Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #26076
 
Young Voters Respect Their Elder ... But Those Age 35+ Want Newsom to Remain CA Governor

2 Weeks Till California Recall Ballots Are Counted, With Voters Staring at 46 Unknowns, Pendulum Newly Swings To Show Newsom Surviving;
37% of Voters Don't Pick a Replacement; Of Those Who Do Choose a Candidate, Talk Show's Larry Elder Has 4 Times the Support of Nearest Foe:


14 days until votes are counted in the special California election to recall the Governor, sitting Democrat Gavin Newsom has new life, according to SurveyUSA's latest exclusive polling for KABC-TV, KGTV 10News, and The San Diego Tribune.

Today, 51% of likely and actual voters want to keep Newsom in office; 43% vote to make Gavin a goner (Question #3 below). Republicans want to oust Newsom by 72 points; Democrats want Newsom to stay by 65 points.

The youngest voters, age 18 to 34, kick Newsom to the curb 51% to 38%. But Newsom prevails among voters age 35+. The older the electorate, the more likely the Governor survives.

Unvaccinated voters want Newsom out by 49 points; vaccinated voters want Newsom to stay by 23 points. White voters split on Newsom. If the Democratic Governor survives, it will be entirely because of support from minorities, where Latinos back the Governor by 27 points and Asian Americans back the Governor by 21 points. Rural Californians by 13 points want the city-slicker out; suburban voters by 6 points and urban voters by 20 points want Newsom to stay.

Among those who tell SurveyUSA they have already returned their ballot — 32% of the modeled electorate — 62% vote to keep the Governor, 37% vote to oust the Governor, a 25-point head start for the incumbent. Among those who have not yet returned a ballot but who tell SurveyUSA they are certain to do so, the recall is a coin toss.

After asking voters how they would vote on the recall question, SurveyUSA asked voters whether they would choose a candidate to replace Newsom on the 2nd question on their ballot, or whether they would leave the 2nd question blank (Question #4 below). 61% intend to vote for a replacement candidate; 28% will leave the question blank. 90% of those who will recall the governor pick a replacement; half of those who oppose the recall will leave the 2nd ballot question blank and not name a potential replacement for Newsom.

SurveyUSA then asked (in Question #5 below) those who plan to name a replacement who they would pick if Newsom is in fact recalled. Respondents were shown the full name, party identification, and ballot designation of each of the 46 candidates on the ballot; voters were also able to tell SurveyUSA they were undecided or to indicate that they would, after seeing all the names, leave this question blank after all. After excluding those who leave Question #5 blank — 37% in total, when combined with those from Question # 4 — Republican talk show host Larry Elder dominates with 27% of the vote. Elder has 4 times the support of his nearest challenger. Elder has as much support as the next 5 finishers combined.

When asked why Newsom should be recalled, a majority of recall backers point to COVID: 26% cite Newsom's handling of COVID restrictions; 12% point to Newsom's attendance at a party while the state was in lockdown; 11% cite the closures of businesses; 3% the closures of schools. Another 16% say Newsom's spending decisions are the main reason he should be recalled; 12% point to the mishandling of unemployment dollars.

