| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17364 |
| Now Factoring in Remarks About Gays, Paladino 26 Behind Cuomo in NY Governor Try; Attorney General Contest Still a Pitched Battle:
In the election for Attorney General of New York, Democrat Eric Schneiderman and Republican Dan Donovan remain locked in a fierce fight, Schneiderman narrowly ahead of Donovan today, 44% to 40%, according to SurveyUSA's latest pre-election tracking poll for WABC-TV in New York City. One week ago, Schneiderman led by 6, today by 4. The Democrat has lost some ground among men, where he had trailed by 5 points, now trails by 10, and among voters age 65+, where he had led by 7, now trails by 2. Those loses are somewhat offset by gains in the NYC suburbs and Western New York. One week ago, before Carl Paladino made headlines about homosexuals, the Republican trailed Democrat Andrew Cuomo in the race for Governor by 23 points in SurveyUSA polling. Today, Paladino trails Cuomo by 26. 30% of Republicans cross over to vote Cuomo; 9% of Democrats cross over to vote for Paladino. In the first of two contests for US Senate, Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand remains 18 points atop Republican Joe DioGuardi, unchanged from a week ago. 1 in 4 Republicans vote Gillibrand; 1 in 10 Democrats vote DioGuardi. In the second of two contests for US Senate, incumbent Democrat Charles Schumer defeats Republican challenger Jay Townsend 2:1, unchanged from a week ago. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,100 New York State adults 10/11/10 through 10/13/10. Of them, 945 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 633 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election. |
 | [Candidate names rotated] If the election for New York Governor were today, who would you vote for? Republican Carl Paladino? Democrat Andrew Cuomo? Or another candidate? |
| 633 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Tea Party | College Grad | Enthusiasm | 2008 Vote | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Yes | No | More | Less | No More | Obama | McCain | Another | Did Not | Can't Re | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | NYC | NYC Subu | Upstate | WNY | |
| Paladino (R) | 33% | 41% | 25% | 40% | 34% | 28% | 31% | 36% | 30% | 38% | 7% | 30% | 27% | 63% | 9% | 40% | 65% | 25% | 8% | 77% | 5% | 27% | ** | 35% | 31% | 54% | 18% | 22% | 12% | 63% | ** | ** | ** | 27% | 34% | 36% | 21% | 35% | 34% | 55% |
| Cuomo (D) | 59% | 51% | 67% | 50% | 59% | 63% | 60% | 56% | 62% | 54% | 83% | 63% | 57% | 30% | 85% | 47% | 27% | 68% | 84% | 15% | 90% | 60% | ** | 58% | 59% | 41% | 68% | 69% | 82% | 25% | ** | ** | ** | 60% | 59% | 58% | 71% | 56% | 56% | 41% |
| Other | 6% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 7% | ** | 5% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ** | ** | ** | 7% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 3% |
| Undecided | 3% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 6% | ** | 1% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ** | ** | ** | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 31% | 30% | 23% | 47% | 53% | 71% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 31% | 46% | 23% | 29% | 40% | 22% | 32% | 44% | 21% | 3% | 60% | 40% | 36% | 20% | 43% | 57% | 36% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 25% | 32% | 43% | 37% | 28% | 19% | 16% |
 | [Candidate names rotated] New York will also elect an Attorney General. If the election for New York Attorney General were today, who would you vote for? Republican Dan Donovan? Democrat Eric Schneiderman? Or another candidate? |
| 633 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Tea Party | College Grad | Enthusiasm | 2008 Vote | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Yes | No | More | Less | No More | Obama | McCain | Another | Did Not | Can't Re | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | NYC | NYC Subu | Upstate | WNY | |
| Donovan (R) | 40% | 48% | 33% | 41% | 38% | 40% | 44% | 39% | 41% | 46% | 13% | 35% | 36% | 77% | 10% | 51% | 72% | 37% | 10% | 81% | 14% | 39% | ** | 42% | 39% | 57% | 35% | 30% | 18% | 77% | ** | ** | ** | 34% | 41% | 45% | 29% | 48% | 43% | 48% |
| Schneiderman (D) | 44% | 38% | 50% | 45% | 44% | 46% | 42% | 44% | 44% | 39% | 70% | 47% | 50% | 11% | 75% | 30% | 18% | 47% | 77% | 8% | 73% | 37% | ** | 45% | 43% | 33% | 44% | 54% | 67% | 11% | ** | ** | ** | 41% | 48% | 44% | 56% | 38% | 36% | 37% |
