9%5%5%6%9%7%3%8%5%4%3%12%5%6%6%3%8%8%4%6%7%8%3%6%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%9%17%23%27%25%26%23%27%25%48%52%66%20%8%7%33%33%9%11%38%51%10%38%36%21%38%36%26%18%21%36%11%11%40%36%23%47%47%37%52%43%42%11%60%27%44%55%34%66%21%78%30%33%36%39%38%24%70%30%21%42%37%11%10%21%22%17%19%35%21%27%17%
 
What is your opinion of Josh Stein?
853 Likely November VotersAllGenderAgeAge<50 / 50+RaceRace By GenderLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2024 Presidentia2024 Governor2020 VoteVoting MethodOwn GunParentImpacted By HeleEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUrbanicity By GenderRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-2425-3435-4950-6465+18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / White MaWhite FeBlack MaBlack FeAlready CertainProbableRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpHarrisRobinsonSteinTrumpBidenMailEarly inElectionYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralUrban MeUrban WoSuburbanSuburbanRural MeRural WoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Very Favorable23%23%22%12%16%20%26%30%15%20%26%30%17%28%18%39%26%20%18%18%40%37%30%21%4%4%45%19%4%46%19%17%12%18%42%48%15%18%45%5%43%5%40%5%44%25%26%17%17%28%19%25%17%25%21%19%27%28%20%18%23%23%29%24%18%33%24%23%25%17%19%21%28%23%19%
Somewhat Favorable24%25%22%37%20%22%26%21%25%22%26%21%24%23%23%24%28%29%25%20%26%22%22%25%22%16%30%30%16%31%27%16%17%29%28%27%17%29%28%16%32%11%35%17%29%25%23%27%24%23%24%24%26%24%19%28%24%21%26%25%21%29%30%24%20%30%30%24%24%23%17%24%22%28%18%
Neutral20%17%23%25%21%26%19%12%22%26%19%12%24%16%21%18%13%20%16%26%19%18%14%21%33%25%12%22%25%12%23%10%24%26%17%6%18%26%12%24%13%23%16%23%14%21%17%26%22%18%22%19%24%19%20%21%19%19%19%23%20%20%18%21%19%16%20%18%24%15%23%20%24%19%17%
Somewhat Unfavorable9%9%10%4%13%8%9%10%10%8%9%10%9%9%11%4%12%3%11%11%5%4%9%9%10%15%3%8%15%3%9%11%15%8%4%6%13%8%5%16%2%17%3%16%3%11%9%9%8%10%9%9%5%10%10%7%10%8%9%12%11%4%5%12%9%8%1%9%14%9%8%9%7%7%15%
Very Unfavorable14%17%12%3%15%10%13%22%11%10%13%22%11%17%19%5%5%5%23%15%2%7%20%11%7%29%3%8%29%2%9%33%20%9%2%2%26%9%2%27%2%32%1%28%3%13%15%12%19%11%13%15%19%13%16%13%14%12%16%15%18%6%8%11%21%6%12%16%7%25%17%16%15%11%16%
Unfamiliar10%10%11%20%14%14%8%4%16%14%8%4%15%6%9%10%16%23%7%11%8%11%4%12%24%12%7%14%12%7%12%12%12%9%7%11%12%9%9%12%8%12%5%11%6%6%11%9%10%11%14%9%8%10%14%12%6%13%10%7%7%17%10%8%13%7%14%10%6%10%15%11%4%12%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%9%17%23%27%25%26%23%27%25%48%52%66%20%8%7%33%33%9%11%38%51%10%38%36%21%38%36%26%18%21%36%11%11%40%36%23%47%47%37%52%43%42%11%60%27%44%55%34%66%21%78%30%33%36%39%38%24%70%30%21%42%37%11%10%21%22%17%19%35%21%27%17%
 
8Recent media reports connecting Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson to potentially inflammatory and racist remarks on a porn website's message board, which Robinson denies?