What has changed over the past 4 weeks? 27 days ago, SurveyUSA polling showed the recall effort passing and Democrat Kevin Paffrath leading. What has changed? SurveyUSA identifies a number of factors, some internal to deliberate changes SurveyUSA made to its methodology, some external:
  • SurveyUSA subtly changed the language it used to identify a likely voter. In previous polling, voters were asked how certain they were to vote or not vote "in the recall election to remove the Governor," wording which may have led some respondents opposed to the recall to misidentify themselves as being unlikely to vote. In today's release, voters are instead asked how certain they are to vote or not vote "in the recall election."
  • SurveyUSA materially changed how it asks voters the second ballot question, in 2 key ways:
    • 1st, SurveyUSA inserted an additional question, before the list of candidates, to ask if voters would leave the second question blank, better mirroring, in SurveyUSA's judgment, the way those voting "No" on the recall would approach their ballots. Today, in the newly added question, 28% of voters initially tell SurveyUSA they will leave the 2nd question blank; another 9% then tell SurveyUSA they will leave the question blank after being shown all 46 names on the ballot.
    • 2nd, SurveyUSA today names all 46 candidates; in previous polling, SurveyUSA named 7 viable candidates only, including a single Democrat, Paffrath. When respondents today are shown the full list of candidates, which includes 9 Democrats, Paffrath's support reverts to what may be its truer level, 6%.
  • Voters received their ballots, snapping the recall into focus for many who previously may not have been paying attention. California began mailing ballots to all active registered voters on August 16, which was 12 days after SurveyUSA's most recent poll and 10 days before interviewing began for today's release. Today's electorate is more broadly representative of California as a whole than 4 weeks ago, when those paying the most attention to the recall were those most excited about the prospect of removing an incumbent Democrat from office.
  • The impact of the COVID-19 Virus has worsened — the 14-day average of hospitalized patients has more then doubled since the previous poll — and the leading candidate to replace Gavin Newsom says he will repeal mask and vaccine mandates "before he has his first cup of tea," should he take office. Voters concerned about the spread of COVID, newly focused on the possibility of Elder sitting in the Sacramento Governor's Mansion, may be newly sobered by the possibility of a recall.
  • As SurveyUSA observed 4 weeks ago, in a recall, much like in a ballot measure election, voters are asked to choose between change and the status quo. Pollsters do not always capture how resistant humans are to change. In much the same way as opposition to any ballot measures increase as an election nears, the same may be the case here.
 
About the Poll / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,250 adults from the entire state of California 08/26/21 through 08/28/21, using sample provided by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. Of the adults, 1,046 were identified by SurveyUSA as being registered voters; of the registered voters, 816 were identified as having already returned a ballot or as being likely to do so before the September 14th recall election deadline and were asked the substantive questions which follow. The pool of adult survey respondents was weighted to US Census targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership. This research was conducted online. This analysis, which details specific changes made to SurveyUSA's poll-on-poll methodology, is a material part of the research findings and should be included when any poll results are cited.
 
1Are you registered to vote in the state of California?
1250 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyVote On RecallVaccinated?Party AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2020 VotePublic School PaEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / LikelyCertainAlready YesNoYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralCentral Greater Inland EBay Area
Yes84%88%80%77%83%84%94%80%88%87%**79%79%100%100%100%100%100%87%74%92%93%73%93%88%85%87%93%90%85%90%95%96%85%84%75%84%92%72%88%91%91%75%83%86%75%82%85%85%82%
No14%11%17%20%15%13%6%18%10%12%**16%19%-----11%22%8%6%24%7%12%13%10%6%10%13%8%4%4%13%14%21%15%7%23%11%8%8%21%15%12%19%15%13%13%17%
Not Sure2%1%3%3%2%3%0%3%2%1%**5%2%-----1%4%0%1%3%0%0%2%3%1%0%2%2%0%0%2%2%4%2%1%5%1%1%1%4%2%2%6%4%2%2%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%49%51%29%26%24%21%55%45%59%4%27%10%14%39%25%43%51%75%23%26%42%23%10%18%36%17%9%28%36%26%27%48%30%70%34%30%36%32%35%32%55%45%37%49%14%22%39%24%15%
 
