Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14464
In Ohio, Slight Movement to Obama, But Fight for 20 Electoral Votes Still Even: In an election for President of the United States held in Ohio today, 09/30/08, Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama finish within one point of each other, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCMH-TV Columbus, WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WKYC-TV Cleveland, and WDIO-TV Dayton. Today, it's McCain 49%, Obama 48 -- McCain's nominal 1-point lead within the survey's 3.8 percentage point margin of sampling error. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 15 days ago, Obama is up 3 points; McCain is flat.

McCain leads by 17 points among those who earn more than $50,000 a year. Obama leads by 21 points among those who earn less than $50,000 a year. McCain leads 5:4 in Columbus, Cincinnati, and Toledo. Obama leads 5:4 in greater Cleveland. McCain and Obama are effectively tied in Dayton. McCain leads by 12 points among whites; Obama leads by 69 points among blacks. 65% of likely voters say the next president should focus on the economy ahead of all other issues: among that group, Obama leads 5:4. 9 of 10 Republicans vote for McCain; 8 of 10 Democrats vote for Obama; independents are tied. Among men, McCain today leads by 5 points, down from 13 points two weeks ago; among women, Obama today leads by 2, down slightly from 4 points two weeks ago. Among voters who are younger than Barack Obama, Obama and McCain were and are tied. Among voters older than John McCain, McCain had led by 10; now, Obama and McCain tie among these voters. Among voters who are in-between the two candidates' ages, McCain had led by 10, now leads by 2.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Ohio adults 09/28/08 and 09/29/08. Of the adults, 819 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 693 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Interviews conducted during an unprecedented time of financial and political turmoil. Ohio has 20 Electoral College votes. George W. Bush carried Ohio by 2 points in 2004 and by 4 points in 2000.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama?
693 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
McCain (R)49%51%47%47%52%47%48%50%48%48%49%49%54%15%****89%17%46%85%44%15%50%48%58%41%40%71%29%48%50%45%**29%59%96%******38%57%51%48%57%53%43%**
Obama (D)48%46%49%50%45%50%48%47%49%48%48%47%42%84%****9%80%48%12%53%83%45%50%39%54%58%27%67%42%49%52%**63%35%3%******59%40%46%49%40%46%53%**
Composition of Likely Voters100%47%53%23%32%25%20%55%45%49%10%41%85%11%1%2%37%43%16%31%38%14%39%61%48%28%24%48%50%18%80%65%3%8%5%7%2%4%3%42%58%10%11%16%19%39%4%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.