853 Likely November VotersAllGenderAgeAge<50 / 50+RaceRace By GenderLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2024 Presidentia2024 Governor2020 VoteVoting MethodOwn GunParentImpacted By HeleEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUrbanicity By GenderRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-2425-3435-4950-6465+18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / White MaWhite FeBlack MaBlack FeAlready CertainProbableRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpHarrisRobinsonSteinTrumpBidenMailEarly inElectionYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralUrban MeUrban WoSuburbanSuburbanRural MeRural WoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Changes Support8%5%11%15%5%6%11%6%9%6%11%6%7%9%8%8%5%9%5%12%6%9%7%8%9%6%8%10%6%8%11%7%4%11%6%9%5%11%7%5%11%2%12%6%11%8%7%11%10%7%6%9%12%7%8%6%10%8%7%10%8%7%11%6%8%11%11%3%10%4%11%8%9%9%6%
More Supportive19%21%17%31%25%21%13%15%27%21%13%15%24%14%16%26%20%26%19%13%28%24%19%19%16%15%26%16%15%30%11%15%19%15%26%32%17%15%29%14%24%17%22%14%25%24%19%17%15%23%20%18%17%19%17%14%26%17%16%26%19%18%24%23%12%27%20%26%20%12%11%17%22%18%21%
Less Supportive23%24%23%14%31%22%21%25%26%22%21%25%24%23%21%20%42%38%22%20%20%20%21%23%30%16%29%25%15%29%28%16%21%28%24%24%19%28%24%17%29%13%31%16%29%27%23%24%25%22%27%21%21%24%23%26%21%23%26%19%22%26%28%24%19%30%27%23%26%22%17%23%25%24%20%
Less Likely To Vote8%7%8%9%6%7%8%9%7%7%8%9%7%8%8%10%4%2%8%8%6%13%7%8%6%6%8%9%7%7%8%6%4%10%7%8%5%10%8%8%8%4%9%8%7%10%7%8%7%8%8%7%11%7%9%7%7%6%9%7%7%8%8%8%7%8%8%8%7%5%9%9%6%8%6%
Has No Effect42%42%42%31%33%45%47%45%32%45%47%45%38%46%47%37%29%25%47%48%40%34%45%41%39%56%28%40%57%26%42%56%51%36%37%27%53%36%32%56%29%63%26%56%28%32%45%40%45%40%38%44%39%43%43%47%37%46%42%38%43%41%29%39%54%24%34%41%37%56%51%43%38%42%47%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%9%17%23%27%25%26%23%27%25%48%52%66%20%8%7%33%33%9%11%38%51%10%38%36%21%38%36%26%18%21%36%11%11%40%36%23%47%47%37%52%43%42%11%60%27%44%55%34%66%21%78%30%33%36%39%38%24%70%30%21%42%37%11%10%21%22%17%19%35%21%27%17%
 
Attorney General Josh Stein's unwillingness to defend some laws passed by Republican lawmakers, like those regarding abortion access and voter identification?
853 Likely November VotersAllGenderAgeAge<50 / 50+RaceRace By GenderLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2024 Presidentia2024 Governor2020 VoteVoting MethodOwn GunParentImpacted By HeleEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUrbanicity By GenderRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-2425-3435-4950-6465+18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / White MaWhite FeBlack MaBlack FeAlready CertainProbableRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpHarrisRobinsonSteinTrumpBidenMailEarly inElectionYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralUrban MeUrban WoSuburbanSuburbanRural MeRural WoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Changes Support6%8%5%4%9%7%4%7%7%7%4%7%7%5%7%5%1%6%9%6%6%4%7%6%3%9%6%3%9%5%3%13%4%5%3%8%8%5%5%8%5%10%3%9%5%10%6%6%5%7%9%5%13%4%8%4%7%6%6%7%6%6%12%5%5%16%8%7%3%4%5%8%5%5%5%
More Supportive24%19%27%31%24%22%19%27%26%22%19%27%24%23%19%33%33%31%16%22%32%34%26%22%24%9%37%27%9%40%23%12%14%28%37%36%13%28%37%10%37%9%37%10%39%31%22%24%21%26%21%25%28%23%21%24%25%28%21%21%23%26%27%26%19%22%32%23%29%14%23%22%25%25%23%
Less Supportive25%29%21%21%30%26%23%23%27%26%23%23%27%23%26%19%23%29%29%23%22%17%19%28%34%32%17%25%31%15%28%26%37%23%12%17%32%23%15%32%17%32%19%33%17%18%24%30%29%22%30%22%24%25%26%23%25%19%28%29%26%22%21%27%25%25%17%29%24%31%19%22%33%22%25%
Less Likely To Vote8%9%7%9%11%11%7%5%10%11%7%5%11%6%9%3%11%7%10%9%1%5%10%7%10%11%7%5%12%7%4%12%11%7%4%8%11%7%6%11%5%13%4%12%5%8%9%5%9%7%11%7%6%8%5%9%10%8%8%9%8%8%9%7%10%9%8%7%7%12%7%10%8%6%8%
Has No Effect37%35%40%35%25%34%48%38%29%34%48%38%31%43%38%40%32%27%36%40%40%40%38%38%30%39%33%40%39%32%42%37%34%38%44%31%36%38%38%38%37%36%36%37%34%32%39%34%35%39%28%42%29%40%39%40%33%40%36%34%37%38%32%35%42%28%36%34%36%40%45%38%29%42%39%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%9%17%23%27%25%26%23%27%25%48%52%66%20%8%7%33%33%9%11%38%51%10%38%36%21%38%36%26%18%21%36%11%11%40%36%23%47%47%37%52%43%42%11%60%27%44%55%34%66%21%78%30%33%36%39%38%24%70%30%21%42%37%11%10%21%22%17%19%35%21%27%17%
 
Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson and Superintendent of Public Instruction Michele Morrow candidate have both said they would prefer the state not accept federal funds for North Carolina schools?
