| Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #12555 |
| 55% in Idaho Say U.S. Senator Larry Craig Should Resign: Less than 36 hours after the Capitol Hill newspaper Roll Call first broke the story of Larry Craig's arrest in an airport bathroom, 89% in Idaho are aware. SurveyUSA interviewed 600 Idaho adults the evening of 8/28/07 to measure initial reaction, including 475 registered voters who have heard the news accounts. Of Idaho voters, 55% today say Craig should resign. 34% say Craig should remain in office. 11% are not sure. Among Idaho Republicans, 45% say Craig should resign, 42% say Craig should remain in office. Democrats and Independents overwhelmingly say Craig should resign. There are many sides to a complex story, and as new facts come to light, opinions can be expected to change. |
| Job Approval for Craig down 26 Points to 34%: Among all Idaho adults, 34% today approve of Craig's Job Performance, 58% disapprove. When SurveyUSA last recorded Job Approval numbers for Craig and fellow U.S. Senator from Idaho Mike Crapo, in November 2006, Craig had a 60% Job Approval, 26 percentage points higher than his approval today. Crapo had a 61% Job Approval in November 2006, identical to his Job Approval today. Over 19 consecutive months of tracking Craig, his SurveyUSA Job Approval among Idaho Republicans ranged from 71% to 82%. Today, among Idaho Republicans Craig's approval is 46%. Among Idaho Conservatives, Craig's Job Approval for 19 months ranged between 70% and 80%. Today, among Conservatives, Craig's approval is at 51%. |
| Favorability Ratings of Possible Successors: If Craig resigns, Idaho Republican Governor C.L. Butch Otter would appoint a replacement, almost certainly a Republican. Among those Republicans who may be under consideration: Lieutenant Governor Jim Risch is today at "Plus 9"; U.S. Congressman Mike Simpson is today at "Plus 21"; Former Governor Dirk Kempthorne is at "Plus 13." "Plus" numbers are calculated by subtracting the percent of respondents who view a person un-favorably from the percent who view the person favorably. Risch is viewed favorably by 26% of Idaho voters, unfavorably by 17%. 32% are neutral on Risch. 25% have no opinion of Risch. Simpson is viewed favorably by 40% of Idaho voters, unfavorably by 19%. 25% of Idaho voters are neutral on Simpson. 17% have no opinion. Kempthorne is viewed favorably by 46% of Idaho voters, unfavorably by 33%. Former Congressman Larry LaRocco, a Democrat who may run for the U.S. Senate against Craig or Craig's successor in the 2008 General Election, is at "Plus 1" today, viewed favorably by 22%, unfavorably by 21%. |
 | Do you approve or disapprove of the job Larry Craig is doing as United States Senator? |
| 600 Adults | All | Gender | Age | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Familiar With St | ||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | |
| Approve | 34% | 32% | 36% | 35% | 31% | 37% | 46% | 15% | 24% | 51% | 25% | 16% | 35% | 42% |
| Disapprove | 58% | 62% | 54% | 53% | 63% | 58% | 46% | 80% | 66% | 41% | 67% | 78% | 61% | 46% |
| Not Sure | 8% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 11% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 40% | 27% | 46% | 22% | 27% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 89% | 10% |
 | Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mike Crapo is doing as United States Senator? |
| 600 Adults | All | Gender | Age | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Familiar With St | ||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | |
| Approve | 61% | 62% | 61% | 52% | 65% | 67% | 73% | 45% | 55% | 72% | 62% | 32% | 67% | 51% |
| Disapprove | 26% | 29% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 27% | 18% | 46% | 26% | 18% | 27% | 45% | 25% | 33% |
| Not Sure | 13% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 19% | 10% | 12% | 23% | 8% | 16% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 40% | 27% | 46% | 22% | 27% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 89% | 10% |