| Other | 10% | 9% | 11% | 8% | 13% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 13% | ** | 8% | 13% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 11% | 8% | ** | ** | ** | 16% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 15% | 12% |
| Undecided | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 11% | ** | 5% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ** | ** | ** | 10% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 31% | 30% | 23% | 47% | 53% | 71% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 31% | 46% | 23% | 29% | 40% | 22% | 32% | 44% | 21% | 3% | 60% | 40% | 36% | 20% | 43% | 57% | 36% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 25% | 32% | 43% | 37% | 28% | 19% | 16% |
 | [Candidate names rotated] New York will also elect two United States Senators. In the first US Senate election, for a 2-year term ... If the election were today, who would you vote for? Republican Joe DioGuardi? Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand? Or another candidate? |
| 633 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Tea Party | College Grad | Enthusiasm | 2008 Vote | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Yes | No | More | Less | No More | Obama | McCain | Another | Did Not | Can't Re | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | NYC | NYC Subu | Upstate | WNY | |
| DioGuardi (R) | 36% | 42% | 29% | 37% | 37% | 33% | 35% | 37% | 34% | 41% | 11% | 29% | 30% | 65% | 10% | 47% | 66% | 32% | 8% | 77% | 7% | 36% | ** | 38% | 32% | 54% | 25% | 25% | 14% | 69% | ** | ** | ** | 30% | 35% | 39% | 26% | 44% | 41% | 35% |
| Gillibrand (D) | 54% | 49% | 58% | 50% | 53% | 55% | 55% | 52% | 55% | 50% | 76% | 48% | 53% | 26% | 78% | 43% | 27% | 58% | 82% | 17% | 83% | 51% | ** | 54% | 53% | 41% | 63% | 61% | 77% | 20% | ** | ** | ** | 52% | 56% | 55% | 58% | 47% | 54% | 55% |
| Other | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 17% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 6% | ** | 5% | 9% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ** | ** | ** | 12% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 7% |
| Undecided | 4% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 7% | ** | 3% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 4% | ** | ** | ** | 6% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 31% | 30% | 23% | 47% | 53% | 71% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 31% | 46% | 23% | 29% | 40% | 22% | 32% | 44% | 21% | 3% | 60% | 40% | 36% | 20% | 43% | 57% | 36% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 25% | 32% | 43% | 37% | 28% | 19% | 16% |
 | [Candidate names rotated] In the second US Senate election, for a full 6-year term ... If the election were today, who would you vote for? Republican Jay Townsend? Democrat Chuck Schumer? Or another candidate? |
| 633 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Tea Party | College Grad | Enthusiasm | 2008 Vote | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Yes | No | More | Less | No More | Obama | McCain | Another | Did Not | Can't Re | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | NYC | NYC Subu | Upstate | WNY | |
| Townsend (R) | 30% | 35% | 24% | 32% | 32% | 26% | 30% | 32% | 28% | 34% | 9% | 29% | 22% | 58% | 6% | 38% | 64% | 21% | 5% | 70% | 4% | 24% | ** | 33% | 25% | 49% | 19% | 19% | 10% | 61% | ** | ** | ** | 21% | 32% | 35% | 19% | 38% | 31% | 38% |
| Schumer (D) | 63% | 59% | 67% | 58% | 62% | 66% | 65% | 61% | 66% | 60% | 84% | 62% | 68% | 37% | 86% | 54% | 31% | 73% | 88% | 25% | 89% | 66% | ** | 61% | 66% | 46% | 71% | 74% | 84% | 33% | ** | ** | ** | 68% | 62% | 62% | 73% | 56% | 62% | 56% |
| Other | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | ** | 4% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ** | ** | ** | 7% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
| Undecided | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 6% | ** | 2% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | ** | ** | ** | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 31% | 30% | 23% | 47% | 53% | 71% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 31% | 46% | 23% | 29% | 40% | 22% | 32% | 44% | 21% | 3% | 60% | 40% | 36% | 20% | 43% | 57% | 36% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 25% | 32% | 43% | 37% | 28% | 19% | 16% |