Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13892
Democrat Hagan Breaks from Gate Hot on the Tail of Incumbent Republican Elizabeth Dole in NC Senate Fight: In an election for United States Senator from North Carolina today, 24 weeks to Election Day, incumbent Republican Elizabeth Dole narrowly edges Democrat Kay Hagan, 50% to 46%, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV in Raleigh. Among white voters, Dole leads by 24; among blacks, Hagan leads by 66. Blacks make-up 20% of the electorate in SurveyUSA's turnout model today. If blacks vote in larger numbers, the contest is closer. In greater Charlotte, Dole leads. Elsewhere, the contest is effectively tied. Among men, Dole leads by 13; among women, Hagan leads by 3. A 16-point Gender Gap. Among voters age 18 to 49, Dole leads by 13; among voters 50+, Hagan leads by 5. An 18-point Generation Gap. Among voters who earn less than $50,000 a year, Hagan leads. Among voters who earn more than $50,000 a year, Dole leads. One in four Democrats today cross over to vote for Dole, who is running for her second term. Hagan is serving her fifth term in the North Carolina State Senate.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 North Carolina adults 05/17/08 through 05/19/08. Of them, 866 were registered to vote; of them, 713 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election.
North Carolina voters will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Elizabeth Dole? Or, Democrat Kay Hagan?
713 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KCharlottRaleigh South &
Elizabeth Dole (R)50%55%46%52%56%48%44%54%46%54%47%47%61%13%****89%23%56%78%41%27%52%49%54%45%39%65%35%63%48%45%**41%39%82%**55%79%41%56%55%48%49%
Kay Hagan (D)46%42%49%41%42%49%53%41%51%41%51%49%37%79%****9%73%38%18%54%69%45%47%42%51%58%31%62%32%49%51%**52%60%18%**41%15%55%41%42%48%45%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%22%33%27%19%54%46%46%11%44%76%20%2%3%33%49%15%31%34%12%49%51%63%24%14%49%46%18%81%47%3%9%12%8%4%6%8%42%58%36%49%16%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.