| 3 | Based on what you know now, should United States Senator Larry Craig remain in office? Or resign? |
| 475 Registered Voters Familiar With Stories | All | Gender | Age | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Familiar With St | ||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | |
| Remain In Office | 34% | 32% | 36% | 41% | 28% | 35% | 42% | 20% | 28% | 43% | 28% | 26% | 34% | ** |
| Resign | 55% | 58% | 52% | 51% | 58% | 55% | 45% | 72% | 62% | 42% | 63% | 65% | 55% | ** |
| Not Sure | 11% | 10% | 12% | 8% | 13% | 10% | 13% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 11% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| Composition of Registered Voters Familiar With Stories | 100% | 52% | 48% | 29% | 41% | 30% | 47% | 23% | 25% | 38% | 34% | 10% | 100% | 0% |
| 4 | Is your opinion of Lieutenant Governor Jim Risch ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or do you have no opinion of Lieutenant Governor Jim Risch? |
| 537 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Familiar With St | ||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | |
| Favorable | 26% | 29% | 23% | 28% | 25% | 26% | 36% | 13% | 22% | 39% | 23% | 11% | 29% | 9% |
| Unfavorable | 17% | 21% | 12% | 12% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 26% | 21% | 11% | 15% | 39% | 17% | 13% |
| Neutral | 32% | 28% | 36% | 28% | 30% | 39% | 27% | 38% | 29% | 26% | 38% | 28% | 31% | 37% |
| No Opinion | 25% | 22% | 29% | 32% | 25% | 18% | 26% | 22% | 28% | 24% | 24% | 22% | 23% | 40% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 31% | 40% | 28% | 47% | 22% | 26% | 37% | 36% | 10% | 89% | 10% |
| 5 | Is your opinion of US Congressman Mike Simpson ... |
| 537 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Familiar With St | ||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | |
| Favorable | 40% | 42% | 38% | 32% | 42% | 45% | 50% | 26% | 35% | 53% | 39% | 23% | 42% | 24% |
| Unfavorable | 19% | 25% | 12% | 23% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 30% | 19% | 8% | 18% | 30% | 19% | 14% |
| Neutral | 25% | 20% | 31% | 23% | 25% | 28% | 22% | 29% | 26% | 20% | 35% | 21% | 24% | 37% |
| No Opinion | 17% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 17% | 10% | 16% | 15% | 20% | 19% | 9% | 27% | 15% | 25% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 31% | 40% | 28% | 47% | 22% | 26% | 37% | 36% | 10% | 89% | 10% |
| 6 | Is your opinion of former Congressman Larry LaRocco ... |
| 537 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Familiar With St | ||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | |
| Favorable | 22% | 25% | 19% | 13% | 23% | 30% | 16% | 37% | 23% | 10% | 31% | 37% | 23% | 12% |
| Unfavorable | 21% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 25% | 24% | 24% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 18% | 17% | 22% | 14% |
| Neutral | 33% | 31% | 35% | 36% | 30% | 34% | 31% | 29% | 36% | 35% | 31% | 28% | 31% | 44% |
| No Opinion | 24% | 20% | 28% | 39% | 22% | 12% | 29% | 19% | 21% | 31% | 19% | 19% | 24% | 29% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 31% | 40% | 28% | 47% | 22% | 26% | 37% | 36% | 10% | 89% | 10% |
| 7 | Is your opinion of former Governor Dirk Kempthorne ... |
| 537 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Familiar With St | ||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | |
| Favorable | 46% | 48% | 44% | 46% | 48% | 43% | 64% | 25% | 35% | 58% | 39% | 31% | 47% | 43% |
| Unfavorable | 33% | 34% | 31% | 27% | 33% | 40% | 18% | 58% | 41% | 23% | 38% | 50% | 35% | 18% |
| Neutral | 17% | 14% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 22% | 13% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 34% |
| No Opinion | 4% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 31% | 40% | 28% | 47% | 22% | 26% | 37% | 36% | 10% | 89% | 10% |