853 Likely November VotersAllGenderAgeAge<50 / 50+RaceRace By GenderLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2024 Presidentia2024 Governor2020 VoteVoting MethodOwn GunParentImpacted By HeleEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUrbanicity By GenderRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-2425-3435-4950-6465+18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / White MaWhite FeBlack MaBlack FeAlready CertainProbableRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpHarrisRobinsonSteinTrumpBidenMailEarly inElectionYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralUrban MeUrban WoSuburbanSuburbanRural MeRural WoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Changes Support8%8%8%13%8%6%11%5%10%6%11%5%8%8%7%8%11%15%6%7%6%10%8%7%14%5%9%10%5%9%11%8%6%10%4%10%7%10%7%6%9%3%10%6%9%7%8%8%7%8%5%10%12%7%9%7%8%9%5%11%7%10%13%7%6%13%13%8%6%5%7%7%11%8%6%
More Supportive17%22%12%25%21%17%13%17%22%17%13%17%20%15%18%20%10%9%26%10%24%17%21%16%6%16%22%14%17%25%8%20%14%13%23%29%17%13%26%13%23%20%18%15%21%19%18%16%15%19%17%17%20%17%14%14%23%13%16%26%20%10%27%18%10%33%22%25%12%13%8%19%17%18%13%
Less Supportive26%27%25%16%35%29%24%23%29%29%24%23%29%24%24%26%36%41%23%24%25%27%20%28%37%19%30%31%18%29%34%18%27%31%24%24%23%31%24%19%31%16%33%19%33%33%23%31%29%24%33%23%27%26%24%27%27%24%30%23%25%28%24%30%23%23%25%29%31%28%20%24%32%26%24%
Less Likely To Vote10%7%13%10%10%9%6%15%10%9%6%15%10%11%9%13%6%16%7%12%10%16%9%11%11%9%12%10%9%10%11%6%7%14%11%8%7%14%10%10%11%6%13%10%8%8%10%12%10%11%10%10%12%10%12%12%7%13%12%4%9%13%9%9%12%7%12%6%13%9%14%10%8%9%15%
Has No Effect38%35%41%36%25%40%45%40%29%40%45%40%34%42%42%33%37%20%38%46%35%30%41%38%32%50%28%35%51%27%37%46%45%32%38%29%46%32%33%51%27%55%26%50%28%33%42%33%38%38%35%40%29%41%42%39%35%42%36%36%38%38%27%35%48%25%28%32%38%45%51%39%31%40%43%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%9%17%23%27%25%26%23%27%25%48%52%66%20%8%7%33%33%9%11%38%51%10%38%36%21%38%36%26%18%21%36%11%11%40%36%23%47%47%37%52%43%42%11%60%27%44%55%34%66%21%78%30%33%36%39%38%24%70%30%21%42%37%11%10%21%22%17%19%35%21%27%17%
 
Michele Morrow's statements calling for military intervention to keep Trump in office in 2021 and referring to public schools as "indoctrination centers?
