Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13337
Virginia Republican Primary: Most Romney Supporters Go to McCain, Who Sails to Easy Win - One day after Mitt Romney withdrew from the Republican race for President, John McCain collects approximately two-thirds of Romney's support, according to before-and-after tracking polls conducted by SurveyUSA for WJLA-TV Washington DC, WDBJ-TV Roanoke, and WTVR-TV Richmond. In SurveyUSA interviews conducted on 02/06/08, before Romney withdrew, McCain got 45%, Romney 22%, Mike Huckabee 20%. In interviews conducted on 02/07/08 and 02/08/08, immediately after Romney withdrew, McCain gained 12 points, to 57%, Huckabee gained 5 points, to 25%. McCain led Huckabee by 25 points before Romney dropped out. McCain leads Huckabee by 32 points now. McCain leads in all regions of the state, though Huckabee runs slightly stronger in the Shenandoah and in Southeast VA than he does in the DC suburbs and in Central VA. To the extent that Republicans in Virginia see John McCain's nomination as a foregone conclusion, and therefore do not turn out to vote, McCain's margin of victory may here be slightly overstated or understated -- but the dynamics of the contest are clear. At stake are 63 winner-take-all delegates to the Republican National Convention.
Filtering: 1,700 state of Virginia adults were interviewed 02/07/08 and 02/08/08. Of them, 1,470 were registered to vote. Of them, 382 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/12/08 Virginia Republican Primary. All interviews for this survey conducted after Romney withdrew, and after both local and national evening newscasts aired on 02/07/08. Results from partial sample conducted 02/06/08, before Romney withdrew, are available here.
If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for ...(names rotated) Mike Huckabee? John McCain? Ron Paul? Or some other Republican?
382 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigratShenandoNortheasSoutheasCentral
Composition of Likely Voters100%58%42%19%36%28%17%55%45%90%5%2%3%79%3%15%60%28%3%59%25%16%64%33%24%74%36%2%6%10%15%3%3%19%29%20%20%31%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.