2California will hold a recall election on September 14th on whether to remove Governor Gavin Newsom from office or keep Gavin Newsom in office. Not everyone makes the time to vote in a recall election. Would you say you are ... ?
1046 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyVote On RecallVaccinated?Party AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2020 VotePublic School PaEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / LikelyCertainAlready YesNoYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralCentral Greater Inland EBay Area
Certain NOT To Vote 4%5%3%6%5%2%2%5%2%2%**7%4%0%0%0%--4%4%3%4%4%7%4%2%4%2%5%2%4%4%3%5%3%4%4%3%6%3%3%3%4%4%4%3%4%4%3%3%
Unlikely To Vote 3%4%3%7%4%1%0%6%1%3%**5%2%0%0%0%--3%4%2%3%4%2%2%4%3%1%2%4%3%2%2%3%3%5%4%2%4%4%2%2%5%3%3%4%4%3%4%2%
50% / 50% 11%13%9%24%10%8%2%17%5%8%**17%19%0%0%0%--9%19%9%9%15%10%13%13%10%1%12%13%6%10%7%15%10%15%13%7%15%14%6%10%13%13%10%13%9%13%9%15%
Likely To Vote 14%15%13%20%20%11%4%20%7%12%**16%16%100%0%0%14%16%14%14%11%13%18%10%12%17%14%10%11%17%13%9%16%22%10%13%16%13%13%14%14%12%17%20%9%15%12%17%10%14%
100% Certain To Vote39%39%39%27%43%46%40%35%43%43%**34%30%0%100%0%58%45%38%43%45%39%36%39%43%40%34%52%41%40%41%48%40%42%38%31%37%46%35%36%45%42%34%35%44%30%38%37%43%39%
Already Returned Ballot 25%21%30%10%15%29%50%13%39%30%**14%29%0%0%100%28%39%29%12%27%29%17%31%22%23%32%29%25%23%31%27%28%11%32%24%24%27%24%24%27%28%21%21%27%32%30%20%28%26%
Not Sure 4%4%4%7%3%3%3%5%3%3%**7%1%0%0%0%--3%4%2%2%6%2%4%2%2%5%3%2%3%1%3%3%4%7%3%1%3%5%3%3%6%4%3%3%3%6%3%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%51%49%27%25%24%23%52%48%61%4%25%9%14%39%25%43%51%78%20%28%46%20%11%19%36%18%10%30%36%28%30%55%31%69%31%30%39%28%37%35%60%40%37%51%13%22%40%24%14%
 
3Voters will be asked two separate questions in the recall election. The first will ask if Newsom should or should not be recalled. A yes vote means you want to remove Newsom as Governor. A no vote means you want Newsom to remain Governor. If you were filling out your ballot right now, would you vote yes, to remove Gavin Newsom from office? Or would you vote no, to keep Gavin Newsom in office as Governor?
816 Likely And Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyVote On RecallVaccinated?Party AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2020 VotePublic School PaEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / LikelyCertainAlready YesNoYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralCentral Greater Inland EBay Area
Yes To Remove43%49%36%51%37%44%40%43%42%48%**33%35%34%50%37%100%0%36%71%84%15%49%80%82%32%21%17%81%32%20%89%18%41%43%44%44%41%40%41%45%47%35%37%44%52%49%41%48%28%
No To Keep51%46%57%38%56%50%58%48%54%47%**60%56%46%47%62%0%100%59%22%12%80%41%19%14%62%74%77%16%62%75%8%78%51%51%51%50%53%52%53%49%49%55%57%50%39%45%53%48%62%
Undecided6%5%7%11%7%6%2%9%4%5%**7%9%20%4%2%0%0%6%7%4%4%9%1%5%6%5%6%3%6%5%2%5%7%6%5%6%6%8%6%5%4%9%6%5%8%6%6%4%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters100%49%51%20%25%27%28%45%55%66%4%21%9%18%50%32%43%51%81%18%30%48%18%11%19%37%18%12%30%37%30%33%59%29%71%27%30%43%26%35%39%63%37%36%52%12%22%38%25%15%
 
4The second question will ask who should replace Newsom and serve out the rest of his term if he is removed from office.
Regardless of how you vote on the first question, you will have the opportunity to also vote on who should replace Newsom if he is recalled, or to leave the second question blank.
On the second question, will you vote for a candidate to replace Newsom if he is recalled? Or will you leave the second question blank?
816 Likely And Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyVote On RecallVaccinated?Party AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2020 VotePublic School PaEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / LikelyCertainAlready YesNoYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralCentral Greater Inland EBay Area
Vote For a Candidate61%67%55%63%65%63%54%64%58%65%**54%58%58%63%59%90%40%58%73%85%46%63%87%81%55%50%46%84%55%49%88%47%65%60%64%54%64%55%58%67%66%52%58%60%72%63%59%71%45%
Leave It Blank28%25%31%21%22%28%40%21%34%24%**38%30%18%25%39%4%51%32%11%8%43%25%10%11%34%39%40%11%34%39%5%41%23%30%29%31%26%30%30%25%26%33%31%29%16%24%30%24%39%
Undecided11%8%14%16%13%10%6%15%8%11%**8%12%24%12%2%6%9%10%16%7%12%11%2%8%11%11%14%6%11%12%7%12%12%10%7%16%10%15%11%8%8%16%11%10%12%13%11%5%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters100%49%51%20%25%27%28%45%55%66%4%21%9%18%50%32%43%51%81%18%30%48%18%11%19%37%18%12%30%37%30%33%59%29%71%27%30%43%26%35%39%63%37%36%52%12%22%38%25%15%
 
5There are 46 candidates on the ballot. Let us show you the list of all 46 candidates, as they appear on the ballot, before we ask you to pick the ONE candidate you will vote for.

