In CT Fight for Lieberman Senate Seat, Democrat Murphy Narrowly Atop Republican McMahon, 16 Days till Votes are Counted
In an election for United States Senator from Connecticut today, 10/22/12, Democrat Chris Murphy is at 47% to Linda McMahon’s 43%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WABC-TV in New York City. The seat is open, and one that Republicans need to pick-up in order to take control of the U.S. Senate.
* Murphy’s advantage comes entirely from CT minorities: the contest is tied among white voters.
* Murphy’s advantage comes entirely from high school educated voters. The contest is tied among those with at least some college education.
* Murphy leads among voters earning less than $80,000 a year; McMahon leads among voters earning more than $80,000.
* Murphy leads in Fairfield and Hartford counties, McMahon leads in New Haven County.
* Independents break 5:4 Republican, but that is offset by Moderates, who break 5:4 Democrat.
* Murphy benefits from a 25-point gender gap: he leads by 16 points among women, which offsets McMahon’s 9-point lead among men.
* Murphy leads among the youngest and oldest voters. McMahon leads among middle-aged voters.
* Both candidates are disliked. Murphy has a Minus 9 Net Favorability. McMahon has a Minus 10 Net Favorability.
In an election for President of the United States today, Connecticut’s 7 electoral votes remain safely blue: Barack Obama defeats Mitt Romney 53% to 40%. Obama leads in every age group and has a 25-point advantage among CT women. 18% of CT’s few Republicans cross-over and vote Democratic in the contest for President.
Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 state of CT adults 10/19/12 through 10/21/12. Of the adults, 637 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 575 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (79% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (21% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.