| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16930 |
| WA US Senate: Murray, Rossi Poised To Advance to General Election: In a Primary for US Senate in Washington state today, 08/10/10, 1 week until votes are counted, Incumbent Democrat Patty Murray and Republican challenger Dino Rossi advance to the November general election, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING5-TV in Seattle.
15 candidates are on the ballot in what will be Washington's first open primary. Republicans and Democrats campaign simultaneously against members of their own party and candidates from other parties. Top 2 finishers advance, regardless of outcome. Today, it's Murray 41%, Rossi 33%; former NFL player and Tea Party activist Clint Didier trails with 11%; businessman Paul Akers gets 5%. 11 other candidates named on the ballot each fail to break 1%. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll released 6 weeks ago, Murray is up 4 points; Rossi is flat. Among women, Murray leads by 14 points; among men, the race is tied. Voters 50+ back Murray by 15 points; voters under age 50 are split. Murray leads by 8 points among those who have already returned their ballots, by 9 points among those who have not. Among the 1 in 3 voters with a favorable opinion of the Tea Party movement, 56% vote for Rossi; 24% vote for Didier. Among the 4 in 10 with an unfavorable opinion of the Tea Party, Murray gets 78%. College graduates back Murray by 19 points; those without college educations are split. Murray is dominant in the Seattle area; the remainder of Western Washington splits; Rossi has an edge in Eastern Washington, where Didier finishes a strong 3rd, with 21% to Murray's 28% and Rossi's 35%. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,100 Washington adults 08/06/10 through 08/09/10; of them, 920 were registered to vote; of the registered voters, 675 were identified by SurveyUSA as having already voted or as being likely to vote in the 08/17/10 primary. Ballots began being mailed to voters on 07/30/10; 38 of Washington's 39 counties vote solely by mail. Nearly half of those interviewed have already returned a ballot. Patty Murray, first elected to the US Senate in 1992, is seeking a 4th term. |
 | I'm going to read you the list of candidates running in the primary election for US Senate. There are 15 names on the list, so please listen to them all before you tell me who you will vote for. The list is ... Paul Akers, Charles Allen, Will Baker, Bob Burr, William Edward Chovil, Clint Didier , GoodSpaceGuy, Norma Gruber, Mike Latimer, Schalk Leonard, James "Skip" Mercer, Mike The Mover, Patty Murray, Dino Rossi, and Mohammad Said. |
| 675 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| Akers | 5% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 4% | ** | ** | 13% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Allen | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ** | ** | 3% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| Baker | 1% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | ** | ** | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% |
| Burr | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ** | ** | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| Chovil | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| Didier | 11% | 11% | 10% | 13% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 11% | ** | ** | 10% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 2% | 15% | 18% | 9% | 1% | 24% | 1% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 17% | 6% | 13% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 21% | 8% |
| GoodSpaceGuy | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | ** | ** | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Gruber | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| Latimer | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Leonard | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | ** | ** | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| Mercer | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
| Mike The Mover | 1% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | 7% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| Murray | 41% | 38% | 44% | 26% | 44% | 46% | 42% | 38% | 45% | 44% | ** | ** | 14% | 41% | 42% | 9% | 80% | 31% | 9% | 50% | 81% | 5% | 78% | 28% | 39% | 47% | 36% | 30% | 37% | 56% | 17% | 60% | 32% | 55% | 42% | 44% | 42% | 40% | 28% | 47% |
| Rossi | 33% | 35% | 31% | 31% | 39% | 31% | 28% | 36% | 30% | 32% | ** | ** | 46% | 33% | 33% | 63% | 6% | 34% | 57% | 27% | 5% | 56% | 9% | 44% | 29% | 28% | 37% | 38% | 36% | 24% | 52% | 19% | 40% | 24% | 27% | 33% | 36% | 38% | 35% | 30% |
| Said | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| Undecided | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 4% | ** | ** | 3% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 32% | 30% | 21% | 49% | 51% | 85% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 45% | 55% | 28% | 33% | 35% | 36% | 35% | 22% | 34% | 41% | 14% | 11% | 56% | 44% | 35% | 26% | 39% | 38% | 57% | 50% | 45% | 24% | 40% | 36% | 25% | 20% | 55% |