[SurveyUSA first displayed to respondents the names, party identifications, and ballot designations of all 46 candidates, exactly as they appear on this official list of certified candidates provided by the California Secretary of State. After respondents saw all 46 names, SurveyUSA then asked the following, re-displaying the names, party identifications, and ballot designations once more.]

OK, on this question, which of these candidates will you vote for? Or, will you leave this question blank?

[For ease of comprehension, SurveyUSA reports here only those candidates receiving 10 or more votes, from most to least; abbreviates the party names; and omits the ballot designations. Voters who said they would leave this question blank are excluded from this question.]

515 Likely And Actual Voters Who Will Vote For a ReplacementAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyVote On RecallVaccinated?Party AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2020 VotePublic School PaEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / LikelyCertainAlready YesNoYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralCentral Greater Inland EBay Area
Larry Elder (R)27%27%27%12%23%33%37%18%35%29%**21%24%8%32%28%45%1%23%35%49%3%24%47%51%20%3%2%50%20%2%53%3%16%32%28%26%27%23%25%30%29%22%13%36%24%23%25%34%23%
John Cox (R)6%7%5%6%3%8%8%4%8%7%**1%11%4%6%9%10%1%6%7%14%0%4%5%15%6%0%0%11%6%0%11%3%6%7%3%10%6%5%6%7%8%2%2%7%14%11%4%5%9%
Kevin Paffrath (D)6%6%6%4%8%9%3%6%6%5%**10%6%7%5%7%2%14%7%2%0%14%3%5%0%6%20%5%2%6%14%0%13%7%6%6%4%7%4%5%8%7%5%8%5%6%5%7%8%5%
Jacqueline McGowan (D)5%6%5%12%5%3%3%8%3%5%**5%4%7%5%4%3%8%6%3%2%8%7%2%2%5%8%16%2%5%11%1%9%6%5%4%7%5%3%8%5%5%6%9%3%3%4%7%4%5%
Holly Baade (D)5%5%6%9%6%5%1%7%3%5%**8%1%10%6%1%3%9%6%2%1%11%4%5%2%6%11%6%3%6%9%1%9%9%3%6%4%5%5%6%5%4%7%10%3%1%5%6%1%10%
Kevin Kiley (R)5%4%6%6%3%8%4%4%6%6%**2%5%2%5%7%8%1%4%8%9%2%3%9%7%5%1%0%8%5%0%9%2%6%5%7%6%3%9%4%4%5%5%2%7%6%7%3%7%4%
Brandon Ross (D)5%5%5%3%7%3%7%5%4%2%**14%6%6%4%6%1%11%6%3%0%9%3%1%1%6%8%13%1%6%10%0%9%8%4%7%4%5%6%5%4%4%8%7%3%6%7%8%1%2%
Kevin Faulconer (R)5%6%4%5%2%6%7%3%6%5%**4%3%3%5%7%5%6%5%3%4%4%8%3%2%8%3%3%2%8%3%4%5%3%6%1%6%6%3%5%6%6%2%3%5%8%5%3%9%0%
Armando "Mando" Perez-Serrato (D)3%5%1%5%2%0%4%3%2%2%**5%0%2%2%5%2%4%2%4%1%5%2%0%1%1%5%10%1%1%7%0%4%2%3%5%3%1%4%2%3%2%4%2%3%1%2%4%4%0%
John Drake (D)2%2%2%5%3%0%3%4%1%1%**4%7%4%2%2%1%4%3%1%0%5%1%1%0%2%2%10%0%2%5%0%4%2%2%2%1%3%4%0%3%2%3%5%1%0%1%3%3%0%
Joel Ventresca (D)2%1%3%4%2%1%2%3%2%2%**3%2%3%2%2%1%5%3%0%0%5%2%0%1%2%7%3%0%2%5%0%4%1%3%2%2%3%2%3%2%1%4%3%1%2%3%1%1%6%
Caitlyn Jenner (R)2%2%3%3%2%3%0%2%2%2%**2%4%2%1%3%2%2%2%3%3%0%5%1%1%3%0%3%1%3%1%2%1%3%1%1%2%2%5%1%1%1%4%2%2%2%2%2%0%5%
Another Candidate12%14%10%13%17%10%8%15%9%12%**11%13%22%10%9%12%13%12%13%9%13%17%21%7%12%15%10%12%12%13%9%15%17%10%13%13%11%9%13%13%13%10%21%9%6%16%14%8%9%
Undecided14%10%19%16%17%11%14%17%12%15%**10%14%19%15%10%7%21%15%15%9%19%16%1%11%18%19%18%7%18%19%9%18%14%15%14%13%15%19%17%10%13%17%13%14%20%10%14%14%23%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters Who Will Vote For a Replacement100%51%49%21%27%29%24%47%53%71%3%17%9%19%52%29%59%35%76%22%41%37%19%14%25%33%15%10%39%33%26%45%47%30%70%27%27%46%25%33%42%66%34%32%53%14%24%36%28%12%
 
