In California’s 17th Congressional District, Incumbent Democrat Honda Faces Strong Opposition from Fellow Democrat Khanna; Jump Ball
In an election today, 10/20/14, for the US House of Representatives from California’s 17th Congressional District, incumbent Democrat Mike Honda finishes effectively even with fellow Democrat Ro Khanna, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KPIX-TV, the CBS-owned affiliate in San Francisco.
Two weeks until votes are counted, it’s Democrat Honda 37%, fellow-Democrat Khanna 35%, within the survey’s theoretical margin of sampling error. An enormous 28% of voters are undecided, with voting already underway. Honda seeks his 8th term.
Khanna leads among Asian Americans, who are a majority in the District. Honda leads among whites, blacks and Hispanic-Americans, who are the minorities in the District. Among the relatively few voters who tell SurveyUSA they have already returned a ballot, Khanna leads. Among the large number of voters who promise SurveyUSA they will return a ballot before the deadline, Honda leads, though narrowly.
Honda leads among Democrats, moderates and liberals. Khanna leads among Republicans, Independents and conservatives. Khanna leads among men. Honda leads among women. There is a 25-point Gender Gap, unusually large given that both candidates are titularly from the same political party.
Live interviewers were used to contact cell-phone respondents for this survey: SurveyUSA interviewed 650 registered voters from California’s 17th Congressional District 10/16/14 through 10/19/14, using Registration Based Sample (RBS, aka: Voter List Sample) purchased from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 579 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before the 11/04/14 general election. This research was conducted 100% by telephone. Voters reachable on a home telephone (71% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (29% of likely voters) were contacted on their cell phones by live interviewers, who hand-dialed the telephone, secured the respondent’s cooperation, qualified the respondent, asked the questions, logged the answers, and remained on the phone until the interview was completed. Khanna’s support is 3 times higher among the recorded-voice phone calls than it is among the live-operator calls. Honda’s support is comparable across the 2 different interviewing modes.