853 Likely November VotersAllGenderAgeAge<50 / 50+RaceRace By GenderLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2024 Presidentia2024 Governor2020 VoteVoting MethodOwn GunParentImpacted By HeleEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUrbanicity By GenderRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-2425-3435-4950-6465+18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / White MaWhite FeBlack MaBlack FeAlready CertainProbableRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpHarrisRobinsonSteinTrumpBidenMailEarly inElectionYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralUrban MeUrban WoSuburbanSuburbanRural MeRural WoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Changes Support8%10%6%10%11%5%9%8%11%5%9%8%8%8%9%8%2%12%11%6%7%8%8%9%4%7%9%11%6%9%10%9%6%10%6%10%7%10%8%6%12%7%10%8%10%9%7%10%8%9%9%8%14%7%10%6%10%7%8%10%8%9%13%6%8%17%9%9%4%8%8%9%8%11%3%
More Supportive20%20%21%27%25%23%19%14%26%23%19%14%25%17%21%18%22%24%22%20%17%19%22%20%17%21%21%19%22%23%16%17%20%18%29%29%19%18%29%20%21%23%21%20%22%21%22%18%22%20%26%18%16%22%16%19%25%20%19%24%22%17%20%23%17%22%19%24%23%15%19%17%20%22%26%
Less Supportive23%25%22%18%28%20%22%25%25%20%22%25%23%24%19%34%29%24%21%18%34%33%21%23%35%12%31%29%11%31%30%15%25%29%19%16%21%29%17%13%31%11%31%13%33%21%21%29%23%24%21%24%28%22%20%26%24%22%23%26%22%25%26%26%18%22%31%29%23%21%15%23%28%22%19%
Less Likely To Vote7%7%7%13%7%9%4%7%9%9%4%7%9%5%7%6%3%16%6%8%6%7%8%6%11%5%11%6%5%10%6%4%5%8%8%14%5%8%11%5%8%5%7%5%8%11%6%6%4%10%9%6%7%7%8%7%7%6%8%7%6%9%7%9%5%8%7%8%10%6%4%10%8%6%4%
Has No Effect41%37%44%31%30%43%46%45%30%43%46%45%36%46%44%34%44%24%40%48%37%32%41%42%33%56%29%36%56%27%38%56%44%35%37%31%49%35%34%56%27%54%30%55%28%38%43%37%43%39%36%43%36%42%46%43%34%45%42%33%41%41%33%35%52%31%35%30%40%50%53%41%36%39%49%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%9%17%23%27%25%26%23%27%25%48%52%66%20%8%7%33%33%9%11%38%51%10%38%36%21%38%36%26%18%21%36%11%11%40%36%23%47%47%37%52%43%42%11%60%27%44%55%34%66%21%78%30%33%36%39%38%24%70%30%21%42%37%11%10%21%22%17%19%35%21%27%17%
 
12Which candidate for governor do you think will best be able to help rebuild western North Carolina after Hurricane Helene's impact?
853 Likely November VotersAllGenderAgeAge<50 / 50+RaceRace By GenderLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2024 Presidentia2024 Governor2020 VoteVoting MethodOwn GunParentImpacted By HeleEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUrbanicity By GenderRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-2425-3435-4950-6465+18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / White MaWhite FeBlack MaBlack FeAlready CertainProbableRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpHarrisRobinsonSteinTrumpBidenMailEarly inElectionYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralUrban MeUrban WoSuburbanSuburbanRural MeRural WoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Mark Robinson (R)35%41%30%32%42%32%35%35%39%32%35%35%36%35%46%13%19%17%53%38%15%12%42%33%25%75%4%22%76%2%22%72%53%25%6%6%62%25%6%71%4%89%3%71%5%38%38%29%45%28%37%34%38%35%43%34%30%33%39%33%38%29%26%31%46%35%15%38%23%48%44%36%32%31%44%
Josh Stein (D)51%48%55%54%46%52%53%52%49%52%53%52%50%53%42%75%64%64%37%46%76%75%52%52%44%13%89%54%12%93%53%20%31%60%82%87%26%60%85%15%90%4%92%14%89%50%53%50%42%58%50%52%50%52%42%54%57%55%47%52%50%55%62%56%40%57%68%51%62%39%40%48%53%58%46%
Not Sure13%11%16%14%13%16%11%13%13%16%11%13%15%12%13%11%17%19%10%16%9%13%6%15%31%12%7%24%12%5%26%8%16%15%11%7%12%15%9%14%7%6%5%14%6%12%9%21%12%14%12%14%12%13%15%12%13%13%13%15%12%17%12%13%14%8%17%11%15%13%16%16%14%11%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%9%17%23%27%25%26%23%27%25%48%52%66%20%8%7%33%33%9%11%38%51%10%38%36%21%38%36%26%18%21%36%11%11%40%36%23%47%47%37%52%43%42%11%60%27%44%55%34%66%21%78%30%33%36%39%38%24%70%30%21%42%37%11%10%21%22%17%19%35%21%27%17%