6Which of these reasons best describes why you think Newsom should be recalled?
(list of reasons rotated)
348 Likely And Actual Voters Who Vote To Recall NewsomAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyVote On RecallVaccinated?Party AffiliationIdeologyIdeology Aggregated2020 VotePublic School PaEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 6.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / LikelyCertainAlready YesNoYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralCentral Greater Inland EBay Area
His Handling Of COVID Restrictions26%25%29%38%30%22%17%34%20%27%**32%7%38%25%23%26%**21%38%25%28%28%28%23%28%32%**25%28%31%27%25%35%23%24%28%27%24%25%29%26%28%32%24%23%25%28%31%9%
Closures Of Schools3%3%3%2%2%2%5%2%4%3%**3%0%3%3%4%3%**4%1%3%3%5%4%5%1%1%**4%1%3%3%4%2%3%2%2%5%7%2%2%3%3%3%3%2%2%3%4%3%
Closures Of Businesses11%10%13%10%12%8%15%11%11%13%**6%7%8%10%16%11%**13%8%14%6%8%12%12%15%1%**12%15%3%13%5%12%11%4%15%14%7%15%11%13%8%4%15%10%9%11%13%11%
Attending a Party During Lockdown12%10%14%12%11%11%14%11%12%13%**11%7%9%13%12%12%**14%9%10%21%11%6%10%16%12%**9%16%13%8%20%10%12%16%11%10%16%12%10%10%16%12%13%7%8%13%11%20%
Wildfires7%3%11%11%4%3%9%7%6%7%**1%16%11%6%5%7%**5%11%8%6%3%11%5%5%5%**7%5%4%6%9%5%7%8%10%4%11%5%5%6%8%6%6%8%10%5%2%16%
Spending Decisions16%20%11%14%18%23%11%16%17%12%**34%27%9%21%12%16%**20%8%15%16%22%11%13%23%21%**12%23%23%17%18%16%17%19%13%17%13%11%23%19%12%18%14%20%14%19%16%14%
Mishandling Of Unemployment Dollars12%15%8%8%15%13%13%11%13%13%**3%26%9%13%13%12%**11%14%13%10%10%16%14%8%14%**15%8%11%13%12%18%10%15%12%10%9%13%14%13%11%17%8%16%19%8%12%12%
Some Other Reason9%11%7%2%8%14%13%5%13%10%**9%9%12%6%14%9%**11%7%9%9%10%11%13%4%13%**12%4%9%10%6%0%13%5%8%13%7%14%7%9%11%3%12%12%11%10%7%11%
Not Sure3%2%4%4%0%4%3%2%3%3%**1%0%2%4%0%3%**2%3%4%0%2%1%5%1%0%**4%1%3%3%1%2%3%7%1%1%6%3%0%2%3%4%2%1%1%3%4%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters Who Vote To Recall Newsom100%57%43%24%22%28%26%46%54%75%2%16%7%14%58%28%100%0%67%30%60%18%21%21%36%28%9%5%56%28%14%68%25%28%72%28%30%42%25%34%42%69%31%31%54%15%26%36%29%9%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.